07-06-2021, 03:12 PM
(07-06-2021, 02:03 PM)omahen Wrote: Cap space has value and no one will be paying a second for selling cap space essentially doing us a favor.
You sure? If Conley demands 25 mil you are left with 9 mil of cap space. And you also lose WCS. Sure there are scenarios where SnT is not a positive thing, but there are also a bunch of scenarios where it is. In my example the offseason nets you Conley, MLE and WCS, JRich (or JRich trade). In your example you get Conley, MLE level player and rMLE (but need to dump JRich).
I think some teams might value a 1 year try and see JRich deal at 11 mil. But if you think his value is way less than that, then why would Utah (who has series cap issues) want to take him on in an S&T?
25 mil for Conley seems on the high side, especially if you are going over 2 years. I figure it will be around 3 for 70. You can escalate yearly such that first year salary is in low 20s. That leaves you with only a couple of mil over the MLE, but that is hugely valuable. There are not a lot of teams with cap space, but many with the MLE. By having the ability to pay a couple mil over MLE you have the pick of the litter of MLE level free agents. Considering we lost our top 3 or 4 choices last year and had to settle for WCS and Burke, that can be a big deal.
My primary argument on the other thread was not that operating under the cap was necessarily better, just that it is much more likely. When you find yourself going through a lot of contortions to make something work, odds are its not going to play out. I'm setting my sights on scenarios that have a reasonable chance of happening. I figure there is maybe a 10 to 20 percent chance we can lure Conley, partially due to Utah's tax issues. I think the odds of doing that and making it a full S&T are probably less than 5 percent.