Trade & FA 2023-24: Stein-Ingram Trade Inevitable| LAL Want Lebron Back On Any Terms

[mvossman]

A common mistake fans make is to measure players against expectations and not actual worth.  IMO, it happened with both KP and Wood.

On the opposite side, fans make the mistake of viewing formerly successful players in that former success, not their current actual worth.  IMO this is the case with hope for Holmes and perceived value of Capela.

I think the biggest issues with both KP and Wood were of the locker room variety.  The team got a noticeable lift after sending away KP (with some surprising player comments made regarding that) and the lack of Wood interest by Mavs or any other NBA team screams locker room red flags. In fact in both cases I would suggest that it was those players who had too high expectations of what they were and rankled from not getting their touches or minutes.

I think there is some truth to your second point, but you can also go the other way.  Players can have fairly wild swings in their performance from year to year for various reasons.  Its generally not a smooth curve.  So when you project future performance you can make the mistake of being too swayed by recency bias.