01-03-2024, 01:14 PM
(01-03-2024, 10:39 AM)DallasMaverick Wrote: Most of us amateur GMs tend to make similar mistakes:
1. Over-value one of our players based on future potential (we’ve seen flashes).
2. Under-value one of our players based on current bad performance (just observe this board after a loss!)
Likewise, we misjudge other teams’ players:
1. Over-value a player based on what he might become in our system, with the role we can provide him.
2. Under-value a player based on fit, current performance, age, or value relative to contract.
Holmes is a scratched-off lottery ticket at this point. We had hopes that he might be something different in our system, but he isn’t. That doesn’t mean some other GM might see some flashes to entice him, but odds are slim. Remember when THJ was the bad contract we had to swallow in order to get Porzingis? But now he’s a positive.
I’m thinking Maxi and Green, and maybe Hardy all fall into that category. Both have shown flashes. Both have potential upside that could entice another GM. Is it enough, without throwing in picks? I’d have never expected that OG would have gone as cheaply as he did.
Good post. I like the scratched off lottery ticket analogy. Unfortunately, I think it applies not only to Holmes but maybe Jaden Hardy as well. Maxi might be a burnt lottery ticket at this point.