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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - Mike lorenzo - 07-28-2023

What do you think of a trade with the NETS ..?

Lively+THJ+Mavs27 for Claxton+DFS+2SRP

a few points i see for brooklyn..
1 need to reorganize and Claxton expires..
2NETS seem determined to get B.Simmons back in value (he looks very fit and healthy) seems unfeasible to play him alongside Claxton.
3probably the way for NETS to get a star is FA ..especially with rumors that Mitchell doesn't want to be in Cleveland and he loves NY..this trade cleans his books by the time he gets to FA...
4 gets them a high potential prospect in the 5 that should be ready by then
5gets them another future FRP...

for MAVS I would say that Claxton is the perfect fit..playing style, age..recovering DFS aside from covering an urgent need is also an extra for chemistry..what a blow he suffered after the trade...
I think this team could compete with anyone....

Luka/KI/Exum
KI/Hardy/Curry
Green/O-Max/Lawson
DFS/Maxi
Claxton/Powell/Holmes/Mcgee

+SRP for small brushstrokes here and there... thoughts??


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - ItsGoTime - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 04:16 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: KL has discoursed quite well on the value of that '27 FRP. It seems to me that for some of you all to view it as viable to use it simply to upgrade from Holmes to Capela (even for the additional benefit of getting out of Joel's contract) indicates to me that you think that Holmes is really, really awful, verging on being as unplayable as McGee. I don't buy that. The Holmes of two years ago is not much worse a player than Clint. If such a trade does happen, I will assume the Mavs worked out Holmes and found him to be profoundly washed. But for the '27 FRP to be included in a Capela trade, we have to be getting back another rotation player as well, from where I sit.
Since we’re going back in time, the Capela of 2 years ago was significantly better than the Holmes of 2 years ago. If Capela has lost an irredeemable step as some claim, Holmes being older has as well, no?

If this is it and there is no Capela trade, I’ll hope like hell that Holmes can be close to that guy from 2 years ago (who I wanted here). If both have lost a step, Capela had much higher to fall from. I don’t think either at 29 years old has lost a step in all honesty, but Capela is hands down the better player and it’s not that close.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - F Gump - 07-28-2023

About Capela, I can't see the Mavs having the least interest in paying an unprotected 1st for Capela. If it was me, I would balk at ANY kind of a 1st, frankly.

What I see is that (a) he's 29, so it's all downhill from here, and (b) he's coming off a down year which may be an indicator. While he could be an upgrade to some degree, he is definitely NOT going to be a star C and can he even keep from being run off the floor in the playoffs? His contract is definitely not a bargain, although he could possibly play well enough where it's reasonable. 

Most of all, he would only be a rental. While the future is expected to be Lively, and perhaps sooner than we know, it's almost certainly NOT a 31-year-old Capela when his contract runs out. You'd be stupid to pay a 1st for a temp imo.

As for whether a deal can get done without a 1st, I think ATL proactively wants to move him. Must find a deal. Move on. I think it's the same dynamic at play as we saw with Bullock to SA, where the Mavs felt they had to move Bullock to get more minutes for Green. The idea you can just let the past starter stay to be a backup often doesn't work in real life. And if the Hawks feel constrained to move Capela and get him out of the way before ATL hits camp, Dallas seems to be the ONLY one interested.

I know I'm on an island with this stuff, but that's how I see it.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 06:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: About Capela, I can't see the Mavs having the least interest in paying an unprotected 1st for Capela. If it was me, I would balk at ANY kind of a 1st, frankly.

What I see is that (a) he's 29, so it's all downhill from here, and (b) he's coming off a down year which may be an indicator. While he could be an upgrade to some degree, he is definitely NOT going to be a star C and can he even keep from being run off the floor in the playoffs? His contract is definitely not a bargain, although he could possibly play well enough where it's reasonable. 

Most of all, he would only be a rental. While the future is expected to be Lively, and perhaps sooner than we know, it's almost certainly NOT a 31-year-old Capela when his contract runs out. You'd be stupid to pay a 1st for a temp imo.

As for whether a deal can get done without a 1st, I think ATL proactively wants to move him. Must find a deal. Move on. I think it's the same dynamic at play as we saw with Bullock to SA, where the Mavs felt they had to move Bullock to get more minutes for Green. The idea you can just let the past starter stay to be a backup often doesn't work in real life. And if the Hawks feel constrained to move Capela and get him out of the way before ATL hits camp, Dallas seems to be the ONLY one interested.

I know I'm on an island with this stuff, but that's how I see it.

I don't think you're on an island. I agree with 99% of what you're expressing here. 

I'm higher on Capela than you - he's still a top 10 guy at his position imo, especially for a pick and roll team needing a screener/defender. But, I totally agree: not a star, not likely to be a solution here past this contract and not worth even considering giving up an unprotected '27 to get. 

Even if some think he is worth a first, I can't believe they think he's worth THAT first. It would be like buying a used car and then having to pay Tesla money for it, only the bill doesn't come until the car is dead on the road somewhere and not even in your garage anymore. It's just not good business.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - The Jom - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 06:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: . . . I know I'm on an island with this stuff, but that's how I see it.


An island sounds good about now. Tropical breezes and all. 

I see your point about the Mavs not valuing picks. I just have a hard time placing much value on the end of the first round—which is where I expect Luka’s team to be drafting. Still, the fact that nobody else wants Capela seems to temper my enthusiasm too. So maybe any price beyond dumping contracts we don’t want is too high of a price? If I’m honest, I could see Dwight starting in front of Capela by mid December too.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - The Jom - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 11:34 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Trust me, there will come a day when the decision to move the "29 (or was it '30) UNPROTECTED pick for Kyrie will be universally hated by this community. That realization is coming at us like a Mack truck. Even if they win a championship between now and then (probably not as likely as we'd like to hope, but the hope is what's great, of course), it will STILL be annoying to watch BRK or some other team get the 4th pick that year while our Mavs have a frustrating time of it that summer, and that possibility is so much more likely than people realize.


Love your takes here usually. Not this one. I wouldn’t bet on any team landing in the upper lotto in a year without their pick. And I certainly don’t agree that the Mavs are among the worst run franchises. I get the criticism when you’re comparing them to Miami and Golden State. But the league is full of teams run way worse than this one. Zero chance that pick ends up in the top half of the lotto. Luka at 30? We’re gonna contend for a decade.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - IamDougieFresh - 07-28-2023

Once you guys see what gOat Max is, you will understand the massive value of a late first.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 08:56 PM)The Jom Wrote: And I certainly don’t agree that the Mavs are among the worst run franchises. 

Where in the post did I say that?

As for the pick, I'm right. 100% of us will be annoyed (at least) about that pick being gone when the time comes, as Kyrie will have been gone for YEARS by then. Some of the more stubborn people won't admit it, but all of us will be annoyed.

Not a Kyrie fan or hater. I respect his game a lot, was pleasantly surprised by his new contract and I'm hopeful that he can make it work here. But I wouldn't have made the trade. People who claim not to care don't really understand what will be at stake. Even if the team isn't in disarray by then (it would be disingenuous to claim it's probable, I'm just pointing out that it's possible, which is already too much risk for my blood), I simply don't think it's smart to trade picks YEARS down the road for players who 100%, factually will not be on the team when the pick goes out. 

All I can say is thank goodness for the Stepien (sp?) rule.

(07-28-2023, 09:11 PM)IamDougieFresh Wrote: Once you guys see what gOat Max is, you will understand the massive value of a late first.

Did you and Christian Wood break up?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 03:36 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: I'll be honest.  This franchise's ability to deal and draft well makes me value that 2027 FRP a lot more.  Going into this offseason I saw no value in Mavs' draft picks.

They have been on a sneakily good run with the draft recently, haven't they? 

Luka/Brunson
Green/Terry/Bey
Hardy
Lively/O-Max

That's a possible 6/8 hits. All six aren't likely to be exactly what we hope, but just being usable rotation players in the league makes this the best run in the draft since I've been a fan.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - F Gump - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 09:19 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: As for the pick, I'm right. 100% of us will be annoyed (at least) about that pick being gone when the time comes, as Kyrie will have been gone for YEARS by then. Some of the more stubborn people won't admit it, but all of us will be annoyed.

EVERYONE will be pissed ("annoyed") by 2029 over the pick being traded? Sure, anything is possible. But I doubt that one by a lot.

What you obviously don't want to consider is that (a) the pick may be total crap, and (b) the results of Kyrie being here (both on and off the court) can easily turn out to be a huge plus. Either or both of those things (which have all kinds of likelihood) would make a huge difference in how fans see the trade. You can pretend they don't matter to people, but they do. 100%.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 07-28-2023

To contend you need 2 superstars. I'll not regret that pick to get one.

The picks to NYK are different. The Mavs got jobbed on both KP transactions.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 10:14 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: To contend you need 2 superstars.  I'll not regret that pick to get one.

The picks to NYK are different.  The Mavs got jobbed on both KP transactions.

Let’s revisit when the time comes.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 09:51 PM)F Gump Wrote: EVERYONE will be pissed ("annoyed") by 2029 over the pick being traded? Sure, anything is possible. But I doubt that one by a lot.

What you obviously don't want to consider is that (a) the pick may be total crap, and (b) the results of Kyrie being here (both on and off the court) can easily turn out to be a huge plus. Either or both of those things (which have all kinds of likelihood) would make a huge difference in how fans see the trade. You can pretend they don't matter to people, but they do. 100%.

Not only did I consider those things, I explicitly said so in the post. The part in parentheses. You guys don’t have to agree, but I believe there is going to be endless bitching and moaning during the summer when that pick gets made.

I think it was a dumb trade. It won’t keep me from enjoying Kyrie’s time here if it goes well, but I think it would have been smarter to build a plan around another star on Luka’s timeline, and possibly someone with less overlap in skill set (though that part doesn’t really worry me). 

I’m annoyed at the situation right now with that outstanding pick to NY for Porzingis. We all thought that was a no-brainer at the time (including me), but I’ll be damned if they aren’t having to work around a pick owed long after the guy is even on the team. To me, that’s a real drag. They might’ve been able to get in on Siakim, who I feel is a much better fit with Luka than Porzingis or Kyrie, if not for that issue. 

….and that Kyrie pick is UNPROTECTED. Much more valuable than anything they sent to the Knicks. There’s a chance it’s really gonna hurt. Even if it doesn’t play out that way, but at some point between now and then it SEEMS likely that it will, BRK will have the option to move it at a high value point for something even better.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - ItsGoTime - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 06:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: About Capela, I can't see the Mavs having the least interest in paying an unprotected 1st for Capela. If it was me, I would balk at ANY kind of a 1st, frankly.
I agree, good thing no single person here has proposed such a trade.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 11:13 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I agree, good thing no single person here has proposed such a trade.

The semantic debate you’re trying to engage in isn’t really interesting, with respect.

It’s not that people aren’t getting your point that part of the value you’re suggesting for the pick is dumping Holmes and or McGee’s money, it’s that those aren’t goals anyone feels the Mavs MUST reach. If they’re trying to do that, it’s because they want Capela, an upgrade over Holmes, and sure, they’d need to dump some or all of that money to make that financially feasible. However, if they do nothing Holmes might actually play some here (maybe even more than some, according to those most optimistic among us) and if he does, his money won’t look that bad in a year. McGee’s contract is trash, but BOTH of them become usefully sized expirings in a year.

So, THE ONLY ACTUAL BENEFIT the team would get for the pick is really just having Capela immediately. It’s not at all like there’s a need to dump Holmes without getting Capela, so unless you think Capela alone is worth the pick (to whatever degree he’s actually an upgrade over Holmes/Powell, opinions on which probably vary from person to person, even among professionals), doing nothing is better than the trade you suggest. Pretty clearly, imho.

I think Capela represents a HUGE upgrade at center, but I flatly don’t think the team is ready for that to matter enough to justify such a splurge. I’d love to have him, but not if that pick has to go out in the process. That might be the only way (might not) but if it is, I’d prefer to see what Holmes/Powell/Kleber can do and hope Lively is a fast learner.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - IamDougieFresh - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 09:19 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Did you and Christian Wood break up?

I’m still a believer. Hoping he ends up in Miami. I feel that a lineup of Dame - Butler - Wood - Bam would be very good.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-28-2023

(07-28-2023, 11:38 PM)IamDougieFresh Wrote: I’m still a believer. Hoping he ends up in Miami. I feel that a lineup of Dame - Butler - Wood - Bam would be very good.

I really like the idea of Dame, Butler and Adabayo. With you there. They’ll be a fun team to follow.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - The Jom - 07-29-2023

(07-28-2023, 11:07 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: . . . I believe there is going to be endless bitching and moaning during the summer when that pick gets made.


Can’t argue this one. There’s endless bitching and moaning THIS offseason, which looks spectacular from my vantage point.  Big Grin


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - ItsGoTime - 07-29-2023

(07-28-2023, 11:24 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: The semantic debate you’re trying to engage in isn’t really interesting, with respect.

It’s not that people aren’t getting your point that part of the value you’re suggesting for the pick is dumping Holmes and or McGee’s money, it’s that those aren’t goals anyone feels the Mavs MUST reach. If they’re trying to do that, it’s because they want Capela, an upgrade over Holmes, and sure, they’d need to dump some or all of that money to make that financially feasible. However, if they do nothing Holmes might actually play some here (maybe even more than some, according to those most optimistic among us) and if he does, his money won’t look that bad in a year. McGee’s contract is trash, but BOTH of them become usefully sized expirings in a year.

So, THE ONLY ACTUAL BENEFIT the team would get for the pick is really just having Capela immediately. It’s not at all like there’s a need to dump Holmes without getting Capela, so unless you think Capela alone is worth the pick (to whatever degree he’s actually an upgrade over Holmes/Powell, opinions on which probably vary from person to person, even among professionals), doing nothing is better than the trade you suggest. Pretty clearly, imho.

I think Capela represents a HUGE upgrade at center, but I flatly don’t think the team is ready for that to matter enough to justify such a splurge. I’d love to have him, but not if that pick has to go out in the process. That might be the only way (might not) but if it is, I’d prefer to see what Holmes/Powell/Kleber can do and hope Lively is a fast learner.
If you’re using Holmes and McGee to get Capela, that is a fair trade, right here, right now. IF Holmes shows something IF he’s given time on the court, that could change (it wouldn’t get worse if he plays bad though, he’s at rock bottom value).

We have a young superstar ready to contend now and just paid an aging star a huge amount of money (even if it is less than everyone thought), what would be “stupid” (as FGump puts it) is to not give those two the best team on the court, especially now that they seemingly shored up our future. When that 27 conveys as the #30 pick, no one is going to be worried about it one bit (same with the 29). They’re gonna be talking about the amazing championship we just won.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Jaylen Brown agrees on 5yr/304mil deal|Capela on block? - KillerLeft - 07-29-2023

(07-29-2023, 12:12 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: If you’re using Holmes and McGee to get Capela, that is a fair trade, right here, right now. IF Holmes shows something IF he’s given time on the court, that could change (it wouldn’t get worse if he plays bad though, he’s at rock bottom value).

We have a young superstar ready to contend now and just paid an aging star a huge amount of money (even if it is less than everyone thought), what would be “stupid” (as FGump puts it) is to not give those two the best team on the court, especially now that they seemingly shored up our future. When that 27 conveys as the #30 pick, no one is going to be worried about it one bit (same with the 29). They’re gonna be talking about the amazing championship we just won.

Idk…I love Capela. I just don’t love where the team is, and while this probably won’t be popular, I specifically don’t love where Luka is, currently. I am encouraged that he seems to have agreed that a lighter playing weight is ideal because I think conditioning is the source of a lot of his issues, but going off of the way he played last year, I feel the reality of him is that he OFTEN doesn’t even make an attempt to get back on defense. He’s so special, and might make a huge jump this year (as a leader), but the guy I see is still pretty childish in all honesty.

I just can’t get there. I vote nay on the trade. I certainly agree that they should work to put out the best product they can, I’m just not comfortable with this one. For context, I personally value that, specific pick more in a cold, value sense than I value Hardy or Green. I am not excited at the idea of losing either of them, but I’d much rather move either if I have to lose something big than this pick. I did NOT feel that way about the pick they wasted last year on Wood.

(07-29-2023, 12:11 AM)The Jom Wrote: Can’t argue this one. There’s endless bitching and moaning THIS offseason, which looks spectacular from my vantage point.  Big Grin

Love this off-season.