MavsBoard
Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

+- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com)
+-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1)
+--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2)
+--- Thread: Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms (/showthread.php?tid=2444)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 02:59 PM)ThisIStheYear Wrote: Sure, that’s preferable, but would I rather have THJ and Holmes or Ayton plus a low paid end of bencher for the same money? I honestly don’t think THJ and Holmes have anything to offer by way of contributing to a championship team, so that’s an easy choice for me. The only pause I really have is whether Ayton would be a progress stopper for Lively, and I can almost talk myself into the idea of playing them together for 10 minutes so they both get starter minutes.  If that mythical flex is available, that’s great, otherwise, a young, talented, and athletic big for just Holmes and THJ, count me in.

HUH?  He's less than half the price of Ayton.  Makes less than THJ.

????


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 02:59 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Valanciunas. Expiring and imho the best leader out o the bunch. Question is what does NO want?

Whatever New Orleans wants will undoubtedly be more expensive than what PHX can command for Ayton. 

And Ayton's production rivals Valanciunas pretty well.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - KillerLeft - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:09 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: The Mavs were a Kevon Looney stopper away from going to the finals 2 years ago.

No, they weren’t. It wasn’t looney who killed them, it was they expert level ball movement and spacing that had the entire defense chasing their tails. Looney just happened to be the guy (credit him for being in the right spots, understanding the system, catching, finishing, etc) who got to finish those plays, standing by himself in the paint to catch pass #5…7..9…whatever, long after the Mavs’ defense was so confused they’d completely lost track of him.

If Dwight Powell had been in his shoes, people would think the Mavs need a “Dwight Powell stopper” ffs.

AYTON, his slow feet, low motor and (gonna say it) inability to think the game on that level would not have saved the Mavs in that series.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Mavs2021 - 06-27-2023

Honestly the guy I want the most this free agency is PJ Washington. Maybe you can do

THJ to Orlando
Isaac + Bullock + Denver 1st 2025 (from Orlando) + Mavs 2027 unprotected 1st.

Maybe the new Hornets owner doesn´t want to pay big and prefers flexibility.

I´d at least try.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:05 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: Is there any reason to believe that a 24 year old player is already declining and can never reach his peak level again? It´s a gamble NBA teams make all the time. That´s why I asked the questions below. Is it reasonable to assume that he can produce that level again on another team (new coach, system, teammates) or is his recent level all we can expect for the rest of his career?

I guarantee I can come up with more examples of centers on the continual decline at 24yo than centers who were declining at 24yo and turned it around...

How do you think Vegas would handicap that?  Clearly it'd be more that he'll continue to decline than pull out of the nosedive.  So you're wanting to gamble $104m on an unenthused, unmotivated, grossly overpaid curmudgeon?  I hope you don't live near an Indian reservation.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - KillerLeft - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:09 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: Obviously wouldn´t give up any future assets but if all it takes is THJ, Bullock and McGee I would be tempted. Basically only leaves the last year of his contract as a big salary hit.

I mean, I get that part of it, relative to where his value was a few years back. I get that it seems like a huge bargain in a certain light. 

Honestly, though, I legit think THJ is a better, more actually useful player than Ayton. I’m just sooooo over high priced guys who are too slow or too dumb to BE ON THE FLOOR when things matter most.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - fifteenth - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:16 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: I guarantee....

Nice user name!!!


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:10 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Whatever New Orleans wants will undoubtedly be more expensive than what PHX can command for Ayton. 

And Ayton's production rivals Valanciunas pretty well.

Ayton - $104m.
Valanciunas - $17m
...and you're worried about what assets it'll take to get the player?  That's precisely how we ended up here.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:15 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Honestly the guy I want the most this free agency is PJ Washington. Maybe you can do

THJ to Orlando
Isaac + Bullock + Denver 1st 2025 (from Orlando) + Mavs 2027 unprotected 1st.

Maybe the new Hornets owner doesn´t want to pay big and prefers flexibility.

I´d at least try.

PJ Washington would be the perfect remaining piece honestly.  Basically a healthier, younger and more potent offensive Maxi to round out the front court.

2 firsts certainly feels like a heft price although I did see they're prioritizing keeping him and bridges (for whatever reason).


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - dirkfansince1998 - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:16 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: I guarantee I can come up with more examples of centers on the continual decline at 24yo than centers who were declining at 24yo and turned it around...

How do you think Vegas would handicap that?  Clearly it'd be more that he'll continue to decline than pull out of the nosedive.  So you're wanting to gamble $104m on an unenthused, unmotivated, grossly overpaid curmudgeon?  I hope you don't live near an Indian reservation.

More like 50-60m because salary is outgoing in the trade. Basically his last season in 25/26 and half of THJs salary in 24/25 if we can trust the proposed trade.
There is a chance that Ayton is who he is. A useful but overpaid big. Solid starter. Nothing more. That´s the floor. Making the gamble even less of a risk because no matter what happens the return isn´t zero. Even if things don´t work out and he never reaches his 20/21 level again he is more useful than THJ, Bullock or McGee.

As far as my personal opinion goes. I am not the biggest Ayton fan but from an asset management perspective I can see why the Mavs would be interested. Compared to the level and value that he used to have it is an all time buy low opportunity.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-27-2023

Man I kept thinking a Bruce Brown signing and Grant Williams S&T would have been the perfect way to round everything up but now I'm back stuck on figuring out how to get PJ Washington here.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-27-2023

https://www.mavsmoneyball.com/2023/6/27/23775870/could-the-dallas-mavericks-get-deandre-ayton-and-use-the-full-mid-level-exception


This is a fantastic article


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 02:33 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: I've been saying this all along.  Why would we not only help them get out of their predicament, but then trade places into said predicament?

I can see the outcome being framed as the same but what we are trading to get to that outcome is different.   Granted, Ayton isn't the quality of Durant or Beal, but our pu pu platter of outgoing assets isn't near the quality that Phoenix shipped out.

I don't like Ayton and don't particularly want him on the team, but if all it cost was THJ, Holmes and Reggie, I personally think Ayton is more valuable than that combined rotation.  

My guess is that the MBT/Phx discussion occurred before the draft and before we acquired Lively, which probably makes this entire discussion moot.

edit: I also hate THJ (the player) so I have my bias.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:30 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: More like 50-60m because salary is outgoing in the trade. Basically his last season in 25/26 and half of THJs salary in 24/25 if we can trust the proposed trade.
There is a chance that Ayton is who he is. A useful but overpaid big. Solid starter. Nothing more. That´s the floor. Making the gamble even less of a risk because no matter what happens the return isn´t zero. Even if things don´t work out and he never reaches his 20/21 level again he is more useful than THJ, Bullock or McGee.

Huh?  He's declining, not plateauing.  On his dejectory he'll be McGee in 3 years.  Did you see the playoff series this year?  He was benched for Landale.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - SleepingHero - 06-27-2023

https://twitter.com/djl_137__/status/1673765062262005783?s=20

dylan (@djl_137__)
“The amount of Max Strus buzz right now is ridiculous…Max Strus is getting the mid level exception…all those teams are scared that someone with cap room is gonna beat that offer.”

Lowe


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Smitty - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:31 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: now I'm back stuck on figuring out how to get PJ Washington here.

He’s the only one I’m interested in tbh.

Bullock + ‘27. Hornets want vets and are going to resign Bridges.

https://www.si.com/nba/hornets/news/pick-one-miles-bridges-or-p-j-washington


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Ghost of Podkolzin - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:30 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: More like 50-60m because salary is outgoing in the trade. Basically his last season in 25/26 and half of THJs salary in 24/25 if we can trust the proposed trade.
There is a chance that Ayton is who he is. A useful but overpaid big. Solid starter. Nothing more. That´s the floor. Making the gamble even less of a risk because no matter what happens the return isn´t zero. Even if things don´t work out and he never reaches his 20/21 level again he is more useful than THJ, Bullock or McGee.

As far as my personal opinion goes. I am not the biggest Ayton fan but from an asset management perspective I can see why the Mavs would be interested. Compared to the level and value that he used to have it is an all time buy low opportunity.

Wow.  OK, you're subtracting THJ's salary when he'll no longer be on the roster????  You only do that with dead money contracts like Bertans.

Ayton is at best $20m player for next year.  If he continues to decline, that number drops significantly for years 2 and 3.  *If he stops declining, there is $40m of dead money in his 3 year contract.  Because of his decline, I don't think I'd be willing to take that risk at $60m/3yrs.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - Jmaciscool - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:37 PM)cow Wrote: I can see the outcoming being framed as the same but what we are trading to get to that outcome is different.   Granted, Ayton isn't the quality of Durant or Beal, but our pu pu platter of outgoing assets isn't near the quality that Phoenix shipped out.

I don't like Ayton and don't particularly want him on the team, but if all it cost was THJ, Holmes and Reggie, I personally think Ayton is more valuable than that combined rotation.  

My guess is that the MBT/Phx discussion occurred before the draft and before we acquired Lively, which probably makes this entire discussion moot.

edit:  I'm also hate THJ (the player) so I have my bias.

This is where I'm landing too (for now).

I don't think it's moot though because if Holmes was included it would have been after the draft/Lively pick, right?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:47 PM)Jmaciscool Wrote: This is where I'm landing too (for now).

I don't think it's moot though because if Holmes was included it would have been after the draft/Lively pick, right?

Good point but I think we are all making assumptions about what the Mavs pu pu platter was.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24:HOU likes FVV+Brooks| MIA to S/W Lowry if no trade? - dirkfansince1998 - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 03:38 PM)Ghost of Podkolzin Wrote: Huh?  He's declining, not plateauing.  On his dejectory he'll be McGee in 3 years.  Did you see the playoff series this year?  He was benched for Landale.

Overreacting much? It´s not legit to look at his body of work or performance in his best run but it´s totally valid to predict his future based on one playoff series against the best player in the league. Playing on a dysfunctional team and fighting with the coach.
Still concerning because no matter what happens you cannot pull a Rondo. But I would asume that any team that considers trading for him knows more about the situation than we do. Personally I think that is more concerning than his level of play. After the last season the Mavs should stay away from anyone that could create locker room issues.