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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX | Harden "torn" between PHI/HOU - SleepingHero - 06-07-2023

(06-07-2023, 10:38 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: I can't spell CBA, so I don't know if that gets PHX where they want to be.  Anyone here has insight?

PHX has to find a way to shed around 10 mil to get to the point where they can retain the MLE. Their only current options are trading CP3+Ayton (or any other combo of guys+waiving CP3) and being under 169mm in total roster salaries. OR keeping their current roster and S/W CP3.

The deal you gave them wouldn't work, because they're adding about 1 mil to their total roster salary. They could theoretically waive Bullock+ S/W Bertans, but that's a terrible package for Ayton.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX | Harden "torn" between PHI/HOU - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-07-2023

(06-07-2023, 10:45 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: PHX has to find a way to shed around 10 mil to get to the point where they can retain the MLE. Their only current options are trading CP3+Ayton (or any other combo of guys+waiving CP3) and being under 169mm in total roster salaries. OR keeping their current roster and S/W CP3.

The deal you gave them wouldn't work, because they're adding about 1 mil to their total roster salary. They could theoretically waive Bullock+ S/W Bertans, but that's a terrible package for Ayton.

Couldn't they just S/W Bertans and get there?  

They have two compounding problems they need to solve.  Shed $10m and find a taker for $40m/3yr overpay of Ayton.  Doing both and getting Bullock/McGee level value may be where they are.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX | Harden "torn" between PHI/HOU - SleepingHero - 06-07-2023

(06-07-2023, 11:13 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: Couldn't they just S/W Bertans and get there?  

They have two compounding problems they need to solve.  Shed $10m and find a taker for $40m/3yr overpay of Ayton.  Doing both and getting Bullock/McGee level value may be where they are.

They could S/W Bertans, but I'm not so sure we're at the point where Bullock+McGee and eating Bertans' salary is the value of Ayton (and the ability to retain CP3+MLE if possible).

I think THJ will have to be included as the thing PHX can sell to fans "look! We've gotten serious depth now." I wrote like 3 posts earlier of the same package you proposed. After waiting an hour, I just don't see PHX being really excited for a Bertans+Bullock+McGee package where they have to waive Bertans to retain CP3.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - BigDirk41 - 06-08-2023

I don't want Ayton and most here don't seem to either, but the Suns aren't going to just give him away for our trash.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 06-08-2023

(05-22-2023, 09:08 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: https://twitter.com/thenbacentral/status/1660397727367278593?s=46&t=JCZO73vrym-K0Hu3J5z54Q

Pretty sure this is quoting that BR article where Pincus equivocates on an Ayton deal.

THJ+McGee+Green+10 is a massive overpay for Ayton. Like HUGE. I'd hate that deal. And I'm probably the biggest Ayton fanboy here. Remove 10 and Green, add Bullock and I'm much happier. If they really want a first then give them '27.

That's basically the Jarrett Allen deal we've been throwing around (THJ+Bullock+McGee+27). Between the 2 I'd still take Ayton. All the motor issues and attitude stuff I think can be fixed with a change of scenery. Wiggins had the same stuff labeled on him, and before the Warriors he literally was on some of the worst teams in the NBA (so those labels carried weight).

Ayton has already been to the finals playing a big role. He helped carry the Suns against the Pels series when Booker went down. The evidence is there that a team can win with him.
Torrey Craig is a nice player, good defense and all but he’s 32 and had a career year from 3. Good rotation guy, but to me he is more likely to get a piece of the MLE or BAE even. 
I mean, if he’s getting 12m+ then Josh Green is an absolute no-brainer at 4-70m or whatever was hypothesized. 

To piggyback in this a little: I’ve heard Vuc and Christian Wood’s names mentioned. Who are some other guys we may look at if we stretch waive Bertans or clear room another way. The Lesser McDaniels? He seems to be overrated due to his brother being really really good. Niang? Paul Reed? None of these guys really feel like full MLE guys to me, though you could talk me into the potential of McDaniels or Reed.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 06-08-2023

Also, if we trade the great culture guy who leaves it out on floor every night like prime Havlicek for the lazy overgrown baby gamer boi who costs twice as much, we deserve whatever bad shit comes our way.

P.S. sorry Sleeping Hero I wasn't directing that at you, didn’t mean to quote your post in my reply!


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Jym - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 12:24 AM)BigDirk41 Wrote: I don't want Ayton and most here don't seem to either, but the Suns aren't going to just give him away for our trash.


Yeah it's not going to be a Golbert package by any means but whoever gets him is going to give up some real value. I would think more than we gave up for Kyrie


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX | Harden "torn" between PHI/HOU - omahen - 06-08-2023

(06-07-2023, 09:18 PM)F Gump Wrote: 1 Forgo any shot at keeping Craig, and

Phoenix basically didn't play Craig in their last series. I am also not sure he can get more than tax MLE anywhere. He is still a very questionable shooter (this last season could be considered as an outlier due to his career numbers) and will be 33. He was basically a vet min player last 5 seasons (never paid more than 5.2 mil per season). I am not sure Okogie or Wainwright are a huge drop off from him. But more likely, they would be looking for a bit better player at the position, imho.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Mavs2021 - 06-08-2023

The Mavs are smart they call the Suns about Ayton. You´ll immediately learn about the availability and the price tag. If the new Suns owner, still with shiny toy snydrome, sets the price at Kyrie Irving, you counter with he´d be no salary match since Kyrie wants $50M per year, and offer them Bullock + THJ instead. At that point Suns owner either bites or says we´ll find a way to make the salaries match.

Learnings: You know Ayton is available. You know there is interest in Kyrie from Phoenix side. Now you basically offer Kyrie fair market value, something like 160/4 and if he insists on the outrageous 200/4-250/5, you just trade him to Phoenix.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - omahen - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 05:12 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: At that point Suns owner either bites or says we´ll find a way to make the salaries match.

Learnings: You know Ayton is available. You know there is interest in Kyrie from Phoenix side. Now you basically offer Kyrie fair market value, something like 160/4 and if he insists on the outrageous 200/4-250/5, you just trade him to Phoenix.

Not sure why you are so certain there is interest in Kyrie. Suns owner can also say no thank you. If they go after Kyrie, they are hard capped and have 135 mil invested in four players. No assets to trade and the only contract possible to use in a trade being the Shamet one. I fail to see much interest on their side for Kyrie, if it takes Paul and Ayton going out. The only remaining options to improve the roster would be MLE and BAE. 

What we do know with far higher certainty is, there is even bigger interest in Kyrie from Mavs side. Not sure why you assume they are even considering trading him. Forgeting again, Mavs are in no position to even offer him around, since he is a FA. The interest needs to come from Kyrie. Last thing Mavs want would be a rumor, they are shopping him around... Mavs very obviously accepted they will pay him. Probably a lot. I will consider anything less than a 4 year max a success from their side. Same as Brunson, they are in bird rights trap. More or less they need to pay as much as it takes, or he can go with minimum return coming back. Mavs can't replace him if he walks. It cost them 2 starters and unprotected FRP to replace Brunson.

As for determining Kyries "fair" salary - Phoenix is far from the only team there, that could be used to determine Kyries "fair" value. Not sure why would anyone take valuation from one team (whatever it is) as a certain indication of his value.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Chicagojk - 06-08-2023

I could be way off on this, but my impression was the mavs checked in with the suns with Ayton several weeks ago and found the price too high. That led to the Stein report saying Ayton was not the primary focus this off-season. We saw the same thing with Kyrie last off-season that the Mavs didn’t have interest. I expect they were interested, but the Nets weren’t interested in our packages last summer.

I could be completely wrong though


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - omahen - 06-08-2023

Hasn't been mentioned before, but what about Lu Dort? OKC has SGA, Williams and Giddey on positions 1-3. Giddey could also be a PF, but their frontcourt would be a bit weak with Giddey and Chet. None of Dort, Williams, Giddey and SGA is a good 3pt shooter, so OKC might value some pure shooting, either in the starting unit or coming from the bench. I would imagine OKC is not interested in another 2023 pick (trade down from 10 to 12 is not much value), so 2027 could be more interesting here. However, unprotected FRP seems much for Dort, so I would want something more from OKC. Williams would be perfect, but I doubt they move him as they really like him. OKC roster is full of nothing special young shooting guards, that Mavs don't really need.


OKC: THJ, 2027 FRP
Dal: Dort, #37, Robinson-Earl

From Dallas perspective, Dort doesn't really cover greates need as big wing. He is built like a truck, but if you play him at four, rebounding would remain a problem. But he is a great defender. Robinson-Earl is a cheap young back up center who can shoot from three. Mavs can fill roster with another cheap selection at #37.

Could Mavs survive by just bringing in a good center with #10 (using Bertans contract) and playing Maxi at PF? Trade down would be ideal. Bringing another wing with MLE (either tax or non tax, depending on how they manage other moves).

Irving, Hardy
Dort, Green
Luka, Bullock
Maxi, ®MLE
trade for center, Robinson-Earl

This line-up would have a nice amount of wings and Mavs could field several different line-ups defending what the opponent has. You play Maxi when they have good big wings, you play a bit smaller with Dort-Green when Luka can guard an opposing PF.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Chicagojk - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 08:39 AM)omahen Wrote: Hasn't been mentioned before, but what about Lu Dort? OKC has SGA, Williams and Giddey on positions 1-3. Giddey could also be a PF, but their frontcourt would be a bit weak with Giddey and Chet. None of Dort, Williams, Giddey and SGA is a good 3pt shooter, so OKC might value some pure shooting, either in the starting unit or coming from the bench. I would imagine OKC is not interested in another 2023 pick (trade down from 10 to 12 is not much value), so 2027 could be more interesting here. However, unprotected FRP seems much for Dort, so I would want something more from OKC. Williams would be perfect, but I doubt they move him as they really like him. OKC roster is full of nothing special young shooting guards, that Mavs don't really need.


OKC: THJ, 2027 FRP
Dal: Dort, #37, Robinson-Earl

From Dallas perspective, Dort doesn't really cover greates need as big wing. He is built like a truck, but if you play him at four, rebounding would remain a problem. But he is a great defender. Robinson-Earl is a cheap young back up center who can shoot from three. Mavs can fill roster with another cheap selection at #37.

Could Mavs survive by just bringing in a good center with #10 (using Bertans contract) and playing Maxi at PF? Trade down would be ideal. Bringing another wing with MLE (either tax or non tax, depending on how they manage other moves).

Irving, Hardy
Dort, Green
Luka, Bullock
Maxi, ®MLE
trade for center, Robinson-Earl

This line-up would have a nice amount of wings and Mavs could field several different line-ups defending what the opponent has. You play Maxi when they have good big wings, you play a bit smaller with Dort-Green when Luka can guard an opposing PF.

I would be a fan of that.  I liked Robinson Earl in the draft and Dort would provide some of the Grit this team needs.

On a smaller trade, I would be fine with Robinson Earl and 37 (plus 12) for 10 as well.  Although I would hate allowing Presti to move up for a guy he was targeting.  As mentioned before, I would find out who he was targeted and then draft that guy.  Ha


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - omahen - 06-08-2023

I trully hope this is just Cato thinking and not any insider indication of what Mavs plan to do. His example of Bertans +10 for O'Neale+21 is basically a salary dump for a nothing special player on an expiring contract. I would much prefer drafting at 10 whoever is available (hopefully a PF) using the pick and stretching Bertans, than this. Really no help for Mavs if this is best they can do.

https://theathletic.com/4590424/2023/06/08/mavericks-offseason-begins-with-kyrie-irvings-decision-and-only-gets-more-complicated/


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - DanSchwartzgan - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 08:55 AM)Chicagojk Wrote: I would be a fan of that.  I liked Robinson Earl in the draft and Dort would provide some of the Grit this team needs.

On a smaller trade, I would be fine with Robinson Earl and 37 (plus 12) for 10 as well.  Although I would hate allowing Presti to move up for a guy he was targeting.  As mentioned before, I would find out who he was targeted and then draft that guy.  Ha

Can we send McGee into their TE in the smaller trade?  #37 and JRE feels a little light to move from 12 to 10.  Those two things and unloading some salary is better.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - omahen - 06-08-2023

Another three team idea:
Ind: Bertans, #15
Atl: Hield, #10
Dal: Capela, #29, #32

Atlanta needs shooting and few are better than Hield. They also do need defense, but perhaps they can survive having him come from bench. He is expiring so he can help solve their salary problems next season. Both Atlanta and Indy move up in the draft. Mavs dump bad salary for a player in a position of need and two cheap rookies.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - DanSchwartzgan - 06-08-2023

(06-07-2023, 10:38 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Paul continues to want to return to Suns and partner with Booker and Durant, sources said. Nevertheless, Paul and his reps want organization to make a decision well ahead of June 28th deadline to guarantee his deal so that Paul can proceed into marketplace if he’s indeed waived.


FWIW, this feels to me like Phoenix approached CP3 and said ‘we love you dude, but we can’t do the $30.8 for you next year.  New CBA blah blah blah’.  You have a choice.  If you want to go get an MLE job somewhere, you can make $28mm next season, but you can’t do it here because we will S/W you if you want to go.  If you want to stay on a minimum, great, love to have you, but we can’t S/W you in that scenario.  We need to plan around your decision, so you have X days to let us know.  Our base presumption is you are looking for the money, so we will S/W unless you agree to take the minimum.  Have a nice day.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Tyler - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 09:00 AM)omahen Wrote: I trully hope this is just Cato thinking and not any insider indication of what Mavs plan to do. 

I think he makes it clear that it's only his opinion. And I agree with you that he didn't seem to try very hard on this one.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Mavs2021 - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 05:41 AM)omahen Wrote: Not sure why you are so certain there is interest in Kyrie. Suns owner can also say no thank you. If they go after Kyrie, they are hard capped and have 135 mil invested in four players. No assets to trade and the only contract possible to use in a trade being the Shamet one. I fail to see much interest on their side for Kyrie, if it takes Paul and Ayton going out. The only remaining options to improve the roster would be MLE and BAE. 

What we do know with far higher certainty is, there is even bigger interest in Kyrie from Mavs side. Not sure why you assume they are even considering trading him. Forgeting again, Mavs are in no position to even offer him around, since he is a FA. The interest needs to come from Kyrie. Last thing Mavs want would be a rumor, they are shopping him around... Mavs very obviously accepted they will pay him. Probably a lot. I will consider anything less than a 4 year max a success from their side. Same as Brunson, they are in bird rights trap. More or less they need to pay as much as it takes, or he can go with minimum return coming back. Mavs can't replace him if he walks. It cost them 2 starters and unprotected FRP to replace Brunson.

As for determining Kyries "fair" salary - Phoenix is far from the only team there, that could be used to determine Kyries "fair" value. Not sure why would anyone take valuation from one team (whatever it is) as a certain indication of his value.
I can tell you what fair would be after all the BS Kyrie pulled the last four years, but then he´d probably start crying about being disrespected by Mavs fanbase, so 40M p.a. for more than two years is already too much.

Furthermore if you read my carefully crafted post, you see that the Mavs never offered Kyrie. The Suns demanded Kyrie and explained that the salary diffference with Aytfon is not a problem for THEM. If Kyrie gets offended by other teams initiating and inquiring about him in a possible trade, then you better get the f*** out, cause I see more red flags than on a Chinese national holiday.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: CP3 to be waived by PHX? Paul wants it decided before 6/28 - Mavs2021 - 06-08-2023

(06-08-2023, 09:13 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: FWIW, this feels to me like Phoenix approached CP3 and said ‘we love you dude, but we can’t do the $30.8 for you next year.  New CBA blah blah blah’.  You have a choice.  If you want to go get an MLE job somewhere, you can make $28mm next season, but you can’t do it here because we will S/W you if you want to go.  If you want to stay on a minimum, great, love to have you, but we can’t S/W you in that scenario.  We need to plan around your decision, so you have X days to let us know.  Our base presumption is you are looking for the money, so we will S/W unless you agree to take the minimum.  Have a nice day.

Pretty much. CP3 knows he´s not even getting the $15M difference on the open market, if he is waived. I doubt any contender even gives him the full MLE. It be more like a stop gap minimum level or smallest exception kind of deal. I really don´t see a deal here, cause the Suns have nothing to make other teams happy.  No young players and no trade assets. Would a team eat CP3´s deal for 5-6 second round picks?