Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms (/showthread.php?tid=2444) Pages:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
|
RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 Circling back around - now would you .... Ayton-Wainright-Camara Holmes-McGee-THJ Can't happen until early Sept. Money is almost identical (only about 179K diff). 3-for-3 means no one has empty slot to fill afterwards, or a need to waive someone and eat their salary to make the bodies fit. Those may be the ONLY 3 that Phx can trade until Dec (except their big 3). Very imperfect deal. It ignores all the posturing from both camps, about who is or isn't worth what, and what they will and won't do. But it does a lot. Besides the right money and number of bodies being swapped, it solves (to some degree) "a starting C for Dallas" and "split Ayton into smaller pieces for easier maneuvering for PHX" while still (perhaps fairly) leaving both teams with other possible needs to deal with. So, would you? RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - Jason Terry - 07-17-2023 What if Green wants a crazy number like 20 per? Caruso is already everything we wish Green could become Green Mcgee Both 2nds? 2028 swap? More cap friendly as well RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - KillerLeft - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:35 PM)Jason Terry Wrote: What if Green wants a crazy number like 20 per? Too rich for my blood. I prefer the deal with Hardy and not too much draft capital. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:35 PM)Jason Terry Wrote: What if Green wants a crazy number like 20 per? If that was the case, I suspect Mavs would have moved on. As you say, the trajectory on Green looks a lot like Caruso (if we assume things go right), and Caruso gets about 9.5M. A number like 20M is not even in the right universe. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - Scott41theMavs - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:43 PM)F Gump Wrote: If that was the case, I suspect Mavs would have moved on. As you say, the trajectory on Green looks a lot like Caruso (if we assume things go right), and Caruso gets about 9.5M. A number like 20M is not even in the right universe. Most folks are presuming at minimum 4/55 or so. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - Jason Terry - 07-17-2023 Caruso Holiday Smart It’s a short list RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - mvossman - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:45 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: Most folks are presuming at minimum 4/55 or so. I wouldn't say minimum, but thats about right, and with inflation roughly equal to the 9.5 Caruso got. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - mvossman - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:50 PM)Jason Terry Wrote: Caruso What is that list? Maybe if your focused solely on defense but then Thybulle belongs in that list. I feel like folks are getting carried away with Caruso. He scores 6 points a game, starts half his games at most and generally averages in the low 20s minutes wise. That is a good role/rotational player. Those other guys start every game and play well over 30 minutes a game. They are in different leagues as players and I am skeptical Caruso could keep up with those guys defensively if had to play those minutes against starting units. He is a really good defender, but I just don't think he is someone you spend major assets on. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - mvossman - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: Circling back around - now would you .... This is another trade you would have to make due to value, which is why I don't see it happening. When can Holmes be aggregated? RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 06:45 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: Most folks are presuming at minimum 4/55 or so. That may be true. But if we get away from the rose-colored glasses on him, and look at players with his type of game, even 4/55 is incredibly rich. In relation to what he's worth, look at Thybulle (10.5M). Or Caruso at 9.5M. Batum at 11.7M. And so on. The reality of the new CBA economics is forcing teams to abandon the "everyone half-good gets a max" mentality and take a hard look at how much a player really offers and how he can fit into a division of limited payroll. If he gives you 9M of production, you CAN'T pay him 14M or so, because you just can't afford it. Hello, loyal hard-working class citizen Powell at 4M, not the (obviously bloated) MLE+ numbers of before. Bye-bye to Theo the Cheerleader, soaking up 2-3M of payroll but adding nothing on the floor. "Most folks" assumed Kyrie wouldn't accept any deal under 200M, and we see how that ended up. Once they hit the end of their first contract, I think the days of paying for what you only hope a player can do are probably over. It seems to me we are more likely to see teams paying for what they know he can do based on what he has done, and assess versus how it much will cost to sign someone different. Jason Terry - Jason Terry - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 07:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: That may be true. But if we get away from the rose-colored glasses on him, and look at players with his type of game, even 4/55 is incredibly rich. In relation to what he's worth, look at Thybulle (10.5M). Or Caruso at 9.5M. Batum at 11.7M. And so on.I’m in total agreement with you on the reality you lay out. I think we get a MLE level deal done soon and Green is my favorite not named OMax. I have Post Traumatic Brunson Disorder . PTBD RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - The Jom - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 07:25 PM)F Gump Wrote: That may be true. But if we get away from the rose-colored glasses on him, and look at players with his type of game, even 4/55 is incredibly rich. In relation to what he's worth, look at Thybulle (10.5M). Or Caruso at 9.5M. Batum at 11.7M. And so on. Looks that way 2 weeks into the new CBA. Not convinced the market won’t adjust. And even if the trend continues for awhile, how long before these now-under-control costs lead to massive profits that likely precipitate another spending-spree era? Cycles, man. Cycles. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - MarkAguirreWrathofGod - 07-17-2023 Why are we discussing 22 yr. old Josh Green as if he is a finished product vs. Caruso who at age 29 almost certainly is. At 22 Caruso wasn’t even in the NBA, I think he was still at A&M and then played a year in G-League or whatever it was called back then. Josh nearly doubled Caruso’s scoring per game last season on 40.2% from 3 in similar minutes. Caruso shot 36.4 Caruso shot 45% from the field, a career high. Josh shot 53% on higher volume (2 more shots per game.) Caruso is one of the best defenders in the game, I would love him here. But in a couple of years Josh will be two tiers better offensively than Caruso will ever be. Caruso will be on his last contract. I still think Green has all-NBA defense potential with added knowledge, experience, strength and, importantly, reputation—so that he gets the benefit of the whistle more often. If he’s willing to sign an extension for 4yr-52m, I couldn’t say yes fast enough. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 08:27 PM)The Jom Wrote: Looks that way 2 weeks into the new CBA. Not convinced the market won’t adjust. And even if the trend continues for awhile, how long before these now-under-control costs lead to massive profits that likely precipitate another spending-spree era? CBA. It's a hard cap landscape, and bigger spending teams being forced to divide a limited pie among their players, that will be here until the CBA expires in 2030. There are mechanisms that apply only to over-apron teams that essentially work to force them to lower their payroll, mandating into the rules some literal inability to spend, and those are combined with tiered incentives that gives teams reasons to spend "just a bit less" to gain rewards that ensue by being below the next tier. I agree that teams will be smarter in how they approach cuts, as they move forward. But there's no payroll point in which the bigger spenders aren't considerably incentivized to get their payroll a bit lower, and then another step lower, until you get below the tax line. It's not a profit issue. It's a competitive balance thing, where teams start losing the ability to add talent. Each team has to figure out a way to navigate that, and "we'll just pay some tax" isn't a very good solution because of the roster-improving limits you start to face as you pass one apron, then another. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - The Jom - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 09:01 PM)F Gump Wrote: It's not a profit issue. It's a competitive balance thing, where teams start losing the ability to add talent. What I know about the CBA mostly comes from you. But I think you may have stated this a little too narrowly. Another part of the balance seems to be mortgaging the future to maximize the present (which isn’t new). I’m going to go out on a limb and say outrageous overpays aren’t entirely extinct. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 08:55 PM)MarkAguirreWrathofGod Wrote: Why are we discussing 22 yr. old Josh Green as if he is a finished product vs. Caruso who at age 29 almost certainly is. At 22 Caruso wasn’t even in the NBA, I think he was still at A&M and then played a year in G-League or whatever it was called back then. Josh nearly doubled Caruso’s scoring per game last season on 40.2% from 3 in similar minutes. Caruso shot 36.4 Caruso shot 45% from the field, a career high. Josh shot 53% on higher volume (2 more shots per game.) That's a reasonable assessment in a lot of ways. At the same time, I'm not easily accepting that JG will suddenly be X or Y, that he has never been, and we pay the amount that's reasonable for THAT player that we wishfully hope will appear one day. And if you want a player to comp offensively, do Austin Reaves, whose offensive production is way better, whose defense is similar or better, and who has only had 2 seasons to improve and looks like he will keep getting better. That's a 4/54 player in this market. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - F Gump - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 09:14 PM)The Jom Wrote: What I know about the CBA mostly comes from you. But I think you may have stated this a little too narrowly. Another part of the balance seems to be mortgaging the future to maximize the present (which isn’t new). I’m going to go out on a limb and say outrageous overpays aren’t entirely extinct. Thank you. And I do agree, that the rules are one thing, but their impact on behavior (and how teams try to game the system) is still to be written. There are ALREADY wild overpays imo. See Rockets, Houston. Bad teams with huge cap room to spend, those will happen, and some are going to push the envelope. But those overpays imo are less likely to move the general market, and they do take a team out of the mix to overpay the next time. The bigger issue I see is that the NBA put some real thought into preemptively closing the workarounds that would allow teams to keep and increase a bloated payroll. Lots of little things -- 1 losing TPE's 2 no MLE at all 3 no ability to aggregate 2+ players to get 1 4 must take less back in trade, can't raise payroll 5 can't stack minimum-salary players to get a more expensive (and presumably more talented) in return. 6 you pick at the bottom if you are over apron 2 7 you can't trade those picks 8 you can't use cash either. If you draft/develop well and want to PAY YOUR OWN an inflated deal, you can do that. Otherwise, you are out of the game to replace anyone who gets away. I think teams like GS, LAC, and PHX (and perhaps a couple others) will go as far as they can on the "bust the aprons" road, until their star talent ages out, because they have little choice. But I don't think it's sustainable. And with the way the new rules limit additions to payroll and roster flexibility in trying to get the next pieces you need, I think it will be hard for more teams to jump up and join them, or to want to. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - KillerLeft - 07-17-2023 I’m no CBA expert, but what I learned the last time this happened, when fish was selling “nuclear winter”, is that the brunt of this will take place during the first couple of seasons. Kudos to the Mavs for striking right away and taking advantage of SAC’s poor planning, but the cap only goes up. Even that Jerami Grant deal, which I hate, won’t be terrible by the time it expires. In fact, nothing signed this summer will look as bad as the last years of Dame, KAT, Gobert or Ayton, imo. The worst move of this summer might end up being that Sabonis extension, actually. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - Reunion Mav - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 08:27 PM)The Jom Wrote: Looks that way 2 weeks into the new CBA. Not convinced the market won’t adjust. And even if the trend continues for awhile, how long before these now-under-control costs lead to massive profits that likely precipitate another spending-spree era? I have been thinking since the new agreement came out that of all the players the over MLE guys really got hurt. The owners now get to balance their spending at their expense. The super Max guys still get paid though the number of not really maximum players will probably go down. I don’t think this cycle will go back. The owners and the players couldn’t do things in a balanced way which led to the Durant Warriors. The owners will never let that happen again IMO. In addition recent attempts at super teams haven’t worked out well. Built from within teams like Denver look good moving forward. That is the positive incentive not to be tempted to over spend. RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Embiid says he'd like to win in PHI "or anywhere else" - cow - 07-17-2023 (07-17-2023, 08:55 PM)MarkAguirreWrathofGod Wrote: But in a couple of years Josh will be two tiers better offensively than Caruso will ever be. |