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Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms - Printable Version

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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 12:47 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Just a rumor, but supposedly it was THJ, Holmes and McGee for Ayton. PHX won’t do it with McGee’s money in the deal, Dallas won’t do it without the McGee dump.

I'd probably do that deal had Phoenix accepted.  

2 years at Holmes at 12 per and, 2 years of McGee at 6 per.   Ayton is only +14 and +16 more per year.  That third year sucks though.  Being rid of THJ would be nice too but we'd need to scrap heap another shooter.  It's too bad we've burned the Seth Curry relationship to the ground.  

I don't really believe the rumor though.  Phoenix would need to see Holmes as a usable piece, which I assume is possible.  THJ could be moved but I doubt you'd return better for him.  They'd most likely be stuck with both of them for two years.  Seems like they could get a better pu pu platter than that.  It's too bad we don't have something we could throw in to soften the McGee blow.  I'm guessing they don't want Reggie.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - SleepingHero - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 01:32 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Zion actually wouldn’t surprise me that much.

Brandan Ingrim?

Ingram would be such a perfect addition I couldn't even think of heavily unrealistic mav favored trades for him.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - KillerLeft - 06-27-2023

It’s Lebron, isn’t it?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 12:45 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: 23% of the cap
*23% of the cap 
*23% of the cap

* estimated using hoopshype salary cap projections.

Having your starting center only be at most 25% of the cap isn't bad at all. Lively+Ayton will combine to be less than 40 mil.  Looking around the league lets see what the top 16 teams are spending combined on their center rotation for the next season:
West:
DEN-Jokic(47.6)+*Bryant(vet min)+*Jordan(vet min)= 51,638,790
MEM- Adams (12.6)+Aldama(2.1)+Tillman(1.9)=16,724,881
SAC- Sabonis(22)+Len(5)+Metu(2)= 29,113,575
PHX- Ayton(32)+*Landale(~2.2)+*Biyombo(vet min)=36,668,531
LAC- Zubac(10.9)+*Plumlee(~12)=22,933,333
GSW- Looney(7.5)+*Draymond (~25 mil)=33,306,469
LAL-AD(40.6)+Bamba(10.3)+Thompson(vet min)=52,919,475
MIN- Gobert(41)+KAT(36)+Reid(13)=89,966,600

East:
MIL- *Lopez (~13)+Giannis(45.6)=58,640,084
BOS- KP(36)+Timelord(11.5)+Horford(10)+Kornet(2.4)=60,000,933
PHI- Embiid (47.6)+*Reed (3)+*Harrell(vet min)+*Dedmon(vet min)=54,638,790
CLE- Allen (20)+Mobley (8.9)+*Lopez(vet min)+*Ed Davis (vet min)=32,921,430
NYK- Robinson (15.6)+Hartenstien(9.2)+Sims (1.9)=26,854,835
BRK- Simmons (37.8)+Claxton(9.6)+Sharpe(2.2)=49,728,448
ATL- Capela (20.6)+Okongwu(8.1)=28,725,063
MIA- Bam(32.6)+*Love(~BAE)+*Zeller(vet min)+*Yurtseven(min)=40,617,687

*Estimates/Assumptions made on pending FA's. 

Dallas' spending on the center position under this proposed Ayton trade?- 41,811,618

7/16 teams will be spending much more than Dallas for at least the next 3 years (although those teams have an all-star at the position). Throw in MEM too if you want to count Jaren Jackson as a small ball 5. ATL, CLE, and SAC, are almost definitely going to surpass this amount when their rookies/FA's are up for an extension within the next year. 

Trading for Ayton is not this albatross people are making it out to be. His production is literally right there with the other all-star bigs that put up similar numbers and the Mavs would be right in line in terms of spending properly on the center position.

None of that really addresses your statement of "that sometimes goes through the motions" .  That's a massive number for someone who doesn't show up every game. Should we give Kyrie a contract, he'll have a similar but different problem as he likes to find excuses to ask out of games but he's a unique talent that the Mavs wouldn't be able to get otherwise, so we have to accept those warts.

You could still talk me into Ayton if the right pieces are being moved out.

Also, don't trade Hardy. He works hard. Zion is fat and often injured.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Branduil - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 01:34 AM)cow Wrote: I'd probably do that deal had Phoenix accepted.  

2 years at Holmes at 12 per and, 2 years of McGee at 6 per.   Ayton is only +14 and +16 more per year.  That third year sucks though.  Being rid of THJ would be nice too but we'd need to scrap heap another shooter.  It's too bad we've burned the Seth Curry relationship to the ground.  

I don't really believe the rumor though.  Phoenix would need to see Holmes as a usable piece, which I assume is possible.  THJ could be moved but I doubt you'd return better for him.  They'd most likely be stuck with both of them for two years.  Seems like they could get a better pu pu platter than that.  It's too bad we don't have something we could throw in to soften the McGee blow.  I'm guessing they don't want Reggie.

I think it's two things:

1) Phoenix just needs bodies at this point. They have so much tied up in Booker/Ayton/KD/Beal that they can't build any kind of bench. So they would be adding THJ and Holmes as players (and getting off of Ayton's horrible deal)

2) I think Ayton is just toxic for them now. Probably because he doesn't want to do the hard work to win now.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - cow - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 02:42 AM)Branduil Wrote: I think it's two things:

1) Phoenix just needs bodies at this point. They have so much tied up in Booker/Ayton/KD/Beal that they can't build any kind of bench. So they would be adding THJ and Holmes as players (and getting off of Ayton's horrible deal)

2) I think Ayton is just toxic for them now. Probably because he doesn't want to do the hard work to win now.

I guess I'd be more inclined to believe it if Holmes were less of a question mark.  I have high hopes that change of location will do him a world of good, but if he doesn't bounce back, I don't think they can get off of him and certainly couldn't return something useful.  I'm with you on the Suns needing bodies and can easily see them doing fifty cents or a quarter on the dollar for Ayton, but I'd think they'd want 2-3 useful pieces.  THJ is certainly that. Holmes is ???.  McGee is certainly not.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - HoosierDaddyKid - 06-27-2023

https://twitter.com/YossiGozlan/status/1673423192889892864





Teams with the most cap space. Houston can do some damage.

https://www.si.com/nba/mavericks/news/bruce-brown-javale-mcgee-dallas-mavs-free-agency-sign-rumor





If true, another gaff from the Mavs?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - HoosierDaddyKid - 06-27-2023

https://twitter.com/esidery/status/1673462697487114242






Phoenix. Home of the vet minimum ring chasers?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Jason Terry - 06-27-2023

I don’t like Ayton, but I’m down with the proposed trade. Any combo of THJ/Holmes/Bullock/Joel. The big reason why? The Ayton money doesn’t overlap with a Lively rookie scale extension. Also, i like the general premise of “let’s add as much young talent as possible and see what happens”

On the flip side i see the Clippers and Blazers as teams who could and should put up better offers. Simons/Nurkic or any combo of the Clippers vets seem like a better deal from the Suns perspective. Because of this i don’t see it happening

In other “big” news. According to Stein, Mavs top MLE target Naz Reid is now off the board. Naz is more of the type of big we want. One with perimeter skills


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - HoosierDaddyKid - 06-27-2023

https://twitter.com/esidery/status/1673005661221711872




Rockets shopping list.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Dundalis - 06-27-2023

Ayton being lazy with a low motor and sporadic "whenever he feels like it" motivation is only a part of the issue. The big part, and IMO a big part of what makes certain players with gaudy stats be total empty calorie type players, is that they want to do more than what they are required to do within a teams system. Ayton fits pretty comfortably into this category, and it actually hurts teams IMO despite the stats looking nice. Ayton is someone who you would rather score 13-14 points a night and focus on defense. Instead he focuses on his offense, and when he can't get the shots and type of shots he wants, his already lacking motivation drops off the scale completely. And the defense is an afterthought. His mentality and fit within a team structure is poor, he's an empty calories player and therefore I'm def glad we didn't get him. He's basically a more physically talented Christian Wood without the stretch ability. Kyle Kuzma is also this guy (on top of actually being a volume poor efficiency chucker).

Also I do not think we need another big. It's already been commented on that this team made a WCF, not only without a particularly good big, but with terrible rebounding. I will maintain that perimeter defense in todays game is far more important than both paint defense and rebounding. If we can secure the perimeter defense, both in the starting lineup and on the bench unit, I think we will be fine defensively without a high caliber defensive big. What we have will work. Give me all the FA and trade options for defensive wings, cause that's what I'd prefer to see (though Im not gonna be mad if they can pull off a move for a defensive focused big that isn't too costly, and doesn't need 20 shots a game to feel valued).


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - ItsGoTime - 06-27-2023

I waffle on Ayton so much, but only because of the price tag to acquire.

I think the dump trade for Ayton might be fine (I think the change of scenery will at least have him working hard for the first year) IF the predicted Kyrie asking out after a year is a thing (no way we know for sure) and we can get a much better return on him than we gave.

At that point, his salary can be tolerable. Someone said earlier too, and I kinda liked the thought of Ayton eventually getting pushed to play harder (on a team he likes better hopefully) by Lively (and vice versa to prove himself worthy) and we trade the one that we like better so the other can shine (what Atl should be doing with Capela or Okongwu right now).

The other side of this waffle is exactly what we had with KP and what Dundalis just talked about. If he isn’t happy with being the 3-4th guy in Phx and thinks he’s more, how would that change here, unless we don’t resign Kyrie? We would be exactly the same stop as KP in his journey of discovering he isn’t that guy (KP recently said he could have had a better mindset in Dallas to make things work better with Luka). 

I guess I’ll just sit on the fence and if they pull that trigger I’ll be neither happy or upset, I’ll just wait and see.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Chicagojk - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 07:24 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I waffle on Ayton so much, but only because of the price tag to acquire.

I think the dump trade for Ayton might be fine (I think the change of scenery will at least have him working hard for the first year) IF the predicted Kyrie asking out after a year is a thing (no way we know for sure) and we can get a much better return on him than we gave.

At that point, his salary can be tolerable. Someone said earlier too, and I kinda liked the thought of Ayton eventually getting pushed to play harder (on a team he likes better hopefully) by Lively (and vice versa to prove himself worthy) and we trade the one that we like better so the other can shine (what Atl should be doing with Capela or Okongwu right now).

The other side of this waffle is exactly what we had with KP and what Dundalis just talked about. If he isn’t happy with being the 3-4th guy in Phx and thinks he’s more, how would that change here, unless we don’t resign Kyrie? We would be exactly the same stop as KP in his journey of discovering he isn’t that guy (KP recently said he could have had a better mindset in Dallas to make things work better with Luka). 

I guess I’ll just sit on the fence and if they pull that trigger I’ll be neither happy or upset, I’ll just wait and see.

I feel the same way.   I could squint and think he would be a fit and be a part of our 25 and under young nucleus.

I just don't think it happens.  I think with that package PHX would hold on to him and hope to get a better deal.  With the hope of giving a WC contender and Luka a young guy that could haunt them for the next 5 years if he clicked in Dallas.   I think the eventually find a better offer from a team looking to increase their talent.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - DanSchwartzgan - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 01:22 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Person 1: And then the framework of that move just has happened, multiple times, actually. 

Person 2: Exactly. 

Person 1: So yeah, I would lose my shit. I would build a statue.

Person 2: I'd be a hypocrite

Person 1: I've already started to turn 3 weeks ago. 

-----
End of convo


I'll bite.  The "framework" has happened multiple times part is probably a big name salary dump from a team in second-apron hell.  The "hypocrite" part means either losing someone Person 2 likes or taking on someone she doesn't like (and then Person 1 says he started to change his mind on this person 3 weeks ago).  The timing could just be a figure of speech.  

I looked at some of her tweets (man, she is prolific).  She LOVES her some THJ.  I suspect this is more about him being part of the outgoing than being a hypocrite about who is incoming.  So, Timmy out and salary dump in.  She likes Ayton, so this could just be getting Ayton with so little outgoing.  I realize some don't like the idea (and certainly wouldn't build a statue), but if you like the idea of Ayton and suddenly it can be done without sending out Josh or a first, then that is pretty good work (as an aside, Utah just took on a massive contract that pushes their #9 pick to the bench for several years, but Dallas can't with #12?).

Other possibilities might be AD or PG.  She's done with Dame and he doesn't make sense here anyway.  Ditto LaVine.  Once you get past that, it is hard to see the realistic salary dump that a team might need to make (so not Thompson or Curry or Gobert).  I think it is Ayton super cheap.  There are versions to be had this week and versions that add this to the open Bertans trade.  I suspect they'd like to at least agree to something soon so they could hit 6/30 knowing where they stand.

BTW, if this is part of the open Bertans deal, THJ plus Bertans outgoing = $34.9mm.  At 1.25% + $250k (since the outgoing is over $29mm), that is $43.875mm  Reduce that by Holmes to Dallas and this misses a trade match by either $.6k or $2.4mm depending on the TK for Holmes.  From there, there are a hundred things you could do to get this across the line.

Something I've not noticed before...Ayton has a one year no-trade clause that expires mid July.  Not a big deal as Phoenix can just wait, but Ayton had the ability to block June trades to destinations he doesn't like.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Jym - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 05:59 AM)HoosierDaddyKid Wrote: https://twitter.com/YossiGozlan/status/1673423192889892864





Teams with the most cap space. Houston can do some damage.

https://www.si.com/nba/mavericks/news/bruce-brown-javale-mcgee-dallas-mavs-free-agency-sign-rumor





If true, another gaff from the Mavs?

If it makes you feel any better, it's actually McGee plus Hardy on a 3 year deal where we get full bird rights
Had to use part of the MLE for that. Just regular 2nd round rights would have put him on a 2 year deal


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - IamDougieFresh - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 08:01 AM)Jym Wrote: If it makes you feel any better, it's actually McGee plus Hardy on a 3 year deal where we get full bird rights
Had to use part of the MLE for that. Just regular 2nd round rights would have put him on a 2 year deal

Trade your late first for a player that you don’t actually want

Have to trade multiple seconds to get back in for Hardy

Could have got Brown but have to split money

MCSHAQTIN 

Still not feeling great about it


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - omahen - 06-27-2023

In my opinion. If one at least reasonably likes Ayton and all it takes is THJ+Holmes, the McGee contract is not a deal breaker. You expand the Sac deal to a three team deal and if needed (didn't check the numbers) throw in Bullock.

If one doesn't like Ayton, he shouldn't trade for him at all.

My point: I don't believe McGee would be a deal breaker. If Mavs are really interested, they would find a way around it.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - Jym - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 08:11 AM)IamDougieFresh Wrote: Trade your late first for a player that you don’t actually want

Have to trade multiple seconds to get back in for Hardy

Could have got Brown but have to split money

MCSHAQTIN 

Still not feeling great about it

When you put it that way....


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - The Jom - 06-27-2023

The case for not hatin’ Ayton:

1. Most of his cost before year 3 may be money we’ve already spent (McGee, Holmes, etc.).

2. Year 3—the bulk of the real cost of obtaining him—he’ll be a moveable expiring (like Kristaps to Boston).

3. Young centers often improve over time and blossom, sometimes after leaving their first team (Tyson, DeAndre, even Shaq and Kareem).

4. He’s a good shooter from the free-throw line and, therefore, has real potential (my opinion) from the 3-point line.

5. He sure looks like a fit for our biggest holes (rebounds, rim protection, post defense, physicality).

Also have to be impressed with the Mavs playing hard to get here. Suns are desperate.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Collins to UTA for Gay+2nd| Mavs tried to trade for Ayton? - MFFL - 06-27-2023

(06-27-2023, 07:24 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I waffle on Ayton so much, but only because of the price tag to acquire.

I think the dump trade for Ayton might be fine (I think the change of scenery will at least have him working hard for the first year) IF the predicted Kyrie asking out after a year is a thing (no way we know for sure) and we can get a much better return on him than we gave.

At that point, his salary can be tolerable. Someone said earlier too, and I kinda liked the thought of Ayton eventually getting pushed to play harder (on a team he likes better hopefully) by Lively (and vice versa to prove himself worthy) and we trade the one that we like better so the other can shine (what Atl should be doing with Capela or Okongwu right now).

The other side of this waffle is exactly what we had with KP and what Dundalis just talked about. If he isn’t happy with being the 3-4th guy in Phx and thinks he’s more, how would that change here, unless we don’t resign Kyrie? We would be exactly the same stop as KP in his journey of discovering he isn’t that guy (KP recently said he could have had a better mindset in Dallas to make things work better with Luka). 

I guess I’ll just sit on the fence and if they pull that trigger I’ll be neither happy or upset, I’ll just wait and see.

There had to be more to it. THJ is ok as a player but Holmes is a question mark. They are supposedly trading a starting center for a rotation player and a maybe?

There isn't even much salary cap savings - a little in year 2 and the entire year 3