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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - omahen - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:44 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: If it ends up being three outgoing players, Dallas would have a limited time to get back to 14...or as you suggest...could get someone else back from Toronto.  McDaniels (Duffy) would make sense as DJJ insurance next summer.  He can't buy a three to save his life this season.

Sending out THJ AND Green would be a tremendous vote of confidence for Hardy's future role here.  

Siakam is probably your Lively backup as well as the starting four in the playoffs.  Both McDaniels and DJJ are a bit undersized at the four which keeps a path open for significant future minutes for OMax.

I think Exum and DJJ would share remaining SG/SF minutes (Hardy and Seth can jump in when shooting is needed), creating a hole at the back-up PF. That is why I would like very much Boucher or McDaniels from Toronto. Maxi could of course also get some of those minutes.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - RoyTarpleysGhost - 01-04-2024

Lebron is losing his patience with the Lakers. We interested in any trades that send Kyrie to LA?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - DanSchwartzgan - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:48 AM)omahen Wrote: I think Exum and DJJ would share remaining SG/SF minutes (Hardy and Seth can jump in when shooting is needed), creating a hole at the back-up PF. That is why I would like very much Boucher or McDaniels from Toronto. Maxi could of course also get some of those minutes.

Agree.  But, I used the words "Hardy's future role".  You don't move on from THJ and Green without substantial belief in what Hardy will become.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - omahen - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:53 AM)RoyTarpleysGhost Wrote: Lebron is losing his patience with the Lakers. We interested in any trades that send Kyrie to LA?

I am not, really. I think Reaves is overhyped and Lakers have only one pick to offer. I think Mavs would be giving up by far the best player in the deal, which would make Mavs much more like a rebuilding team again. But too good to rebuild decently. 

I think Lakers will change coach. Again.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - KillerLeft - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:13 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I don't think FG's extension requirement is realistic.  But, I think getting PS is more likely to happen than it would be otherwise because Dallas might be willing to take the risk (again) of their acquisition walking on them.

Specifically on the re-signing angle, I'm not worried. It's the same "risk" they took with Kyrie and Porzingis, and I don't mean the part where nobody had cap room for Kyrie. I mean that if the Mavs trade for Siakam, I will take that as a sign that they have determined through back channels that he's at least open to re-signing here. 

Nothing that has been leaked to the media has ruled Dallas out from his POV. His team has leaked that he's unwilling to extend with anyone (don't blame him, not enough money on the allowed extension), which basically means he wants the full max over the summer (duh)  and that he will NOT re-sign in Atlanta. Those are the only not-so-subtle messages his camp has gotten out there to my knowledge. 

If anything, it kind of seems like he likes the idea of coming to Dallas. Maybe not exclusively, but certainly more than ATL.

I think the reason Dallas is being taken seriously is that it's a two-horse race between Philly and Dallas.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - Jason Terry - 01-04-2024

Mavs get: Siakam, OPJ, McDaniels

Raptors get: THJ, GWill, Green, Holmes and Raptors 2025 2nd goes back to them giving them all their own picks

Raptors would be getting some solid depth. THJ/Holmes which are the worst players would be expiring. Green/GWill are solid guys to have long term. If they are serious about getting good players back and competing then they should consider this. The OG trade IMO is proof that they want the players over picks

Forwards and Bigs- Defenders
Lively/Siakam/Maxi
Siakam/McDaniels/DJJ/Maxi
DJJ/McDaniels/OPJ

Guards and Scorers- Offenders
Kyrie/Seth/Hardy
Luka/Exum


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - omahen - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 11:21 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: Mavs get: Siakam, OPJ, McDaniels

Raptors get: THJ, GWill, Green, Holmes and Raptors 2025 2nd goes back to them giving them all their own picks

Raptors would be getting some solid depth. THJ/Holmes which are the worst players would be expiring. Green/GWill are solid guys to have long term. If they are serious about getting good players back and competing then they should consider this. The OG trade IMO is proof that they want the players over picks

Forwards and Bigs- Defenders
Lively/Siakam/Maxi
Siakam/McDaniels/DJJ/Maxi
DJJ/McDaniels/OPJ

Guards and Scorers- Offenders
Kyrie/Seth/Hardy
Luka/Exum

I am ok, although I would prefer Boucher to OPJ. I also don't really care if more assets are needed. If this is a two team race between Philly and Dallas, Dallas can offer much better long term pieces than Philly. So unless Indy, Sacramento or Atlanta substantially increase their potential offers, Mavs might have a good chance of making it done. Still a long time and things could change.

I am really hyped about the prospect of getting Siakam. I understand he is not a perfect fit for a Luka centric offense, but it gives Mavs ability to further move on from that type of play and become far more diversified. Opponent needs to put a big wing on Luka, because he just feasts against smaller guys. But, opponent can't afford to put a small player on Siakam too, as he is also able to feast against them. Guys like Maxi also offer huge line-up flexibility for Mavs. 

As I said a couple of posts ago. If Mavs get a guy like Siakam, it is on the players and coaching staff to figure it out. No more excuses about not having enough talent around Luka. It is also on him to adjust. And I am not that worried. Luka showed already with Kyrie he is willing to adjust and I am quite sure he will adjust to Siakam too. Of course, he will still be number one option of the team. 

On the defensive end, Mavs could put on an impressive defensive four of Exum, DJJ, Siakam and Lively next to either of their prime guards. So many possibilities.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - KillerLeft - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 11:42 AM)omahen Wrote: I am really hyped about the prospect of getting Siakam. I understand he is not a perfect fit for a Luka centric offense, but it gives Mavs ability to further move on from that type of play and become far more diversified.

Yeah, there are things about the fit I don't love, but I'm getting there, too. I think it's the way to go, if possible. 

I just really hope O-Max is still here afterwards.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 11:45 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Yeah, there are things about the fit I don't love, but I'm getting there, too. I think it's the way to go, if possible. 

I just really hope O-Max is still here afterwards.

This is where I’m at as well. Fit not perfect, but HUGE talent upgrade on what we are currently trotting out at 4 and small ball 5. Adds another playmaker with length to the lineup. 

I really hope we keep O-Max too. Even in his very flawed, gangly minutes out there last night you can see the outline of the perfect modern 4/5. Almost like a cross between OG & Siakam. Better handles than I’d thought and the way he covers ground with the ball which is closer to Pascal. 

Heartened by the reports that we held the line on including Green in the Irving deal. I think we have a better negotiating team than we had in the Cuban/Donnie years.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - mvossman - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 11:45 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Yeah, there are things about the fit I don't love, but I'm getting there, too. I think it's the way to go, if possible. 

I just really hope O-Max is still here afterwards.

I have concerns about fit as well, but the conclusion I am coming to is that there is not really anyone available with a better fit.  If we make the trade (and hold on to him) its hard to argue against the value as we don't really have the assets for a straight up trade if he had a couple of years left on contract.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - F Gump - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:13 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: 1 I don't think FG's extension requirement is realistic. 

2 Inevitably the DJJ thing comes up any time we talk about a big dollar guy like Siakam.  Green/GWill/THJ is $41mm or so next season which probably keeps us around the tax give or take a million or two depending on what Siakam signs for. 

1 What do you mean by "realistic"? It's my assessment that Siakam is too risky of a trade, with Philly looming to snatch him away in the summer. This would not be a Kyrie scenario, where the primary expected competition has no cap room.

The only way to avoid that is to require an extension. So I would make that part of the deal OR would just not trade for him. Seems way more realistic to me than paying a bunch of assets for a half-season rental and then very likely ending up with nothing. One more thing -- if you don't take that stance, you won't get to see how much staying in Dallas might interest him, before trading for him.

2 Your math is off. Trading $41M and then signing Siakam to a max $42.6M diminishes your room under the apron by about $5M, because of the 3-for-1 aspect. You end up broadly in the area of the TxpMLE of $5.2M. If you think that will be enough left for DJJ, ok, but I have huge doubts.

Of course, if Siakam walks as a FA, problem solved!


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - Mavs2021 - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 10:53 AM)RoyTarpleysGhost Wrote: Lebron is losing his patience with the Lakers. We interested in any trades that send Kyrie to LA?

Every bone in my body screams trade, because of age/timeline, injury and mental health concerns. We are also 9-7 without him, 11-8 with him. So like on his previous recent teams there is not much on-court impact on overall winning. With or without him, for the most part, we beat shitty teams and lose to good teams.

That being said on paper the return will look so underwhelming, that I can hear people moan through my screen already.

Say the core of the deal is Irving for Reaves, Hachimura + Lakers 1st.

Would you trade Reaves/Hachimura for Dinwiddie/DFS? That´s basically what it comes down to. 

On the other hand the Lakers could free up three 1st round picks, if they re-acquire their pick to Utah. Say Hachimura to Utah for their 1st back and suddenly they have a lot more options.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - mvossman - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 05:04 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Every bone in my body screams trade, because of age/timeline, injury and mental health concerns. We are also 9-7 without him, 11-8 with him. So like on his previous recent teams there is not much on-court impact on overall winning. With or without him, for the most part, we beat shitty teams and lose to good teams.

That being said on paper the return will look so underwhelming, that I can hear people moan through my screen already.

Say the core of the deal is Irving for Reaves, Hachimura + Lakers 1st.

Would you trade Reaves/Hachimura for Dinwiddie/DFS? That´s basically what it comes down to. 

On the other hand the Lakers could free up three 1st round picks, if they re-acquire their pick to Utah. Say Hachimura to Utah for their 1st back and suddenly they have a lot more options.

I think the biggest pro Kyrie argument is that we are running Luka into the ground when he is out.  

If talking about sending Kyrie to LA, I think it would need to be a three way.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 01-04-2024

The only way we trade Kyrie anytime soon is if he wants out and starts to make a fuss or Luka wants him gone. I just don’t see either of those things happening this season. I think it’s more likely Bron finds his way here next season.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - Mavs2021 - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 05:20 PM)mvossman Wrote: I think the biggest pro Kyrie argument is that we are running Luka into the ground when he is out.  

If talking about sending Kyrie to LA, I think it would need to be a three way.

Certainly a fair point, then Reaves has played 1000 minutes this season vs. 600 minutes for Kyrie. 

Obviously Kyrie demands more attention than Reaves, but raw numbers of 23/5/5 vs. 15/5/5 at least make it an argument that he can carry some of the non-Luka back-up minutes sufficiently and provide some relief. In that case though it would certainly help to get another PF that can handle the ball a bit, something around Washington for Williams maybe?

Luka/Reaves/Hardy
Exum/Green/Lawson
DJJ/THJ/OMax
Washington/Hachimura/Holmes
Lively/Kleber/Powell

I think I´d be very fine with that outcome, if we added an unprotected 1st from the Lakers in the process. 

You retain all your young pieces, add a 1st to your own. Suddenly next summer, you are looking at two unprotected 1st round picks, THJ´s expiring contract plus some young desirable pieces that you can package to acquire a legit borderline All-Star starting SG/SF.

This though requires the kind of "mid-term"-ish roster planning that I don´t think Cuban has ever known, maybe Lindsey does.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Shams- Knicks interested in KAT| Siakam trade soon? - mvossman - 01-04-2024

(01-03-2024, 09:30 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Here’s a stab at it:

GSW gets THJ, Holmes and Hardy
Utah gets Moody
Dallas gets Wiggins and Olynyk


Saw a GSW site that outlined trades for Wiggins and they had GS giving up assets with Wiggins in all of their deals.  Their idea was Holmes/THJ for Wiggins/Moody.  I simply added Hardy (because of the posted trade rumor) and sent Moody to Utah and Olynyk to Dallas.

Lively/Olynyk
DJJ/GWill
Wiggins
Kyrie/Green
Luka/Exum

I would have loved a deal like that a year ago, but not so sure now.  He has been terrible this season, and has 4 years on that contract.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - surfpuckmd - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 05:04 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Every bone in my body screams trade, because of age/timeline, injury and mental health concerns. We are also 9-7 without him, 11-8 with him. So like on his previous recent teams there is not much on-court impact on overall winning. With or without him, for the most part, we beat shitty teams and lose to good teams.

That being said on paper the return will look so underwhelming, that I can hear people moan through my screen already.

Say the core of the deal is Irving for Reaves, Hachimura + Lakers 1st.

Would you trade Reaves/Hachimura for Dinwiddie/DFS? That´s basically what it comes down to. 

On the other hand the Lakers could free up three 1st round picks, if they re-acquire their pick to Utah. Say Hachimura to Utah for their 1st back and suddenly they have a lot more options.

I would hate to trade Kyrie for Reaves and Hachimura and a first.  That would be almost as bad as the Porzingis trade.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - DanSchwartzgan - 01-04-2024

(01-04-2024, 02:31 PM)F Gump Wrote: 1 What do you mean by "realistic"? It's my assessment that Siakam is too risky of a trade, with Philly looming to snatch him away in the summer. This would not be a Kyrie scenario, where the primary expected competition has no cap room.

The only way to avoid that is to require an extension. So I would make that part of the deal OR would just not trade for him. Seems way more realistic to me than paying a bunch of assets for a half-season rental and then very likely ending up with nothing. One more thing -- if you don't take that stance, you won't get to see how much staying in Dallas might interest him, before trading for him.

2 Your math is off. Trading $41M and then signing Siakam to a max $42.6M diminishes your room under the apron by about $5M, because of the 3-for-1 aspect. You end up broadly in the area of the TxpMLE of $5.2M. If you think that will be enough left for DJJ, ok, but I have huge doubts.

Of course, if Siakam walks as a FA, problem solved!

Of course it isn’t realistic.  Siakam is very clearly not settling for two years when he can wait a few months and lock in 2-3 more.  His people have been very public about this.  So, your requirement is unrealistic…it won’t happen.  I’m willing to invite you over to my house, but I “require” you give me $1.0 million first.  It is the same as asking Siakam to forfeit $100mm to meet your “requirement”.

I enjoy your stuff, but you have a habit of dropping by and half reading things and then correcting people when no correction is necessary.  You very clearly made a mistake the other day and instead of pouncing on your mistake I brought up the correct position in another thread.  You picked up on it and corrected your work.  Here, I very clearly wasn’t trying to nail down an exact number…thus the words “give or take a million or two”.  First, we don’t know that Siakam will get his full max.  Kyrie didn’t.  Second, we don’t know that Dallas will carry 15.  Third, I mentioned a way to get another additional space under the apron.  Your $5.2mm number supposes a very specific set of answers to several questions that we don’t have answers for.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:Hardy removes Mavs from social media - SleepingHero - 01-05-2024

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Woj- Indiana expected to probe Siakam| OKC not expected to trade - F Gump - 01-05-2024

(01-04-2024, 07:26 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Of course it isn’t realistic.  Siakam is very clearly not settling for two years when he can wait a few months and lock in 2-3 more.  His people have been very public about this.  So, your requirement is unrealistic…it won’t happen.  I’m willing to invite you over to my house, but I “require” you give me $1.0 million first.  It is the same as asking Siakam to forfeit $100mm to meet your “requirement”.

Here, I very clearly wasn’t trying to nail down an exact number…thus the words “give or take a million or two”.  First, we don’t know that Siakam will get his full max.  Kyrie didn’t.  Second, we don’t know that Dallas will carry 15.  Third, I mentioned a way to get another additional space under the apron.  Your $5.2mm number supposes a very specific set of answers to several questions that we don’t have answers for.

No offense intended, and apologies if I didn't address your ideas properly. (But I think I did.)

You keep belaboring the idea of an extension on Siakam, when I never said an extension on Siakam is likely or very doable-- in fact, I said it wasn't. My point was that imo, I don't think the Mavs would be able to re-sign Siakam as a FA. (With the mention of an extension, I was providing a theoretical workaround to avoid that risk, but admitted it was unlikely.) That leaves me AGAINST a Siakam trade, even though I like the player.

Solve for a way to remove the Philly risk and my opinion may change. I felt very different on Kyrie. But it was a different circumstance with a different risk, and I think the difference is huge. I think that approach is realistic, not unrealistic, to consider (and respond to) the huge risk that PS would not re-sign here.

As to the cap numbers, you say I didn't read your words, except I did. I wasn't trying to shoot down the idea, but rather looking to see if it could work that easy, because I think the Mavs can't afford to let DJJ walk at a below-MLE number that they can't pay. They need more talent, not less.

I noted your soft number wording. I considered all the things you did, including roster size, Holmes SW, some softness on Siakam salary (although I certainly don't think a lower salary would be a realistic plan, because if you aren't planning to pay him the "max" he is clearly going to demand and get it from someone the Sixers).

Here was my round number analysis look:
1 RIGHT NOW - Mavs are already at or near tax line next year, which puts them about 7M below the apron. OKAY.
2 Trade result - Trade away $41M in salaries, bring in Siakam (max is a bit over 42M), is about a wash (as you put it, "keeps us around the tax give or take a million or two depending on what Siakam signs for). YES. BUT - that does not account for two empty roster slots added, at a total cap hit of more than $4M.
3 SW Holmes - Adds 8M in room ("he can be stretched to save another $8mm or so"). YES. BUT - that does not account for one empty roster slot added, at a total cap hit of more than $2M.

So the NT-MLE room for DJJ (about $12M) is reduced by about $6M (to around the Txp-MLE of $5.2M).

I went back and put all the salaries and details in a spreadsheet, to see if there was something missing, but found nothing.

I'm at the conclusion that we'd end up making it much HARDER (maybe impossible) to re-sign DJJ, after a PS trade, and the options you outline are about the best they have to work with. So it seems to me that part of the cost of a PS trade would be the loss of DJJ as a feasible re-signing.

Like I said, I wasn't trying to shoot AT you, but rather get some better numbers in the conversational mix. That is, we need another $6M, in addition to all that. No offense intended, and apologies if I didn't say it properly. 

Is there some other avenue to DJJ money I don't see? Or alternately, is $6M or so enough?