MavsBoard
Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

+- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com)
+-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1)
+--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2)
+--- Thread: Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms (/showthread.php?tid=2444)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 09:19 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: Let's go best care scenario, Gawd owed us a favor.

Lively is Mark Williams. 19mins in 43 games.  0.8k mins.
OMax is Jae Crowder.  17mins in 78 games.  1.3k mins.
Holmes turns back the clock 2 years.  24mins in 45 games.  1.0k mins.

SF: Covered.
PF: OMax 1.3k mins.  50% of Holmes 0.5k mins.  Still need 1.3k minutes.
C: Lively 0.8k mins, 50% of Holmes 0.5k mins.  Still need 2.7k minutes.

So how do we fit the huge gap of 4k minutes of PF/C here?  Well, if we're filling in minutes with rookies in OMax and Lively, not to mention Holmes is Lazarus, we need some real deals.  

- Zubac, 29 mins in 76 games.  2.2k mins.
- Z.Collins, 23 mins in 63 games, 1.5k mins.
- Eason, 22 mins in 82 games, 1.8k mins.
- PJ.Washington, 33 mins in 73 games, 2.4k mins.
- C.Wood, 26 mins in 67 games, 1.7k mins.

In a perfect world, I'm going after Zubac and Eason.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 07:40 PM)cow Wrote: I don't think you can operate that way or you end up with Josh Richardson and Delon Wright.  Yes, your team should try to address weaknesses in the draft, via trade, and in free agency, but we aren't at the point were one player is going to put us over the top.  If you can smartly add talent, I'd worry less about redundancy or positions of need and more about building up available assets.

You are mistaken.  That's the rule for drafting, which is arguable, but NEVER free agency or trading.  BOS just masterfully traded away a DPOY because that position is well covered by two players on the roster for a player who brings something they were lacking.  We literally have Maxi as the only contributing PF/C at a level good enough for a championship team, and he gave us a whopping 25mins in 37 games.  To not see our H-U-G-E hole at PF/C is to be one of the three mice running up the clock.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - surfpuckmd - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 09:39 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: So how do we fit the huge gap of 4k minutes of PF/C here?  Well, if we're filling in minutes with rookies in OMax and Lively, not to mention Holmes is Lazarus, we need some real deals.  

- Zubac, 29 mins in 76 games.  2.2k mins.
- Z.Collins, 23 mins in 63 games, 1.5k mins.
- Eason, 22 mins in 82 games, 1.8k mins.
- PJ.Washington, 33 mins in 73 games, 2.4k mins.
- C.Wood, 26 mins in 67 games, 1.7k mins.

In a perfect world, I'm going after Zubac and Eason.

I think Tari Eason would be a perfect fit here.  Unfortunately, he is not available.  

Unless the Clippers decide to blow it up, Zubac isn't available either.  

Zach Collins would be fine as well.  He probably is available.  I think he is just good enough to require an asset to acquire though.  I don't think he's good enough to justify sending our 2027 pick out.  We don't have any 2nd-round picks to trade.  I don't see how we can acquire him.  I think the same about Daniel Gafford-  would be a good fit but we don't have the means to obtain him.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - F Gump - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 09:39 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: ...we need some real deals.  
- Zubac, 29 mins in 76 games.  2.2k mins.
- Z.Collins, 23 mins in 63 games, 1.5k mins.
- Eason, 22 mins in 82 games, 1.8k mins.
- PJ.Washington, 33 mins in 73 games, 2.4k mins.
- C.Wood, 26 mins in 67 games, 1.7k mins.

How are any of those "real deals"? There's not a single solution in the bunch, if you are re-directing your MLE away from Brown.

Zubac  - not a  FA
Z.Collins  - not a  FA
Eason - not a  FA
PJ.Washington- not available for MLE, and is under CHA control (restricted)
C.Wood - LOL @ this being a defensive solution at C (or a real deal)


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - surfpuckmd - 06-27-2023

I have a suggestion for a player I think would fit well here and fits our price range-  Derrick Jones Jr. 

He is a very good defensive player and would be an immediate, substantial defensive upgrade over Reggie Bullock.  He is an elite athlete who is a better rebounder than Bullock. He also provides some rim protection (1.5 blocks per 36 minutes).  He runs the court well and is strong in transition-  I believe he'd fit especially well with the Kyrie-only minutes when we will push the pace better.  He is not a great 3-point shooter-  33.8 percent last season.  However, he has improved from 3 four consecutive seasons.  I also believe he would see better looks with Luka and Kyrie running the offense compared to playing with DeRozan and Zach Lavine.  

He is only 26 years old and still potentially has some room for improvement-  especially as a shooter.  

He turned down his player option for $3.36 million.  I suspect we could acquire him for somewhere around 3 years, $18-20 million total.  I believe that would be fair value for a good role player.  I think he'd be a solid rotation player as a small-ball 4.  

I really like the idea of Bruce Brown here but I think he will receive bigger offers than we can provide.

I think Derrick Jones Jr. would be an upgrade over Bullock, add some needed athleticism and defense and not require our full MLE.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - ThisIStheYear - 06-27-2023

Jones Jr. makes a ton of sense for this club and wouldn’t command anywhere near the full MLE. The Mavs would still have some salary flexibility to trade for a medium size fish.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 09:47 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: You are mistaken.  That's the rule for drafting, which is arguable, but NEVER free agency or trading.  BOS just masterfully traded away a DPOY because that position is well covered by two players on the roster for a player who brings something they were lacking.  We literally have Maxi as the only contributing PF/C at a level good enough for a championship team, and he gave us a whopping 25mins in 37 games.  To not see our H-U-G-E hole at PF/C is to be one of the three mice running up the clock.

You lack the basic understanding of the stages of roster construction, rebuilding, and tweaking.  Being laser focused is foolish as there might not be a good opportunity to upgrade the place of need given a the current assets on a team.   The Mavs roster is in a different phase from Boston's just like it is in a different phase from Utah's so comparing them is foolish.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Mavsfan12 - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 07:40 PM)cow Wrote: I don't think you can operate that way or you end up with Josh Richardson and Delon Wright.  Yes, your team should try to address weaknesses in the draft, via trade, and in free agency, but we aren't at the point were one player is going to put us over the top.  If you can smartly add talent, I'd worry less about redundancy or positions of need and more about building up available assets.

That's fair, if you are picking from the bottom of the barrel.  We are talking about trading assets, not acquiring a player with the TP-MLE after everyone has been picked over.  The Mavs need to use their assets to address the frontcourt.  Adding to the backcourt is just redundancy at this point with a failed ending.  So what's the point of that?  If they can't acquire anyone, then we know that the season will simply be a failure and we try again next year.  But they better treat it like that and play the heck out of the rookies to develop them!  I would also want to take swings on some players with potential growth.  I guess I am just not on board with a course of action that doesn't address the GLARING needs of this team.  Adding another guard just makes it more crowded, and reduces value.  They have to get bigs that can play NOW.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 05:32 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: There is some confusion about new CBA "aggregation" rules regarding Ayton on another board.  It was suggested that after 7/1/23, Ayton can't be traded with multiple players coming back.  This is not a concern for 2023.  It is a second apron thing, but it doesn't start until the 24/25 season.

In that season, if you are over the second apron, you can't aggregate up or down (can't turn two players into one in a trade and can't turn one into two).  That is a big deal because not only are you competitively punished for spending that much, but you have few avenues to fix your mistake.  But again, a 24 thing, not a 23 thing.  If they really were relatively close to an Ayton trade that included Holmes we know:

1. All the positioning about new coach looking forward to working with him is BS.
2. This was after the drafting of Lively (or we wouldn't have had Holmes to trade).

I did the match and with Irving at $40mm to start, we cross the first apron if we don't include McGee as outgoing (not by much though, so it could be fixed by fine tuning Kyrie down a bit more (though we don't even know if $40mm is a real thing or not).  If McGee is outgoing, then we can have the N-TP MLE.  In fact, there are a few extra dollars to give to Kyrie or use in a trade spread with Bullock outgoing or use to keep a 15th player on the roster.

Clock is ticking on Reggie.  If you don't pick up his guarantee, it has a similar impact to trading McGee if you don't S/W him.  You have to account for dead money and a minimum slot to replace him.  But with Irving at $40mm, 14 spots and Reggie just straight waived, I have us at $169mm.  We will have moved off of two wings in THJ and Reggie, but we only need one and the MLE can provide that.

Thanks for the clarification and I also wondered about that rule kicking in this year or not. 

Regarding our money, CBAMavs broke it down pretty thoroughly in his new article, with several avenues to open up the MLE+BAE even after trading for Ayton linked here: https://www.mavsmoneyball.com/2023/6/27/23775870/could-the-dallas-mavericks-get-deandre-ayton-and-use-the-full-mid-level-exception

Taking a few screenshots, 
[Image: Screenshot_2023_06_28_at_12.37.03_AM.png]

Kyrie at $40 mil and only going with 14 players vs. 15 should give them the Full MLE to work with.


Bullock being S/W and Kyrie at 44.7 which would give them the exact amount to have the full MLE and BAE. 

[Image: Screenshot_2023_06_28_at_12.56.19_AM.png]



A nice summary at for all scenarios involving a Bullock S/W 

[Image: Bullock_Waive_and_Stretch_Ayton.png]

A 4 year deal for Kyrie starting at 44.7 is exactly 200 mil. I think he can get behind a slight 10 mil discount especially in this market.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Mavsfan12 - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 08:36 PM)F Gump Wrote: Thanks for your opinion.

I am a huge proponent of adding improved defense. But I don't agree with the idea that the problem (and solution) is limited to 4s and 5s.

To me, Brown fills a need. He's a 2 or 3, but can guard bigger. MOST IMPORTANTLY, he is a legit defender. To add one of those, who can do some plus things on offense too, that's what you need.

I hope you are right about Bullock. But if you are, I still think Brown would be a huge get. He offers a lot.

I agree that they might need better at C. But the problem is they don't need MORE, and they don't need one just to get one. It would be dumb to add another without getting rid of McGee or Holmes (or both). So that would be a trade, not MLE. If they can get that guy in trade, with one or more centers outgoing, sign me up. I would love to see them swap for Gafford. (But that answer is not Ayton imo. The Mavs need DEFENSE. They also need to get away from bloated salaries.) I

I would love for the Mavs to add a bigger defensive wing than Brown for the MLE, but don't see who that would be for the MLE.

I wonder if are set with enough defense at the 4, with Maxi and O-Max. But I also wonder, if an addition is needed, who is the defensive stud as a 4 who is available for the MLE? I don't want a guy, just to have a guy.

My 2c.

The problem is that this team doesn't have a single player outside of Maxi (that isn't a rookie) that should play a minute at the 4.  That is the position this team is in.  So, you are trusting that Maxi stays healthy, (which is like the Cowboys trusting that Tyron Smith does the same), or you are playing a rookie, or you are playing guards at PF.  This is a fail.  You HAVE to fill the hole. There isn't really an option that is better, unless you are just getting bpa to make a trade later.  But again, that is a bottom feeder mentality.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - KillerLeft - 06-27-2023

Mavsfan12, I’ll pushback a little:

1) the biggest thing I see misunderstood around here is that Luka is not really a guard. Sure, he initiates the offense from above the break the way a guard would, so it’s not inaccurate to call him a PG, technically, but there are very few teams against whom he can play that position on defense. In reality, he’s a forward (one of the reasons his rebounding numbers are so high) and the easiest way to lose games by double digits is to put him in position to be an on-ball defender.

2) so, at the moment, that means out of the 8-9 man real rotation, they have Luka, Lively, Kleber, Omax who can ONLY play front court positions (if you’re counting on Holmes for anything, add another) and THJ, Green and Bullock, who all have some front court overlap. I would actually say that Green’s best position is the 3, honestly, though he can play guard a little. Kyrie and Hardy are really the only full time guards in the potential rotation at the moment (though I’d argue THJ is better there).

Out of all those dudes, Green is the only one with the slightest chance of being an elite on-ball defender. I’d argue that there are quite a few deficiencies on the team right now, guard included.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 11:25 PM)Mavsfan12 Wrote: That's fair, if you are picking from the bottom of the barrel.  We are talking about trading assets, not acquiring a player with the TP-MLE after everyone has been picked over.  The Mavs need to use their assets to address the frontcourt.  Adding to the backcourt is just redundancy at this point with a failed ending.  So what's the point of that?  If they can't acquire anyone, then we know that the season will simply be a failure and we try again next year.  But they better treat it like that and play the heck out of the rookies to develop them!  I would also want to take swings on some players with potential growth.  I guess I am just not on board with a course of action that doesn't address the GLARING needs of this team.  Adding another guard just makes it more crowded, and reduces value.  They have to get bigs that can play NOW.

If there is an opportunity to upgrade or add more depth to the rotation, you need to look at that no matter the position.  If nothing else, you are rebuilding your asset pool for future opportunities.  Ideally, you'd love to get help in areas of weakness but the right player just might not be available to you.  I don't want to reach for someone who is the wrong fit or overpay for someone who does fit but doesn't justify the assets or contract you'd need to acquire them.  

Nico said he isn't done, so I think he has a plan.  How he maneuvered on draft night is encouraging so I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt as we enter free agency.  And I'm usually the furthest person from being optimistic when it comes to the MBT.  You see the glaring needs of the team, I see the glaring needs of the team so I'm pretty sure they do too.  

Though I am starting to warm up to the idea that we just roll out Lively to start the season.  We've come out of the gate slow the last few seasons so why not use the doldrums to see what 12th in a deep draft class has to offer?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - mvossman - 06-28-2023

(06-27-2023, 11:32 PM)Mavsfan12 Wrote: The problem is that this team doesn't have a single player outside of Maxi (that isn't a rookie) that should play a minute at the 4.  That is the position this team is in.  So, you are trusting that Maxi stays healthy, (which is like the Cowboys trusting that Tyron Smith does the same), or you are playing a rookie, or you are playing guards at PF.  This is a fail.  You HAVE to fill the hole. There isn't really an option that is better, unless you are just getting bpa to make a trade later.  But again, that is a bottom feeder mentality.

I think this is where a lot of folks disagree.  Luka's best position defensively is probably the 4.  Omax can also play the 4.  It would probably be ideal to get another rotational player that can play the 4, but I don't think its as critical as you are making it out to be.  We are probably going to be a little undersized, but we showed two years ago you can still be successful.  I think the team made it clear on draft day that the focus is more long term than it has been in the past.  If that means we go a little small this coming season, then so be it.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - RoyTarpleysGhost - 06-28-2023

https://twitter.com/skinwade/status/1673897866601852928?s=46&t=vJVRjsNMIspCGYJu_TpvwA


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-28-2023

(06-28-2023, 12:25 AM)RoyTarpleysGhost Wrote: https://twitter.com/skinwade/status/1673897866601852928?s=46&t=vJVRjsNMIspCGYJu_TpvwA

Stealing this from twitter:

[Image: Fzrksu7WIAAv-Lr?format=jpg&name=medium]


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Jym - 06-28-2023

Back to Ayton, what about a 4-way where we add some value like the 2027 1st rounder to Toronto in a Siakam trade?
Siakam fits way better long term


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-28-2023

(06-28-2023, 01:15 AM)Jym Wrote: Back to Ayton, what about a 4-way where we add some value like the 2027 1st rounder to Toronto in a Siakam trade?
Siakam fits way better long term

TOR just traded for Poeltl and threw in a 1st and two 2nds. Masai isn't one to just throw assets like that away.

I think they'll just resign Poeltl for 20 mil and call it a day.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Jym - 06-28-2023

(06-28-2023, 01:23 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: TOR just traded for Poeltl and threw in a 1st and two 2nds. Masai isn't one to just throw assets like that away.

I think they'll just resign Poeltl for 20 mil and call it a day.

Unrestricted so that seems like a bit of an overpay. They do kind of have to match/beat whatever other offers he gets then


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Okstate819 - 06-28-2023

If Skin ends up being right this will be the first time. Cuban fan boy will then blame Mavs fans for whatever happens.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - MFFL - 06-28-2023

Assuming that Skin is right, who would prefer the deal to a decreasing number?

23-24 $44,285,714
24-25 $41,428,571
25-26 $38,571,429
26-27 $35,714,286
$160m