Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms

[mvossman]

Dinwiddie was a 40% 3pt shooter over the course of 94 games with the Mavs. That's not a hot streak. That's a player who fit well in the system and thrived next to Luka. 

Timmy is a better shooter than Dinwiddie. But his inconsistencies are much greater. I want to replace THJ with a guy who doesn't swing between 20 percentage points in his hot streaks over the course of a season. 

Regarding the Exum thing, you're 100% right. His injury history doesn't bode well for his long term aspirations as a core member of a title team. BUT he does fit the mold and he has shown he could do it. I was just looking at a potential re-creation.

The "Luka effect" does not improve guys 3 percentage by 8 percent, especially when his shot profile wasn't significantly different than normal.  Luka might have added a percent or two, but most of it was noise.

I would be willing to bet that if an analysis was done on Timmy streakiness compared to other players, the difference would be almost entirely driven by shot profile.  Guys that take more threes are going to have more streaky results because 3% is much more streaky than other shots.  Roughly 45% of Dinwiddie's shots are 3s where Timmy is around 55% so he will probably be a little more streaky, but I am guessing the actual difference is less than what is perceived (probably due to the negative reinforcement when Timmy chucks).