06-20-2023, 04:09 PM
(06-20-2023, 01:10 PM)Chicagojk Wrote: What if the Capela trade talk is accurate, but Capela would not be winding up in Dallas? What if PHX winds up with Capela. Any deal there with Dallas winding up with Ayton?
I think you're right on the money with this one by the way. There as been A LOT of smoke with PHX and Collins, starting all the way back at the TDL.
Shams just released this report as well on his Twitter show:
https://twitter.com/HawksFanTV/status/16...-lY9WSpYEQ&s=19
Quote:Per Shams, “Phoenix and Atlanta had a deal in place to acquire John Collins that would’ve sent Chris Paul to a third team”
Most likely would’ve been for filler and draft picks in return.
If Collins' value is to the point of just air and some 2nd rounders (I'd assume the 52nd pick was apart of this deal) his value is exceedingly low. Yet PHX is interested. I definitely think there is a 3 team deal here with PHX-ATL-DAL.
PHX gets Collins+Capela. 1 positive asset, 1 negative asset.
DAL gets Ayton 1 neutral to bad asset.
ATL gets THJ+Bullock+McGee. 2 Wings they want + get off of a boat load of money (and I mean a boatload). 12 mil next season. 26 mil the next season.
PHX gets 2 starters for Ayton, and they need a starting center in any Ayton deal. Windhorst reported that PHX is interested in keeping Landale, Okogie, Biyombo, and Craig. Including Godwin+Todd, that is basically a complete roster. Total salary of which would be: $201,721,695 (used Spotract). That's a 13 man roster there.
Why doesn't PHX do this? Well it actually increases their cap figure by about 6 mil over the next 2 years, and then only a decrease of 10 mil in the last year. I doubt PHX really wants be above the 2nd apron that long. But concessions have to be made if they want a starting center AND more for just Ayton.
Why does ATL do this? They get off a boat load of money. Getting off of Collins+Capela opens up Okongwu's role and cleans their cap sheet pretty well given THJ+Bullock's contracts are relatively cap friendly.
ATL will probably demand a 10 for 15 swap with the Mavs. I'd still do it.
DAL net trade THJ+Bullock+10 for Ayton+15.
ATL net trade Collins+Capela+15 for THJ+Bullock+McGee+10
PHX net trade: Ayton for Collins+Capela.
ATL is getting off a bit light at first glance, but if Collins' value is CP3+52nd pick (essentially 10 mil savings+2nd) then he really is a ballast, and ATL getting off of him should be seen as a big value.
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