05-17-2023, 10:26 AM
Great posts from Reunion, Tyler and Omahen. Any of which could be spot on or dead wrong. It really comes down to opportunity and philosophy.
Getting the right guy at 10 and keeping him would be a great in the long run in terms of cost control balanced against talent over time. No one wants to hear it, but the budget is going to matter to sustained competitiveness. Even the best prospect (say Walker) is just a one-dimensional bench defender and roll man his first season (and you’ve used a year of Kyrie’s window as Omahen points out). It is ‘a philosophy’. Not necessarily wrong, but you have to nail the pick in such a way that you don’t mind this player developing into something really good as Kyrie fades. One other note, I show there is a way this gets done on my spreadsheet and we stay out of the tax.
I would count Omahen and Tyler’s posts as ‘go big or go home’ ideas. Not wrong, just different. Either yields a better big man than Reid/Reed or the like, but at what cost. Every deal we’ve made in recent years has been more expensive than I thought it would be. So, expect that 10 and 2027 would be outgoing in many of these deals (or at the very least 2027 and a trade down of the 2023 pick). This better uses the Kyrie window, but will leave the cupboard bare without the developmental piece. It also limits the money on the MLE piece to the TP MLE instead of the Full MLE.
Getting the right guy at 10 and keeping him would be a great in the long run in terms of cost control balanced against talent over time. No one wants to hear it, but the budget is going to matter to sustained competitiveness. Even the best prospect (say Walker) is just a one-dimensional bench defender and roll man his first season (and you’ve used a year of Kyrie’s window as Omahen points out). It is ‘a philosophy’. Not necessarily wrong, but you have to nail the pick in such a way that you don’t mind this player developing into something really good as Kyrie fades. One other note, I show there is a way this gets done on my spreadsheet and we stay out of the tax.
I would count Omahen and Tyler’s posts as ‘go big or go home’ ideas. Not wrong, just different. Either yields a better big man than Reid/Reed or the like, but at what cost. Every deal we’ve made in recent years has been more expensive than I thought it would be. So, expect that 10 and 2027 would be outgoing in many of these deals (or at the very least 2027 and a trade down of the 2023 pick). This better uses the Kyrie window, but will leave the cupboard bare without the developmental piece. It also limits the money on the MLE piece to the TP MLE instead of the Full MLE.