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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 07:34 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: As far as framework of a deal for Wiseman (or Duren) and Stewart?

3 team trade this scenario assumes Orl is ready to move off of Isaac:

Orl in: THJ/Green
Det in: McGee/Maxi/3 SRPs from Orl
Dal in: Isaac/Stewart/Wiseman/25 Den FRP from Orl

If Dal gets Duren instead of Wiseman swap the first to Det and 3 SRPs to Dal.

I don't see Orlando giving up a FRP and 3 SRP for THJ/Green. Green had an encouraging season, but is still not established. They would also need to pay him next season. Isaac is guranteed only 7 mil for next season.

Detroit gave 5 SRP for Wiseman. I don't see them trading Wiseman and Stewart for the awful McGee contract and Maxi, who had a really bad season and is also owed a lot of money, while receiving just 3 SRP.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Chicagojk - 05-08-2023

I haven't done a deep dive but if Detroit got Wemby, I would really dig into if I would give up #10 (if kept) for Duren. A lot will be who is available at 10, but this would be an interesting discussion to have. Dallas would still have to manufacturer a PF and possibly another wing with little remaining assets but I think in time Duren may be a real nice fit for what we are missing.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - HoosierDaddyKid - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 08:29 AM)Chicagojk Wrote: I haven't done a deep dive but if Detroit got Wemby, I would really dig into if I would give up #10 (if kept) for Duren.  A lot will be who is available at 10, but this would be an interesting discussion to have.  Dallas would still have to manufacturer a PF and possibly another wing with little remaining assets but I think in time Duren may be a real nice fit for what we are missing.

Interesting.  Even if they got Wemby or not, I highly doubt they will give up Duren. The kid is just 19 years old and he already is a stud. You may be able to pry away Stewart, Bagley, or Wiseman, but I think Duren is off-limits. He fits in with what they're trying to do.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Chicagojk - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 10:54 AM)HoosierDaddyKid Wrote: Interesting.  Even if they got Wemby or not, I highly doubt they will give up Duren. The kid is just 19 years old and he already is a stud. You may be able to pry away Stewart, Bagley, or Wiseman, but I think Duren is off-limits. He fits in with what they're trying to do.

Yeah, it takes two to tango.  You are probably right.  I would not trade him.  But maybe there is someone they really like at 10.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 07:46 AM)omahen Wrote: I don't see Orlando giving up a FRP and 3 SRP for THJ/Green. Green had an encouraging season, but is still not established. They would also need to pay him next season. Isaac is guranteed only 7 mil for next season.

Detroit gave 5 SRP for Wiseman. I don't see them trading Wiseman and Stewart for the awful McGee contract and Maxi, who had a really bad season and is also owed a lot of money, while receiving just 3 SRP.
That’s why I made it their Den pick in 25. It’ll be projected to go in the late 20’s. So give them that pick. They also have a ton of SRPs from Den and Mil and the like teams. Picks that won’t hinder their own season’s rankings. Heck, give Det all the picks.

My thought was Green should be worth at least a late first and each team can make up their own reasoning for the seconds. Orl would say it was 1 to get off the Isaac contract and 2 to get THJ (or vise versa), and the team that gets them would say it was for the disparity in value.

I think it works just fine.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 11:35 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: That’s why I made it their Den pick in 25. It’ll be projected to go in the late 20’s. So give them that pick. They also have a ton of SRPs from Den and Mil and the like teams. Picks that won’t hinder their own season’s rankings. Heck, give Det all the picks.

My thought was Green should be worth at least a late first and each team can make up their own reasoning for the seconds. Orl would say it was 1 to get off the Isaac contract and 2 to get THJ (or vise versa), and the team that gets them would say it was for the disparity in value.

I think it works just fine.

You gave the pick to Dallas. If it is going to Detroit, than I guess it is more of a fair value for them. But from Dallas perspective, this means THJ and Green for two iffy centers. No guarantee either is actually a good playoff level center. And even while Mavs would perhaps fill the center position, they make a huge hole on the wing. Bullock would be basically the only wing left.

Also, I don't think Orlando is paying 1 FRP and 3 SRP for THJ/Green. They have plenty of decent but not great young players as it is. If I am them, I am saving my assets for a big move.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 11:46 AM)omahen Wrote: You gave the pick to Dallas. If it is going to Detroit, than I guess it is more of a fair value for them. But from Dallas perspective, this means THJ and Green for two iffy centers. No guarantee either is actually a good playoff level center. And even while Mavs would perhaps fill the center position, they make a huge hole on the wing. Bullock would be basically the only wing left.

Also, I don't think Orlando is paying 1 FRP and 3 SRP for THJ/Green. They have plenty of decent but not great young players as it is. If I am them, I am saving my assets for a big move.
They have Garry Harris as their only SG on the team. I still think it works and said from the beginning it was a “framework”. You recently chided FG about being creative.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 11:54 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: They have Garry Harris as their only SG on the team. I still think it works and said from the beginning it was a “framework”. You recently chided FG about being creative.

What has creative to do with anything here? I didn't say you are not creative. I question the value. I wouldn't do THJ+Green for Wiseman and Stewart. I am not convinced they are solution at center while giving up most of the wings. As Detroit, I am not sure I want two crappy contracts for a late first and 3 SRP. As Orlando, I am sceptical about THJ and Green valuation.

If I would be enamored with Wiseman and/or Stewart, I would be thinking about something like sending #10 to Detroit and receive player plus draft capital back - either 3-team deal for a pick in this draft or protected future pick(s).


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

As for Isaac, the most likely scenario is he will be waived. I would consider trying to get him for vet min while promising him minutes, that could help him secure his next contract. So lets say 1 pick for center and Isaac as a big wing. If he doesn't work, Mavs still have one pick for TDL trade for a better wing. If he would work, Mavs could probably offer him full MLE next season.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 12:04 PM)omahen Wrote: What has creative to do with anything here? I didn't say you are not creative. I question the value. I wouldn't do THJ+Green for Wiseman and Stewart. I am not convinced they are solution at center while giving up most of the wings. As Detroit, I am not sure I want two crappy contracts for a late first and 3 SRP. As Orlando, I am sceptical about THJ and Green valuation.

If I would be enamored with Wiseman and/or Stewart, I would be thinking about something like sending #10 to Detroit and receive player plus draft capital back - either 3-team deal for a pick in this draft or protected future pick(s).
Your first sentence in the response before this one said “You gave the first pick to Dallas”. You’re constantly looking for ways to poo poo trade ideas, the full reason I say “framework” is to not lock in what I think is fair value. Like you said to FG, get creative with it.

I for sure like Stewart (he has that dog in him and has the beef to mix it up Green-style). I also said in the original post if Wiseman produces like he did when he got to Det, he could be good too. Having 2 Cs that have low contract value helps fill out the rest of the roster and we aren’t locked into them needing to play.

I still think the value is there for all the reasons I already stated.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 12:11 PM)omahen Wrote: As for Isaac, the most likely scenario is he will be waived. I would consider trying to get him for vet min while promising him minutes, that could help him secure his next contract. So lets say 1 pick for center and Isaac as a big wing. If he doesn't work, Mavs still have one pick for TDL trade for a better wing. If he would work, Mavs could probably offer him full MLE next season.
Maybe true. This deal takes away the need to waive him and have extra dead salary on their books for a few years. They currently can handle it, unless they make some deal that puts them into win now mode (which they are at the point where they could start thinking about that).


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 12:51 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Maybe true. This deal takes away the need to waive him and have extra dead salary on their books for a few years. They currently can handle it, unless they make some deal that puts them into win now mode (which they are at the point where they could start thinking about that).

Isaac is guaranteed for just 7 mil next year


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 01:12 PM)omahen Wrote: Isaac is guaranteed for just 7 mil next year
I get that, it’s still a stretch waive to get to that $7M is it not?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 12:24 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Like you said to FG, get creative with it.

I literally proposed how I think a fair value is in the exact same post you were replying to. So now you can poo poo on my idea


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 01:22 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I get that, it’s still a stretch waive to get to that $7M is it not?

Not necessarily. They can eat the 7 mil in one year, or stretch it over three. Unless they find his contract usable in the trade, I think it makes most sense for them to just eat those 7 mil this year and be done with it, keeping books clean for the future. Or even if he is traded, I would assume it as very likely the buyer will waive him. I am not sure a contender is willing to take his 17 mil.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 01:22 PM)omahen Wrote: I literally proposed how I think a fair value is in the exact same post you were replying to. So now you can poo poo on my idea
Why would I? There is probably a path to that idea. I myself don’t like giving up the #10 for Stewart, but it all depends on the exact picks we’re taking back. In all honesty I’d prefer giving the unprotected 27 to the #10 (and get more than just Stewart back, just less than the #10 would bring). That way we can still get cheap talent to fill holes on the current roster with the #10.

Separate thought: I’ve also played around with a trade down with Atl #10 for #15 and swap THJ or Bertans (their choice) for Capela. For them, they need to pay Murray, Bey and Okongwu in the offseason after this upcoming one. Bertans gets them more money to make that less harsh. THJ gives them some money savings and on court value.

We take Lively at 15 and he learns under Capela for a couple years until Capela starts slowing down. At that point Lively starts and Capela comes off the bench. Center position solidified for many years to come.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - omahen - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 01:40 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Why would I? There is probably a path to that idea. I myself don’t like giving up the #10 for Stewart, but it all depends on the exact picks we’re taking back. In all honesty I’d prefer giving the unprotected 27 to the #10 (and get more than just Stewart back, just less than the #10 would bring). That way we can still get cheap talent to fill holes on the current roster with the #10.

Separate thought: I’ve also played around with a trade down with Atl #10 for #15 and swap THJ or Bertans (their choice) for Capela. For them, they need to pay Murray, Bey and Okongwu in the offseason after this upcoming one. Bertans gets them more money to make that less harsh. THJ gives them some money savings and on court value.

We take Lively at 15 and he learns under Capela for a couple years until Capela starts slowing down. At that point Lively starts and Capela comes off the bench. Center position solidified for many years to come.

I think move down from 10 to 15 is a fair value for Capella, I am just affraid Atlanta would want even less salary back. Is there a team that would take Bertans for #15 and send us something back? That would give biggest saving for Atlanta. How about:

BKN: #15, Bertans, McGee
Dal: #22, O'Neale, Capella
Atl: #10

Mavs get two ok starters for the price of one pick and still stay in the draft. Perhaps BKN is eating a bit too much salary for sending a FRP back.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Ghost of Podkolzin - 05-08-2023

We exposed both Gobert and Ayton in the playoffs last year. I want no part of either unless it's for dead salary like Bertans and McGee. I would struggle to even give up THJ for these stiffs.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 01:26 PM)omahen Wrote: Not necessarily. They can eat the 7 mil in one year, or stretch it over three. Unless they find his contract usable in the trade, I think it makes most sense for them to just eat those 7 mil this year and be done with it, keeping books clean for the future. Or even if he is traded, I would assume it as very likely the buyer will waive him. I am not sure a contender is willing to take his 17 mil.
Ok, I thought it had to be a stretch waive, so that makes more sense. 

In all honesty, I myself would not mind paying the $17M for 1 year to see if he still has “it”. The trade proposed gives us almost $5M in savings and we get off of long term money too. We then have his bird rights to resign him at an appropriate amount, or let him go if he isn’t worth it. 

I think his skillset is something Kidd would like to work with at his position too, so it wouldn’t be another Wood situation.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Windhorst: Unlikely Giannis extends contract this summer. - Luka77 - 05-08-2023

(05-08-2023, 05:34 AM)omahen Wrote: Regarding Ayton, I think the takes he gets played off the floor are a bit overblown. He can protect the pain and he can switch in PnR. On the offensive side he does have some moves. You can't really compare him to Gobert, whos only move is PnR and is not really able to punish smaller defenders when the defense just switches. This is the limitation that makes Gobert nothing special in playoffs. I think Ayton is better. The only concern I have is his commitment, his energy. Is that just because of the Phoenix situation, because he is clearly not happy there for a couple of years now, or is this just who he is. Difficult to answer that, but Mavs seem to think there is more to him.

Mavs have 40 mil of salaries (Bertans, McGee and THJ) next season that don't really fit on this team. Ayton is cheaper than that. Mavs salary problem are those bad salaries, not Ayton being overpaid to an extent. Mavs also have Maxi and Bullock that are sort of ok to have, but nothing special you couldn't approximately replace at vet min. The idea of Kleber is nice, but he is always injured. Bullock proved really ineffective last season. Since most here would not like to trade Green and Hardy, the only valuable assets Mavs have are the two picks.

True, one could SW Bertans and get to MLE. But, which hole are we filling with that? Is there a credible starter Mavs could get for it? I am not sure. They might either cost more or are even less productive than Ayton. We are not getting a star for MLE. Mavs need two good starters to possible become a contender now. Are we sure #10 and MLE can provide that? I think it is more no than yes.

Based on all this, I wouldn't be opposed to Ayton trade if it doesn't involve Green or Hardy. The good negotiator might be able to get something more than just Ayton with that #10 pick, probably involving third team. So Ayton+something more+rMLE vs MLE+#10. I like the first part more.

Again, I ask what does Ayton do at an elite leve to be paid Max money?  Certainly not defend the rim or switch out on perimeter players. His offense is decent but consists of rim running with a good mid range jumper.  Is that what the Mavs need on the offensive end?  I don't think his offense is necessary esp. with Luka and Kyrie on the floor.  And is he willing to accept a role of strictly rim running and improved defensive effort.  I have my serious doubts and with that role he isnt worth his contract.

Moreover, Ayton has some serious maturity issues.  Hes a player who demands the Max money without giving Max effort or work ethic.  He would rather play video games away into the night rather then spending time in the gym to work on his craft and take care of his body.  There are reports of him getting as little as two hours of sleep at night while doing so. Thats why he probably gives little energy when out on the floor.  And is that someone you want to bring into the locker room on Max contract? NO PASS

There is a reason PHX was hesitant to give him a Max contract.  He has no clue what it takes to be great at an NBA level. 

Waiting out those contracts to expire in two years or trading them at the deadline starting this season or next would be better than being hamstrung with Ayton on a three year Max.

Just last off season Laker fans were in panic with the Westbrook contract and what did their GM do?  Take the first offer he could?  No he waited and scowered the league until the right deal came around at the deadline.