01-04-2024, 02:31 PM
(01-04-2024, 10:13 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: 1 I don't think FG's extension requirement is realistic.
2 Inevitably the DJJ thing comes up any time we talk about a big dollar guy like Siakam. Green/GWill/THJ is $41mm or so next season which probably keeps us around the tax give or take a million or two depending on what Siakam signs for.
1 What do you mean by "realistic"? It's my assessment that Siakam is too risky of a trade, with Philly looming to snatch him away in the summer. This would not be a Kyrie scenario, where the primary expected competition has no cap room.
The only way to avoid that is to require an extension. So I would make that part of the deal OR would just not trade for him. Seems way more realistic to me than paying a bunch of assets for a half-season rental and then very likely ending up with nothing. One more thing -- if you don't take that stance, you won't get to see how much staying in Dallas might interest him, before trading for him.
2 Your math is off. Trading $41M and then signing Siakam to a max $42.6M diminishes your room under the apron by about $5M, because of the 3-for-1 aspect. You end up broadly in the area of the TxpMLE of $5.2M. If you think that will be enough left for DJJ, ok, but I have huge doubts.
Of course, if Siakam walks as a FA, problem solved!