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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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Jason Terry - Jason Terry - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 12:38 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: If he comes with Nic Claxton I'm all for it. 

I just don't think the Nets are really motivated to attach their starting center in a deal like that. Heck though DFS was horrible for them, I'm hesitant to say they'd trade 21+22+DFS for #10.
I still think Nets make the most sense for trade down. Jazz and Pacers are also obvious candidates. 

Nets have Oneale and DFS. Don’t think they would give up Claxton. They need to cut salaries so i could see them wanting to move DFS to open space for retaining Cam Johnson. Also, while 21 and 22 would be great i could see them giving us one of those along with DFS to move up to 10

Something like:

Mavs get: DFS, Mills and 22

Nets get: 10 and Bullock and Mcgee while saving short and long term $


RE: Jason Terry - Chicagojk - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 06:24 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: I still think Nets make the most sense for trade down. Jazz and Pacers are also obvious candidates. 

Nets have Oneale and DFS. Don’t think they would give up Claxton. They need to cut salaries so i could see them wanting to move DFS to open space for retaining Cam Johnson. Also, while 21 and 22 would be great i could see them giving us one of those along with DFS to move up to 10

Something like:

Mavs get: DFS, Mills and 22

Nets get: 10 and Bullock and Mcgee while saving short and long term $

I am a DFS fan, but this does not move the needle for me.   Bullock was bad last year.   DFS was average.  I really would have liked to see if the Mavs could have negotiated by putting Bullock in the Kyrie deal and not DFS.  That would have been ideal.

But moving 10 for DFS, Mills and 22 is pretty meh.   Mills has always been a favorite of mine, but at this stage I am not sure he would have much more impact that retired McGee.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

From Hollinger:

How can trades happen if nobody can make a deal? The three teams that should be selling (Portland, Chicago and Washington) insist on buying, and the bad teams have nothing the good teams want. But the biggest obstacle to trades this offseason, by far, is that a number of teams that otherwise would be dealing like crazy have choked off all their options.

https://theathletic.com/4550621/2023/05/25/nba-offseason-trades-warriors-hawks-timberwolves-hollinger/


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

A short recap of the article. Mavs are one of a large group of teams (9 in total counting Mavs) who are good, but not good enough. All with limited draft assets and projected to be in the tax next season. So, how do they pivot from here? All of them would want to reduce payroll while simultaneously improve their squads. Not an easy task to do at all. If you want to trade within this group, everyone will be looking for a thing they can't provide - less salary. So, are the deals within this group possible without adding a third team?

My comment regarding Mavs, also touching that 5 year plan. Mavs chose to ride with Kyrie. If they sign him for three, four or whatever years, the possibility of him remaining a good soldier for more than 1 or 2 years is very low. If (when?) that happens, his value will be negative - due to his age his value might be negative in any case. So how do you pivot, if (when?) relationship goes bad? Is there any other way but try to win in that 1 to 2 year window? I don't think so, unless you hit the jack-pot and draft a star with #10. A good player would not be enough.

Mavs cap situation doesn't look that bad, really. If Kyrie resigns for 45 mil and they add a FRP at 5 mil + 4 mil for four incomplete roster spots, they are basically at tax line. This is for 9 players (plus the pick). You don't need more players for playoff rotation. The key would be to either replace or stretch the players that don't fit without adding additional salary to what it is owed to this existing guys. THJ+Bertans+McGee are 40 mil of salary, with the pick this is 45 mil of salary. Bullock and Kleber are also expendable. A year later Bullock comes of the books and Green will have to be paid - hopefully his extension doesn't get well over 10 mil. Another decision Mavs likely need to make this summer. Either negotiate a still relatively low number or trade him. They don't want to be trapped if he completely breaks out this season, imho.

So how would my plan look like.
1. Do best possible with the pick. Either draft a player if the one you really like is there or trade him without bringing additional salary in. Use any combination of Bullock/Maxi/McGee/Bertans/THJ. Green and Hardy of the table, unless you are certain you can't reach a reasonable extension with Green.
2. Summer - trade 2027 and Bertans (also add McGee if possible) for useful players that have less salary. I don't know - Bertans to Charlotte for Martin and Jones (and whatever draft capital Mavs could get back). To Indy for Theis and Duarte. Bertans and McGee to Detroit for Stewart and Burks? Stuff like that.
3. Use the savings to bring another decent player with exception money.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - Chicagojk - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 08:38 AM)omahen Wrote:  
2. Summer - trade 2027 and Bertans (also add McGee if possible) for useful players that have less salary. I don't know - Bertans to Charlotte for Martin and Jones (and whatever draft capital Mavs could get back). To Indy for Theis and Duarte. Bertans and McGee to Detroit for Stewart and Burks? Stuff like that.
3. Use the savings to bring another decent player with exception money.

Do you mean 27 and Bertans for Martin and Jones for this summer or next?

The 27 pick is valuable to teams but it is far enough away that a current GM may not want to wait on it as he may not be making the pick.    I think this trade deadline or next summer is where this 27 pick could be valuable when combining it with Bullock (Trade deadline) or Bertans (trade deadline/next offseason).   I would hope they stay opportunistic with this 27 first and don't jump at the first offer.   I look at examples of Lauri traded to Cleveland, Grant traded to Portland, Allen traded to Cleveland, Gordon traded to Denver as the value I would like to get back for the 27 pick plus expirings.

The trick is finding a player who is not too good that the teams hoarding picks would throw in multiple picks for but also one where the player is good enough to be a clear upgrade to this roster.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - ItsGoTime - 05-25-2023

With a new GM in Washington, any chance he wants to move some pieces?

Bullock/McGee/27 unprotected for Gafford/Avdija?

I think this is possible if he wants to move Beal and build around KP and Kuzma.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - Razzmatazz_Hopskidillydoo - 05-25-2023

You guys really want a non-shooting big? Why not someone who can rebound, protect the rim and also shoot the 3?

If the Mavs are going to trade 10, I want these guys:
Stewart+Hayes+filler+31 for 10 and any combo of McGee/THJ/SNT Wood/Bertans

Stewart is a mobile, physical C who can shoot. Yes he can be rough and he has this crazy in him, but if the Mavs want junkyard dogs, Stewart and even Hayes has that in their DNA.

DP would have just took the elbow:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_tWRe0UX6NI

Griffin wouldn't even look at him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zy3C-kZ_ImI

If the Mavs had this guy a year ago against the Warriors, Mavs would have been in the finals:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PV64EsYiQnw

I don't condone this, but he won't be pushed around:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oyt9Y49i2B4

Still reasonable, and can separate ill intent:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kC_UZZbNHJU

A center version of Maxi:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaTzdYyuLs0

Physicality and defense at the PG slot
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIblhTk8KXQ


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 08:56 AM)Chicagojk Wrote: Do you mean 27 and Bertans for Martin and Jones for this summer or next?

The 27 pick is valuable to teams but it is far enough away that a current GM may not want to wait on it as he may not be making the pick.    I think this trade deadline or next summer is where this 27 pick could be valuable when combining it with Bullock (Trade deadline) or Bertans (trade deadline/next offseason).   I would hope they stay opportunistic with this 27 first and don't jump at the first offer.   I look at examples of Lauri traded to Cleveland, Grant traded to Portland, Allen traded to Cleveland, Gordon traded to Denver as the value I would like to get back for the 27 pick plus expirings.

The trick is finding a player who is not too good that the teams hoarding picks would throw in multiple picks for but also one where the player is good enough to be a clear upgrade to this roster.

I thought this summer, but could also wait till TDL. I just think you can't complete with so many bad salaries on the roster. Mavs have 40 mil of them counting THJ, who doesn't really fit next to Luka and Kyrie. Replace that with players that fit and we could have something. Teams wont have cap space at TDL, so at least equal salary will be coming back. According to new CBA, you basically have to spend cap space till start of season.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 09:38 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: With a new GM in Washington, any chance he wants to move some pieces?

Bullock/McGee/27 unprotected for Gafford/Avdija?

I think this is possible if he wants to move Beal and build around KP and Kuzma.

I doubt he would build around KP and Kuzma. I think if they are selling, everything should go and both could bring something in SnT if Washington is taking bad salaries back. I would just clean the house and gather as much future assets as possible. Morris and Wright could also bring a couple of second rounders. 

Personally I am not really a fan of Avdija, but I could see something like this, if you replace Bullock with Bertans. Still, I would want a future lottery protected pick or something similar back. Spend the remaining assets on another big wing (either draft or trade).

(05-25-2023, 09:47 AM)Razzmatazz_Hopskidillydoo Wrote: You guys really want a non-shooting big? Why not someone who can rebound, protect the rim and also shoot the 3?

If the Mavs are going to trade 10, I want these guys:
Stewart+Hayes+filler+31 for 10 and any combo of McGee/THJ/SNT Wood/Bertans

Not really a fan. I would want a clear cut starter with #10 or I rather keep the pick. I like Stewart, but not that much. I doubt Hayes can be more than a bench guy. Terrible shooter who doesn't really fit next to Luka or Kyrie.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - DallasMaverick - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 04:38 AM)omahen Wrote: Harden max deal will immediately become one of the worst contracts in the league. So good luck to Houston, I guess. I wonder how Philly pivots if Harden really walks. Will Embiid demand out? Is there another star that could become available. Maxey (and Harris) for Beal? Same for Lillard? Are their contracts really any better than Harden one?

So...

Who'd you rather have?  Harden on a 4-year deal starting at $40m?  Or Kyrie?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:21 AM)DallasMaverick Wrote: So...

Who'd you rather have?  Harden on a 4-year deal starting at $40m?  Or Kyrie?

Kyrie. I think his fit next to Luka is better than Harden


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - ItsGoTime - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:11 AM)omahen Wrote: I doubt he would build around KP and Kuzma. I think if they are selling, everything should go and both could bring something in SnT if Washington is taking bad salaries back. I would just clean the house and gather as much future assets as possible. Morris and Wright could also bring a couple of second rounders. 

Personally I am not really a fan of Avdija, but I could see something like this, if you replace Bullock with Bertans. Still, I would want a future lottery protected pick or something similar back. Spend the remaining assets on another big wing (either draft or trade).
If he can get stuff for them, sure. I don’t think that’ll be much the case. My thought was to give them a group to play with and build their value a bit more then trade them off. KP being a couple years from major injury would do a lot for his value IMO.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:34 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: If he can get stuff for them, sure. I don’t think that’ll be much the case. My thought was to give them a group to play with and build their value a bit more then trade them off. KP being a couple years from major injury would do a lot for his value IMO.

The downside is, both would likely sign hefty long term deals. And it might be more likely that KP gets injured again than stay healthy for another season. I think if Washington decides to rebuild, they need to be really bad for a couple of seasons to hopefully draft a star in one or two drafts, than build around that guy.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - ItsGoTime - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:38 AM)omahen Wrote: The downside is, both would likely sign hefty long term deals. And it might be more likely that KP gets injured again than stay healthy for another season. I think if Washington decides to rebuild, they need to be really bad for a couple of seasons to hopefully draft a star in one or two drafts, than build around that guy.
I can maybe see a market for Kuzma (maybe), but with KP, they would be bidding against themselves if they make it a hefty deal.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:43 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I can maybe see a market for Kuzma (maybe), but with KP, they would be bidding against themselves if they make it a hefty deal.

KP has a 36 mil player option. Imho, he either signs something like 100/4 or he rather takes his option.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - DallasMaverick - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:38 AM)omahen Wrote: The downside is, both would likely sign hefty long term deals. And it might be more likely that KP gets injured again than stay healthy for another season. I think if Washington decides to rebuild, they need to be really bad for a couple of seasons to hopefully draft a star in one or two drafts, than build around that guy.

Draft picks are like lottery tickets.  Sometimes you get lucky.

Teams that believe they are on the cusp have generally preferred the certainty and immediacy of an established player rather than rolling the dice.  It's the teams on the edges (either really bad, or really good) that have been more willing to keep the pick.

One could argue that, under the new CBA, draft picks have greater value than they used to.  The value of hitting a home run on a cost-controller rookie might be rising higher than the cost of a proven but now super-expensive complementary player.

So teams like Washington might also find it more difficult to deal proven players like Beal and KP for bad short-term salaries and draft picks.

Perhaps the Mavs will decide to keep their bad salaries and draft picks, offer Kyrie a short-term contract, be content with a 5-10 Western Conference finish for the next couple of years, and hope for that one-in-a-million hit on their lottery tickets.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - Chicagojk - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 08:38 AM)omahen Wrote: A short recap of the article. Mavs are one of a large group of teams (9 in total counting Mavs) who are good, but not good enough. All with limited draft assets and projected to be in the tax next season. So, how do they pivot from here? All of them would want to reduce payroll while simultaneously improve their squads. Not an easy task to do at all. If you want to trade within this group, everyone will be looking for a thing they can't provide - less salary. So, are the deals within this group possible without adding a third team?

My comment regarding Mavs, also touching that 5 year plan. Mavs chose to ride with Kyrie. If they sign him for three, four or whatever years, the possibility of him remaining a good soldier for more than 1 or 2 years is very low. If (when?) that happens, his value will be negative - due to his age his value might be negative in any case. So how do you pivot, if (when?) relationship goes bad? Is there any other way but try to win in that 1 to 2 year window? I don't think so, unless you hit the jack-pot and draft a star with #10. A good player would not be enough.

Mavs cap situation doesn't look that bad, really. If Kyrie resigns for 45 mil and they add a FRP at 5 mil + 4 mil for four incomplete roster spots, they are basically at tax line. This is for 9 players (plus the pick). You don't need more players for playoff rotation. The key would be to either replace or stretch the players that don't fit without adding additional salary to what it is owed to this existing guys. THJ+Bertans+McGee are 40 mil of salary, with the pick this is 45 mil of salary. Bullock and Kleber are also expendable. A year later Bullock comes of the books and Green will have to be paid - hopefully his extension doesn't get well over 10 mil. Another decision Mavs likely need to make this summer. Either negotiate a still relatively low number or trade him. They don't want to be trapped if he completely breaks out this season, imho.

So how would my plan look like.
1. Do best possible with the pick. Either draft a player if the one you really like is there or trade him without bringing additional salary in. Use any combination of Bullock/Maxi/McGee/Bertans/THJ. Green and Hardy of the table, unless you are certain you can't reach a reasonable extension with Green.
2. Summer - trade 2027 and Bertans (also add McGee if possible) for useful players that have less salary. I don't know - Bertans to Charlotte for Martin and Jones (and whatever draft capital Mavs could get back). To Indy for Theis and Duarte. Bertans and McGee to Detroit for Stewart and Burks? Stuff like that.
3. Use the savings to bring another decent player with exception money.

IF this is true and these teams, including the Mavs, are behind the 8 ball.  I hope the Mavs don't panic.  It will be hard not to due to their past mistakes and style of doing things in the past.   But if they are stuck, the easiest ways to change that is the folllowing:

1) hit your draft pick.  Either at 10 or trade down.  Expecting immediate results is the short game, but you really want to find an attractive asset who can also be a part of your future core.  
2) target a distressed asset.  You need to be right here because typically this player is going to carry a decent salary.   
3) uncover an hidden asset.   This can be a young player, a player who has not popped yet or a second round/undrafted guy.

You can do all this offseason, but it will be asking a lot of this front office.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

This guy has crazy valuations imho. And he is a Houston writer. Are they really that desperate???

1. Keldon Johnson for #4 and top 3 protected 2025 FRP. Johnson is good, but I don't think he is that good
2. Cam Johnson for #4, two additional future firsts, KJ Martin and Tate. This Johnson is good, but nowhere near 3 FRP picks good, imho. One of them even being #4 pick.
3. OG Anunoby for #4, top 6 protected 2025, KJ Martin and Tari Eason. Anunoby is good, but again, I don't think he is that good.
4. Murray and Collins for KPJ, KJ Martin, Tate, #4 and additional 3 FRP. I know Atlanta paid 3 FRP for Murray, but he is expiring and can just walk in a season (can't offer him enough to extend him).
5. This one is really crazy. Sengun, KPJ, KJ Martin, #4 and additional FRP for Turner and Hield.
6. It gets even better. KPJ, KJ Martin, Tate,#4 and two additional FRP for Poole and Kuminga. Did he watch Poole in playoffs? He is a negative contract...

I mean, if his valuations are anywhere close to reality, what can Mavs get for #10? Pay someone to take it? Smile

https://theathletic.com/4550522/2023/05/25/rockets-nba-draft-pick-trade-2023/


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - omahen - 05-25-2023

(05-25-2023, 10:54 AM)Chicagojk Wrote: IF this is true and these teams, including the Mavs, are behind the 8 ball.  I hope the Mavs don't panic.  It will be hard not to due to their past mistakes and style of doing things in the past.   But if they are stuck, the easiest ways to change that is the folllowing:

1) hit your draft pick.  Either at 10 or trade down.  Expecting immediate results is the short game, but you really want to find an attractive asset who can also be a part of your future core.  
2) target a distressed asset.  You need to be right here because typically this player is going to carry a decent salary.   
3) uncover an hidden asset.   This can be a young player, a player who has not popped yet or a second round/undrafted guy.

You can do all this offseason, but it will be asking a lot of this front office.

The problem with 1 is the Kyrie window. Can the Mavs really afford to wait two years for the pick to really develop? In that time Kyrie will likely find something to destroy the relationship with Mavs. Or he will simply start falling of the cliff. I am not totally against the pick, but they would really need to hit it big time.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lebron: "I got a lot to think about next year" - Ghost of Podkolzin - 05-25-2023

ItsGoTime Wrote:Maybe the problem is you’re trying to “win” something here. You asked my opinion, I gave it with my reasoning, you got upset with that reasoning. You seem to think he has more value than 17, how about you share what value you think he has instead of trying to confront me on mine? We can then agree to disagree and move on.

That was in response to your talking about a "feeling" that I was trying to voice his potential rather than his value, as if the two don't at least coexist for a rookie.  You said that his value hasn't increased since putting up favorable production to OG's second season.  You were wrong about the two season's being analogous.  I proved that, yet you didn't change your opinion or "feeling".

To answer you, he's definitely worth more than his draft spot of 17.  IMO the starting asking price would be #10, probably involving a third team who adds talent to the trade to HOU with our taking on a bad contract from the third team.

(05-25-2023, 04:38 AM)omahen Wrote: Harden max deal will immediately become one of the worst contracts in the league. So good luck to Houston, I guess. I wonder how Philly pivots if Harden really walks. Will Embiid demand out? Is there another star that could become available. Maxey (and Harris) for Beal? Same for Lillard? Are their contracts really any better than Harden one?

I think Maxi/Harris for Dame makes a lot of sense for both franchises.