Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms (/showthread.php?tid=2444) Pages:
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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 02:30 PM)Luka77 Wrote: Again, I ask what does Ayton do at an elite leve to be paid Max money? Certainly not defend the rim or switch out on perimeter players. His offense is decent but consists of rim running with a good mid range jumper. Is that what the Mavs need on the offensive end? I don't think his offense is necessary esp. with Luka and Kyrie on the floor. And is he willing to accept a role of strictly rim running and improved defensive effort. I have my serious doubts and with that role he isnt worth his contract. Ayton is not worth the max, but that is exactly the reason why he might be available. I said I have concerns about his commitment, but I can't know if that is possible to correct by changing scenery. But Mavs seem to think so, if that is worth anything. Ayton will not be primary offensive option. But it is important that he could punish smaller players with a very simple reason. It will require the opponent to have a center in and Luka feasts against centers in the PnR. In case of Gobert (for example), who has very limited moves, the opponent can simply put in a smaller line-up, switch everything while launching threes on the other side of the court. Exposed in playoffs everytime. Phoenix was hesitant to give him his max. But they did gave it to him. Keeping the same team for Mavs is not an option. Something has to be done. I don't understand your conclusion. Obviously we have no knowledge if Ayton is the first or last deal that comes along. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Chicagojk - 05-08-2023 I have no idea what to think of Ayton. Never really thought of him as a top 25 player but prior to our series last year against PHX had always considered him a good player who gave us issues. I am even more confused this year. You would think a coach like Monty Williams would be easy to play for. While Chris Paul has been a hard teammate in the past, he does have a long history of elevating big men. On the plus side, Ayton is still young and has a strong build to go with a skilled game. I could see his career going either way. Underachieving big man or all star who just needed a change of scenery. Not sure which way I would lean. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 02:03 PM)omahen Wrote: I think move down from 10 to 15 is a fair value for Capella, I am just affraid Atlanta would want even less salary back. Is there a team that would take Bertans for #15 and send us something back? That would give biggest saving for Atlanta. How about:Couldn’t Atl buyout Bertans so all the salary is gone when they need it if that is the issue? As far as your revised trade, I have a weird obsession in wanting ONeal, so I’m game for that too. There is a possibility that Lively is there at 22 as well. I do suspect taking on McGee on top of Bertans is a bit overkill. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 03:53 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Couldn’t Atl buyout Bertans so all the salary is gone when they need it if that is the issue? Bertans is owed full next year and partial season after that. I think the partial is 5 mil. So over 20 mil together. Yeah, McGee is over the top. Besides, salaries don't work for BKN, I was focused too much on Dallas side of the deal. Revise it a bit, Bullock to Atlanta with O'Neale and Mills to Dallas I think it works (BKN just takes Bertans). RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 04:50 PM)omahen Wrote: Bertans is owed full next year and partial season after that. I think the partial is 5 mil. So over 20 mil together.Ya, the issue with Bertans deal is you can’t even play him much to make the deal $5M. So the thought would be to buy him out with the money you would have already been paying Capela the whole year. Then you can fill that roster spot with the #10 pick whatever that is. They then have a better player than they would have had (through the draft pick) and all of Capela’s $22M salary in the 24 offseason to resign their guys. I think I like Mills for the 3rd PG spot if he’s the same player he was when he left SA. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Jym - 05-08-2023 Still can't wrap my head around us taking on Bertans without getting a pick or young talent RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - WildArkieBoy - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 06:01 PM)Jym Wrote: Still can't wrap my head around us taking on Bertans without getting a pick or young talent shoe salesman learning curve? RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 07:53 PM)WildArkieBoy Wrote: shoe salesman learning curve?Directive to get it done at all costs from above? RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Luka77 - 05-08-2023 (05-08-2023, 02:43 PM)omahen Wrote: Ayton is not worth the max, but that is exactly the reason why he might be available. I said I have concerns about his commitment, but I can't know if that is possible to correct by changing scenery. But Mavs seem to think so, if that is worth anything. First, the cost of misappropriated contracts in this new CBA will come at a greater cost to team building. That will likely make long high dollar deals, like Aytons much harder to trade and require giving up more assets to rid yourself of. Also this is likely to raise the value of expiring contracts as teams will be looking to reset their cap ledger to meet the new demands of the CBA. Having said that, I have difficulty believing that a change of scenery is going to automatically change everything for Ayton. Who was the last player that the Mavs acquired who did so after being acquired? Also what makes you believe that Ayton can punish smaller players on the offensive end in the playoffs. Did he do it to Powell or Maxi? When has he showed you that he can? He has little to no back to the basket game. His offense consists of face up mid range game and pull ups without having the required quickness, ball handling or footwork to blow by defenders if they contest. Nor does he have the discipline and work ethic to develop this kind of game. This doesnt exactly give me confidence that Ayton will be a changed player in a new environment. Ayton is who he is. He has a lot of maturing to do. I question if Ayton loves the game or it is just his chosen profession. PHX was hesitant to give him the max and only did so not to lose a potential assest for nothing. Unlike the Mavs, they saw his work ethic, skills development and lockerroom presence every day for four years and didn't think he was worth the max. That should tell the Mavs something. As the sun is most likely to rise tomorrow I can guarantee you with as much certainty that Ayton won't be the first or last player traded in the NBA. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-09-2023 (05-08-2023, 11:28 PM)Luka77 Wrote: PHX was hesitant to give him the max and only did so not to lose a potential assest for nothing. Unlike the Mavs, they saw his work ethic, skills development and lockerroom presence every day for four years and didn't think he was worth the max. That should tell the Mavs something. We are just circling around same thing I admit, he is not worth the max. Never said otherwise. But, if he would be, Mavs would have no way to get him, as their assets are really limited. Mavs have like 50 mil of bad salaries on their roster. Replacing that with 30 mil of bad salary is an actual improvement. Once you get into contending territory, you are always overpaying some players, if you want to stay competitive. Mavs problem is, they are overpaying players that are not good enough to make them a contender. While he is not worth his max deal, it is also not like he is a vet min guy. Overpaid, yes, but still good center. Even if Ayton has his limitations, he is still miles better than Mavs centers. Are there better centers in the league? Of course. Can Mavs actually get one of those? Who knows. Mavs have to become better. Mavs have clearly decided they are in win now window. They want to become an instant contender. We could debate if that is sound strategy or not, but it won't change the fact that this is their strategy. Please show me the way, how will they become an instant contender. It is very easy to say, they need to evaluate players correctly and find bargain deals. I am all for that. But I find it pretty impossible that a team can fill the huge holes they have using the rMLE (or MLE) and #10 pick while trying to become a contender now. Other than the two stars, Green and Hardy, no player on Mavs roster has a positive trade value and they mostly don't fill the needs Mavs have around Luka and Kyrie. Ayton might not be the first choice I would make. There are better theoretical options out there. But, we don't know who is or who is not available. And if the decision is between doing nothing (by nothing I also count bringing in rMLE center) or trading some of the bad contracts and assets for Ayton, I choose the latter option. Depending of course on the price. If I would be able to trade for him while keeping Hardy and Green, using #10 pick and getting some minor asset(s) back, I am for this move. If the price is higher, than not. Ayton has three years left on his deal, which alligns nicely with Luka contract. It means you basically have a 2 year window. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - F Gump - 05-09-2023 (05-09-2023, 04:38 AM)omahen Wrote: Mavs have like 50 mil of bad salaries on their roster. Replacing that with 30 mil of bad salary is an actual improvement. No one believes that bad-for-bad is really the equation here, and you probably don't either. And that reality is the obstacle. PHX will expect to get assets, not your bad contracts and bad players. They hope someone will think, "He's better than our guy" and be willing to - as you say - pursue him for being available, while ignoring the financial ramifications and the fact he's not anywhere close to a $32M value. The Mavs need to be looking for paths to good players on good contracts, rather than using their few assets to get more bad contracts. With a hard cap in essence, they really can't afford to pile on even more bloated salary if they ever want to get enough talent. And if they can't see an avenue in that direction, they might as well kiss Luka bye-bye. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-09-2023 (05-09-2023, 08:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: No one believes that bad-for-bad is really the equation here, and you probably don't either. And that reality is the obstacle.I say if they can’t see an avenue in that direction, they might as well sell everything off for expiring contracts and take another mulligan year. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-10-2023 (05-09-2023, 08:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: No one believes that bad-for-bad is really the equation here, and you probably don't either. And that reality is the obstacle. I never said it is bad for bad directly with Phoenix, and the Mavs asset is #10 pick. Either to Phoenix, or more likely to a third team (a while ago I made an example with Detroit) sending a quality player to Phoenix. I would also like some asset back, likely from same third team, as Phoenix have none to give, other than SRP. Mavs are paying Bertans, who is probably a vet min player, 17 mil. They are paying THJ 18 mil next season. He might be neutral value salary on the market, but just doesn't fit next to Luka and Irving, as he is not an excellent defender. His scoring can be replaced to some extent by Hardy and Green is a better small wing starting option. So from Mavs perspective, those 18 mil next season could be considered as dead value. Maxi and Bullock don't seem to have much value. If #10 pick can replace (part of) this with a player, who does actually fit the needs of the roster, but is paid 30 mil instead of 20 mil, I think that is a big improvement of the roster. They will not be piling on more of bad salary. They will be replacing some really bad salary with less bad one. Hoping it turns out good and show he is actually worth what he is paid. Of course, I might be dreaming #10 is enough to make a trade for Ayton, but than I am also out. He is just a hope that his value has dropped enough to actually make it happen. To just repeat again. I am all for bringing good players on good contracts. But I am not sure Mavs limited assets can make that happen. They basically don't have a positive contract outside of Green and Hardy, and I really don't want to trade them. And since staying pat is not Mavs strategy, overpaid quality players might be the only option. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DanSchwartzgan - 05-10-2023 (05-09-2023, 04:38 AM)omahen Wrote: We are just circling around same thing I admit, he is not worth the max. Never said otherwise. But, if he would be, Mavs would have no way to get him, as their assets are really limited. They say the most important 'ability' is availability. We can all name centers we'd rather have, but how exactly are we going to get them? The more Ayton struggles and pouts, the more available he might be. I would support an Ayton acquisition depending on the price. I don't worry so much about the 'got played off the court' in the playoffs stuff. Some used to say that about the starting PG in NY. There are only six guys in the NBA who average 18/10 and Ayton is one of them (and we desperately need the 10 rebounds). I agree the matching timeline with Luka is attractive to me. The salary is an issue...no doubt. But, that is part of why he might be affordable from a trade perspective. If you look at center salaries after Embiid, Jokic, Gobert, AD, KAT and Bam, it is Ayton, Turner, Capela and J. Allen. I think Ayton fits well in that group of four from a talent perspective. Ayton is overpaid by what? Capela, Turner and Allen all make $20mm next season compared to Ayton's $32mm. Ayton is arguably best of that group of four, so at the most he's $12mm overpaid. Maybe more like $8mm? The new CBA provides a budget of $180mm. If Kyrie gets every penny he can and we acquire Ayton, there is still $50mm left to build out the rest of the team. The bottom five should be $10mm of that leaving $40mm for spots 4-9 (I'm counting 14 roster spots). That's ~$7mm each. Yeah, THJ and Maxi make more than that. But, Green and Hardy make way less. Is the issue Ayton's money or overpaying mid-tier guys. Every team with two stars is going to have to decide this issue. Get another $30mm guy? Or spread that money around to better mid-tier guys. Going back to the Mav's, let's say we get Capela or Allen or Turner instead. We get to spread $12mm out over the rest of the roster. So, now our 4-9 guys can average $9mm vs $7mm. Did that really help? Obviously yes if the outgoing assets needed to get those $20mm centers is the same as it is with Ayton. That may be true of Capela, but I think the other two would cost more in trade than Ayton right now. Which brings us back to this being price dependent. I think the adjustment that is coming as a result of the new CBA is going to be to hold down salaries on 4th/5th starters and top tier bench guys. Hardaway wouldn't get $20mm in this environment. The Full MLE won't go to 8th men. Teams will need to hold onto their cost controlled guys and extend them while they can at an appropriate amount. Some negotiations for guys in the $10mm-$20mm range are going to be tough because old comps may not be appropriate. True stars will soon be making $50mm and $60mm isn't that far down the road. So, the squeeze is going to come from somewhere. My theory is teams will still pay for stars, so they won't be able to overpay mid-tier guys also. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-10-2023 Analysing Mavs salary that could be put in a trade: 1. Bertans: vet min player paid 17 mil. Semi expiring. No contender will want him. The only possible recipient is a team, that doesn't care much about the results next season. San Antonio, Utah, probably Charlotte, perhaps Washington (who knows what direction new GM will take) and perhaps Indiana. Some teams like Portland or Toronto might decide for a bit of a tear down, but nothing certain at this point. Focusing on the first mentioned teams: - I doubt San Antonio is moving Vassel, Sochan or Johnson for #10. Nothing else on that team could fill Mavs needs - Charlotte: I am not convinced any of their young centers is capable of jumping in a starting role on the contender, nothing else interesting there - Utah basically sold what had value or is available. Nothing really there - Washington: Avdija and Gafford are interesting, but I am not sure I would be willing to pay #10 for them. Nothing else is interesting - Indiana: Turner is definitely a good target. If he is available for #10, I would be all for it. Not sure I would want to pay more as there are other holes to fill. 2. THJ: shooter capable of playing decent enough defense, but not much else to his game. Supposed to be a positive locker room guy. There are several teams that need shooting: - Atlanta: Capella could be available, but difficult to imagine THJ would work next to Trae - Cleveland: don't have assets or good players to offer unless you are enamored with Okoro - Houston: Would they give up cap space and someone like Garuba? I am affraid they have higher aspirations than THJ with that cap space. Not interested in any of their contracts (only Porter over 10 million anyway) - New Orleans: I don't think Valanciunas would be a fit for Mavs and none of their available youngsters is worth a #10. Valanciunas, Herb Jones and #14 for THJ and #10? Seems too good for Mavs. 3. Bullock: contenders could see value in him despite bad season. But, I don't see them giving up starter level players for him. As he is expiring, his salary is useful also for teams that don't care about results 4. Maxi: bad season and 3 more years left on his deal. Same thing as Bullock with contenders. Less interesting for tanking teams due to length of his contract RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - DanSchwartzgan - 05-10-2023 (05-10-2023, 08:05 AM)omahen Wrote: Analysing Mavs salary that could be put in a trade: No one wants our crap and attaching draft capital to crap only diminishes the value of the draft capital. Non-contenders might take expiring or semi-expiring money to get #10, but who does a non-contender have that we want and they don’t? I really think the path to Ayton or Capela or any good player on a contender is your idea about dealing 10 for 16/28. You pay 28 to SA to take Bertans and lower the needed incoming salary for Phoenix or Atlanta or whoever. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-10-2023 (05-10-2023, 08:58 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: No one wants our crap and attaching draft capital to crap only diminishes the value of the draft capital. Non-contenders might take expiring or semi-expiring money to get #10, but who does a non-contender have that we want and they don’t? Agreed. I mean, if one of the decent but not good enough teams decides they want to retool (Portland, Toronto), than perhaps something might appear. Other than that I agree, a three team deal will be needed for Mavs to make something happen. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-10-2023 https://twitter.com/iztok_franko/status/1656237467656155136 https://twitter.com/iztok_franko/status/1656238605826703361 https://twitter.com/iztok_franko/status/1656239503537844224 RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-10-2023 Not many of those guys realistically available. Caruso might be, but he will be expensive and Mavs have bigger holes at PF at C that would still needed to be addressed. Draymond Green, Claxton, Capela, Turner, Brooks and Thybulle and OG pipedream basically. Thybulle and Brooks are bad offensively. Green the only PF on the list. So, the pipedream would be something like Green and one of the centers. But not many teams can build around two non shooters, so keeping Maxi for playoffs would also be an absolute must. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Reunion Mav - 05-10-2023 I just want to say I really enjoyed the last few pages of recent trade ideas and thinking. Thanks to all of you in lieu of the like button. It is refreshing to hear good attempts at basketball wisdom. I found several of the ideas to be actual possibilities and not just wishful. I also noticed a tone down of Cuban criticism which while true to an extent had gotten quite tiresome. Let me add a small tidbit about THJ and others. If we do keep Kyrie, I expect a much larger positive benefit from playing with 2 super stars than we saw this year. We did not get much gravity effect from the stars for whatever reason during this past horrible year. I am very confident this will happen this year. THJ in particular if he is still here, will settle into a comfort zone as the 3rd best player (his view) where he lets the offense come to him and executes the easy play AND focuses on defense. This works as both a starter or bench player because of a clearly superior star on the floor. Of course this gravity effect applies to numerous players who all have better chance to rise to their new role. This even includes Luka though his adjustments will be a difficult challenge for him which I hope he rises to. That dynamic may well determine our season. Of course adding the right talent could not be any more important. I just want to add “more than expected internal improvement “ to the list of potential acquisitions. |