05-20-2021, 08:04 AM
(05-20-2021, 07:06 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I think he's doing one of these per day. He's done SA, TOR and NO in addition to Charlotte.
Getting Monk and Holmes at just the right numbers seems optimistic. The more surprising thing in the article was that he projected Graham at $9.6mm (range is $8-$11). Something that would crush the Holmes + Monk plan would be someone inking Graham to an offer sheet before they can get the other stuff done. Since Graham's number is around the MLE and since he's no longer projected as a starter, almost any team could make that offer.
My presumption has been that Monk would be sacrificed in order to make a larger offer to someone like Holmes. But, as I said yesterday, if Dallas doesn't have interest in Holmes, the options outside of Charlotte dry up pretty quickly. So, $13mm might be a good number. Dallas got a brief mention in the SA write-up regarding DeRozan:
"The Spurs currently have an exclusive window to negotiate a new contract for DeRozan in the form of an extension. San Antonio can add an additional four seasons and up to $149.1 million in new money with a starting salary of $33.3 million in 2021-22.
If there is no agreement by Aug. 1, DeRozan would enter the offseason as an unrestricted free agent. The salary for DeRozan per ProFitX projects to start at $31 million next year (with a low of $24 million).
Supply and demand will be a big factor in determining what DeRozan's next contract will be. The teams outside of San Antonio who project to have cap space are Charlotte, Dallas, Miami and New York. Would the Knicks use their $55 million in room to target DeRozan and his former Toronto Raptors teammate Kyle Lowry? How about the Mavericks adding an established scorer to play alongside Luka Doncic?
If San Antonio decides the cost of re-signing DeRozan is too rich and the four-time All-Star wants to join a team that doesn't have cap space, a sign-and-trade would be an option. However, that would require the Spurs to take back salary into their cap space or redirect those contracts to a third team.
There are three big questions the Spurs will need to ask internally with regards to DeRozan:
- Does paying a 32-year-old player more than $30 million fit the timeline of the current roster?
- Where would DeRozan rank on our free-agent board if he were not on our roster, and would he be a player that we would target with cap space?
- Do we sign DeRozan and utilize him as a trade asset down the road and if so, where would his value be in the second year of the contract?
If the Spurs can answer "yes" to any of the above questions, then there is a deal to be made."
That is a lot of money for Derozan, who doesn't have a ton of fans in the advanced metrics world. I have been using the Hollinger number from earlier this year. It looks like I may need to reevaluate. I really like Derozan, but I do have concerns on fit. But at that salary, that would probably be too rich for me.