Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms (/showthread.php?tid=2444) Pages:
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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Jym - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 01:56 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I do remember that. I don't know if Ayton is the right choice but turning Kyrie into a long term starter at either PF or C is really tempting so we can start Hardy and Green (assuming Kidd will actually do that) RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - IamDougieFresh - 05-13-2023 My best offer for Ayton is THJ + Reggie + McShaqtin. No picks. Here’s my hopefully semi realistic optimistic roster: Kyrie Green (takes the next step) Luka Hopefully one of the forwards makes it to #10 somehow Ayton Hardy (takes the next step) Alec Burks (Bertans + 2027 first) McDaniels (MLE, Duffy) Maxi Beef Stew (Bertans + 2027 1st) Wright Lawson (takes the next step) Bo Cruz (vet min) Neemias Queta (cheap big man, Duffy, check his G League tape) A few more spots for whoever lol RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - F Gump - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 03:10 AM)IamDougieFresh Wrote: My best offer for Ayton is THJ + Reggie + McShaqtin. No picks. That's where I've landed as well on my limit for DA -- either that, or Kleber, Bullock, McGee. DA's contract is bad. Either way, the Mavs end up with a route to possible improvement, and a much different mix. [Do I think PHX will be interested? Probably not, unless it's the best they can do. Seems like they have to do some deal or other to move him, and are already trying to create the appearance of competition.] But in a deal like that, the Mavs end up at a place that could offer a path to a better team perhaps. LUKA KYRIE AYTON THJ (or Maxi) GREEN HARDY FULL MLE (if Kyrie will sign for the same dollars as Luka) PICK 10 7 players making the minimum -- there is lots of room for some of these to play a lot, which is a potential plus in getting players to want to be here RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Mavs2021 - 05-13-2023 Ayton + five second round picks for Kyrie is still the easiest way out of this mess. I´m sure Phoenix does it. You are rid of a 250M fragile body with a crazy mind, and you buy yourself more time with Luka through the personal connection with Ayton. You sell a youth concept with Luka/Ayton as the core, Hardy/Green growing into their roles and whoever you pick with #10. Trade #10+Kleber+Bullock for Draymond instead. Is Luka/Kyrie/THJ/Bertans/Green better than Curry/Thompson/Wiggins/Green/Looney? Consider me sceptical and that team needed seven to get past the first round. Plus you have two nutjob All-Stars on your team that are injury-prone and sitting on long-term JaVale contracts. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 01:56 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Comparing packages here, I was thinking a lot about this potential packages. I would say most have assets that are not really needed by Phoenix. Since there is a gazillion possibilities for third team, I will just try to compare base values, not necessarily how much it makes sense for Phoenix. Bulls: Vucevic is FA, so not really value here. Of course Chicago could help with SnT, but SnT creates a bunch of other problems we discussed in length regarding Kyrie. DeRozan doesn't make much sense for Phoenix. Who has more value: Ayton or DeRozan? There was another report that Chicago might retool around LaVine and DeRozan is 33 year old expiring. If I am Chicago and want to stay competitive, I am not selling Caruso. Chicago has zero draft capital to offer. So in the end, the final offer is DeRozan and minor assets. Charlotte: Rozier, Martin, Jones and 2023 Denver pick (#27). In parallel they could swap Hayward and CP3. They need a center and it all depends how much they like Ayton. Portland: Their best salary asset is Simons, but he is really not needed by Phoenix. I assume Sharpe is off the table. Having those limitations, Nurkic, Little and Knox is basically the only salary combo that works. Is Portland desperate enough to include their #5 pick (assuming they stay at 5)? Of course, a number of trade down scenarios are possible. Mavs: "my" best offer is THJ+Maxi+#10. If they prefer Bullock instead of Maxi, I am ok. If they prefer Bullock+Maxi+McGee, I am also fine. But Bullock took the effort to publicly make fun of Phoenix, so I think he is sort of the table for them. Looking at player value, Charlotte can give best proposal imho, if Phoenix doesn't care about long term salaries of Rozier and Martin. Dallas and Portland have similarly meh player offers. Nurkic can help in regular season but will be liability in playoffs. Little and Knox are young, but nothing special. So in the end, it might all depend how much asset value is one willing to offer and what could that buy. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-13-2023 Stein fantasy trade for Ayton (in his latest podcast with Hynes) is THJ+Kleber+#10. Haynes and him also mention common agent Duffy. https://marcstein.substack.com/p/an-ode-to-the-organist-all-the-nba?sd=pf Podcast: https://twitter.com/TheSteinLine/status/1657030108597612552 RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Chicagojk - 05-13-2023 That sounds like an overpay for Ayton...especially after his playoff series. #10 seems too much in that package. But there needs to be some draft equity probably. I will be really curious to see what the packages the Suns get for Ayton. Last year they could have gotten some pretty good offers. I wonder if any of those are still available for him. Maybe now. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-13-2023 https://twitter.com/MavsFilmRoom/status/1657109166635339793 Regarding Ayton, both Stein and Shams mention there is still belief in at least some of the teams he can turn it around, because he was not happy in Phoenix. For a team like Charlotte, it is not a huge risk to get him. If they fail and he is bad, they will remain bad. If they win, that could be a start of something nice. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Chicagojk - 05-13-2023 We will see how good this new PHX owner is and see if he can get the best of Cuban in a trade. It is sort of becoming a trend. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Mavs2021 - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 08:16 AM)omahen Wrote: Stein fantasy trade for Ayton (in his latest podcast with Hynes) is THJ+Kleber+#10. Haynes and him also mention common agent Duffy. I´d rather give them Irving to be honest. Irving problem aside, my thinking is with the cap development you are looking at 60M starting salary for the elite centers like Embiid/Jokic very soon. Even the worst starting centers will get MLE money, which will probably start at 13-14M. So how much of an overpay is Ayton really? Guys like Allen or Turner will make starting salaries of 25-27M on their next deals. So Ayton is a 24 year old #1 pick at 18/10/2 with three years left at 33M/year. Plus you have Green on a rookie deal, Hardy on a rookie deal, #10 on a rookie deal. Kleber, Bullock and THJ on reasonable deals. Basically only Bertans and McGee are trash contracts, and Suns might have some interest in McGee. This would be such a sensible approach going forward. On paper you have a full starting five of 25 and unders, a veteran bench with Kleber, THJ, Bullock and you have a very healthy cap structure in 12 months. If you are dumb, you simplify things. 1 for 1 player trade. Draft #10. Use exceptions. The end. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 03:36 AM)F Gump Wrote: That's where I've landed as well on my limit for DA -- either that, or Kleber, Bullock, McGee. DA's contract is bad.I agree that package just seems right for who Ayton is and his contract amount. Maybe throw in the 30 second since Nico has to include one of those every deal. That final group with THJ allows the THJ for Brooks SnT ($15M starting) deal I really like too. We’re then looking for the right starting PF (honestly, Brooks COULD start at PF too depending on who we could get for the remaining starter spot) and a good few bench players. Are we stretching Bertans to get that Full MLE? If not we have him and the 27 first to get a mini Westbrook deal at the TDL. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 05-13-2023 No way I’m trading them #10 for Ayton without other assets coming back. And if one of our chief rivals wants Kyrie they’ll have to pay out the wazoo for the privilege. I’m assuming there is no way for them to clear cap space to sign him. I know CP is partially guaranteed or something. But they would basically have to dump CP and Ayton to fit Kyrie in at a number he likes, no? My apologies if Im wrong. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-13-2023 To do a Kyrie SnT, has to be past CP3’s decision date to guarantee the contract. So the CP3/Ayton trade possibilities are not a straight up deal, right? RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DanSchwartzgan - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 08:16 AM)omahen Wrote: Stein fantasy trade for Ayton (in his latest podcast with Hynes) is THJ+Kleber+#10. Haynes and him also mention common agent Duffy. There is another common agent relationship here. Son of Mark Bartelstein (THJ's agent) has moved from the Detroit front office to the Phoenix front office. Part of past THJ to Detroit rumors have involved that relationship. So, THJ + Kleber makes a ton of sense. I get queasy at those two plus #10 and would love to lower the outgoing value in one form or another. I keep harping on this, but I would seek to trade 10 for 21 and 22 and give Phoenix one pick and San Antonio the other for taking Bertans. That gives you a path to using the Full MLE and staying out of the tax if Kyrie will take Luka money instead of his max (something else I've been harping on). If some current draft compensation is required on top of THJ and Maxi, I'd prefer a path that gets us the guy you might get at $11mm vs. the guy you might get at $7mm. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - SleepingHero - 05-13-2023 I think the Mavs would have to throw in a pick for Ayton. I wouldn't prefer it but I think it's what's needed. I'd rather throw in 2027 FRP vs. #10. I'd rather use #10 in a deal where we can split it up into 2 picks. Maybe OKC would like to move up and would appreciate a 12+2026 FRP for #10. That way we can still have a pick to throw around in the summer. Might be dreaming but OKC has too many picks already so I can see them being a bit liberal with them. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-13-2023 Mavs problem is the total crap their contracts are: - THJ is sort of ok in right environment (Phoenix already has Shamet in that role, though). - Bullock and Maxi had a down season. Phoenix gets these kind of guys (playing like they did last season) on vet min deals (or close to them). See Craig, Okogie, Wainright, Ross - McGee and Bertans have no value. They are vet min guys at best Ayton might be overpaid, but his 30 million are far better than any combination of 30 million from these contracts Mavs have to offer. No way that deal is done without draft compensation added. The only alternative could be to add Green instead of pick. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DanSchwartzgan - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 11:11 AM)omahen Wrote: Ayton might be overpaid, but his 30 million are far better than any combination of 30 million from these contracts Mavs have to offer. No way that deal is done without draft compensation added. The only alternative could be to add Green instead of pick. I’m still giving them a pick. Just 21 instead of 10 (or maybe it is 12 or 16 depending on which two pick team you trade down with). Another version of this might be to help them create a TPE by sending the pick elsewhere. Maybe we have to take Shamet into the TPE created by the Bertans to SA deal. Or maybe Shamet goes to SA and we don’t get to move on from Bertans. I think Phoenix wants a pick not for the sake of having a rookie, but for the sake of adding another real NBA player to the KD/CP window. If the MLE as a TPE rule is in effect this season, traditional TPE’s might not be as valuable unless they are larger than $11mm. The good news is we are supposed to have a cap guru now instead of Mark’s spreadsheet. The opportunity for creativity is greater now than it has ever been under these new rules. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Ghost of Podkolzin - 05-13-2023 Wood and Ayton is an ideal frontcourt, JS. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DanSchwartzgan - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 03:37 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: Wood and Ayton is an ideal frontcourt, JS. I can't believe I'm going to admit to this, but a similar thought actually crossed my mind. Moving on from THJ and Maxi leaves the bench pretty thin. I started putting together a top 9/10. Starters were Ayton/Luka/Green/Bullock/Kyrie. That leaves Hardy, presumably a resigned Powell and..... Pretty quick you get to the McGee/Morris/Bertans/Holiday types (maybe this is why Morris is so confident of his return). I don't see Wood starting (heck, I don't see him returning at all), but his ability to fill a pretty gaping hole did cross my mind. Of course, he'd have to accept the role I thought he was good for all along (bigger version of Lou Williams). There is definitely a hole to be filled if Maxi and THJ move on and Wood would probably be better than what you get with the TP MLE. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DallasMaverick - 05-13-2023 (05-13-2023, 04:07 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I can't believe I'm going to admit to this, but a similar thought actually crossed my mind. Moving on from THJ and Maxi leaves the bench pretty thin. I started putting together a top 9/10. Starters were Ayton/Luka/Green/Bullock/Kyrie. That leaves Hardy, presumably a resigned Powell and..... Seems like it hinges on: 1. His willingness to accept a sub-MLE contract, and 2. His willingness to accept a bench role with limited minutes He might not have any choice on the contract, if there aren't any other higher offers. On the role... perhaps he's really stuck on either starting or starters' minutes. So would he take less money to achieve that? $5m instead of $7m? Or $8m instead of $11? Some NBA players seem to have an ego that attaches tremendous importance to "starting". Others care a lot about total minutes, or perhaps ending games. Some just want the team to win, and don't seem to care how they're utilized. Not sure how Wood sees himself here. |