2019-2020 Mavs Trade Discussion + Salary Chart

[DanSchwartzgan]

BTW, getting Gordon and rehabbing his value a bit is the kind of contract and player you'll need for a Giannis package.  I see 4 scenarios with Giannis:

1.  He signs his super max extension (by far the most likely)
2.  He doesn't and Milwaukee trades him in the summer (probably the most value available)
3.  He doesn't and Milwaukee trades him at the TDL (didn't work with A. Davis)
4.  He doesn't and Milwaukee takes the chance of doing an Anthony Davis type deal with one of MANY suitors.  

Ironically, with so many teams having cap room, it becomes less important for any one team to have it.  In other words, Giannis can go a dozen different places with no return to Milwaukee.  So, Milwaukee could just as well trade him to a team without cap room if they offer a good deal and Giannis wants to go there.

Why does a trade matter to Giannis?  He's in the same situation as Davis.  IF he turns down the super-max to go elsewhere, he likely does a 2 + 1 to get to his 10th season.  He qualifies for 35% of the cap in two years, but only if he has Bird rights.  So, I may need to soften my "no way he makes it to the summer of 2021 as a free agent" stance.  Just asking here, what does KP's usage become with two 35+ usage guys like Luka and Giannis on his team?  

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When he's right I think Oladipo is absolutely worth a max. You won't find a much better fit next to Luka than a guard who can create his own shot and play All-NBA defense at the same time. Unfortunately, if we see him bounce back I expect he'll just sign an extension with Indy.

To that end, you may have missed an important point made above.  An extension gets VO to about $25 million (120% of what he makes in 20/21).  In 2021 he will be an 8 year player.  IF the cap is the projected $125mm, he will be eligible for a max of $37.5mm.  Again, I'm not sure Oladipo is worth $37.5mm, but if he is, he can not get there through an extension and has to hit the open market in 21.  If he chooses the extension route, he's maxed at a much smaller number than his Max.

A healthy VO would be fantastic here, but I'm not sure you make your plans for the next two years around him.  He could certainly sign a $25mm per year extension this summer or could re-sign with Indy five seconds into free agency in the summer of 2021.