2023 DRAFT: Mavs take Lively, OMP, sign Mike Miles to 2-way, sign Jordan Walker

[ThisIStheYear]

So basically, 10th picks tends to perform worse than expected, but 11th and 12th picks have been pretty good. Why? I think it’s psychology and cognitive bias. At 10, teams are still taking the consensus player who “falls” to them. It’s a passive mindset. The fallers are falling for a reason. But once you get past the nice round number of 10, teams go hunting for the diamond in the rough. They’re no longer biased by the consensus rankings. And they do better. It’s an active philosophy. The Mavs need to look for the diamond and forget about these consensus guys hoping one may fall.

Or it could all just be small sample size. Either way, I hope on draft night the pundit reaction is that the Mavs reached.