01-11-2020, 04:23 PM
(This post was last modified: 01-11-2020, 04:31 PM by Scott41theMavs.)
As I posted elsewhere, I regard the Mavs roster in terms of, not that buy/neutral/sell parameter, but under what circumstances would I trade them.
1) Jackson, Lee, the seconds aside from the GSW second, and the TPE. These are our basic so-called assets at this point. None of them, apart from one or two of the seconds, had better be here at the trade deadline. You dump them for whatever you can get back. Of course, to get back something of real value (with the possible exception of Iggy), you have to include something below.
2) Cleveland. No future here, but no urgency to trade him.
3) Roby and Reeves. If the Mavs believed in these guys, they would have got minutes at this point. You throw them in for any improvement whatsoever to the 10-man. RFA is in the same category.
4) Boban, JJB. These two guys are obviously here for locker room purposes more than anything else. I am pro-Carlisle, but he horrendously misuses Boban. If someone wants either thrown in, you do it. The only caveat is that you chat with Luka about it first, because these guys are his homies. That's why they're lower here than Roby and Reeves.
5) Brunson, Powell, and the Golden State second. You include them in any deal that involves any sort of improvement to the 8-man rotation. I believe Brunson has far more value in trade than Wright because of his rookie contract and his age, and yet I firmly believe that Wright has greater medium-term value to the Mavs. Powell's contract is too big, otherwise he would be in one of the groups below. He does add something to the Mavs, but is overpaid for the bench role he ought to have.
6) This summer's first. We all know the Mavs don't value the draft enough. But how good of a player will they get with the 19th pick? Will it be a player who is ready to compete in the "right now" of Luka? I only trade the pick if the player coming back is part of the Mavs' top-7 rotation after the deal.
7) THJ. He was in category #1 at the beginning of the season. My, how things have changed. At this point, you don't trade him unless a superior player (or a younger player with far higher upside) is part of the package coming back, period.
8) Maxi, Wright, DFS, and Curry, in that descending order of protection level. These guys are all key to anything positive to what the Mavs are doing right now and have very high value in terms of their contracts, both to the Mavs and in trade. As I have said, under no circumstances do I include any one of them in trade unless the player coming back is undeniably the third-best player on the Mavs after the trade. I only include more than one of them in a trade for a top-30-in-the-league player. I would trade two of them, in separate deals, if the two key players coming back were the 3rd and 4th best Mavs after the deals and not otherwise. BTW, Wright is by far the most unjustly bashed Mav on this board this year.
9) The 2025 first. The Mavs had better make sure Luka is still going to be here then before they even think about trading this pick. If they choose to break that rule and roll the dice, it had better be for a top 30 player who is under contract and Bird rights for at least another year.
10) KP. Only for a top 20 player with better health.
11) Luka. Are you kidding? Zero of the 29 other teams in the league are capable right now of putting together a package which would make the Mavs the winners of the trade under any circumstances. He is the most valuable trade chip in the league right now. Zero circumstances this year and next in which you trade him, and nearly zero after that.
1) Jackson, Lee, the seconds aside from the GSW second, and the TPE. These are our basic so-called assets at this point. None of them, apart from one or two of the seconds, had better be here at the trade deadline. You dump them for whatever you can get back. Of course, to get back something of real value (with the possible exception of Iggy), you have to include something below.
2) Cleveland. No future here, but no urgency to trade him.
3) Roby and Reeves. If the Mavs believed in these guys, they would have got minutes at this point. You throw them in for any improvement whatsoever to the 10-man. RFA is in the same category.
4) Boban, JJB. These two guys are obviously here for locker room purposes more than anything else. I am pro-Carlisle, but he horrendously misuses Boban. If someone wants either thrown in, you do it. The only caveat is that you chat with Luka about it first, because these guys are his homies. That's why they're lower here than Roby and Reeves.
5) Brunson, Powell, and the Golden State second. You include them in any deal that involves any sort of improvement to the 8-man rotation. I believe Brunson has far more value in trade than Wright because of his rookie contract and his age, and yet I firmly believe that Wright has greater medium-term value to the Mavs. Powell's contract is too big, otherwise he would be in one of the groups below. He does add something to the Mavs, but is overpaid for the bench role he ought to have.
6) This summer's first. We all know the Mavs don't value the draft enough. But how good of a player will they get with the 19th pick? Will it be a player who is ready to compete in the "right now" of Luka? I only trade the pick if the player coming back is part of the Mavs' top-7 rotation after the deal.
7) THJ. He was in category #1 at the beginning of the season. My, how things have changed. At this point, you don't trade him unless a superior player (or a younger player with far higher upside) is part of the package coming back, period.
8) Maxi, Wright, DFS, and Curry, in that descending order of protection level. These guys are all key to anything positive to what the Mavs are doing right now and have very high value in terms of their contracts, both to the Mavs and in trade. As I have said, under no circumstances do I include any one of them in trade unless the player coming back is undeniably the third-best player on the Mavs after the trade. I only include more than one of them in a trade for a top-30-in-the-league player. I would trade two of them, in separate deals, if the two key players coming back were the 3rd and 4th best Mavs after the deals and not otherwise. BTW, Wright is by far the most unjustly bashed Mav on this board this year.
9) The 2025 first. The Mavs had better make sure Luka is still going to be here then before they even think about trading this pick. If they choose to break that rule and roll the dice, it had better be for a top 30 player who is under contract and Bird rights for at least another year.
10) KP. Only for a top 20 player with better health.
11) Luka. Are you kidding? Zero of the 29 other teams in the league are capable right now of putting together a package which would make the Mavs the winners of the trade under any circumstances. He is the most valuable trade chip in the league right now. Zero circumstances this year and next in which you trade him, and nearly zero after that.