11-16-2020, 02:02 PM
(11-16-2020, 01:47 PM)KillerLeft Wrote:(11-16-2020, 01:43 PM)michaeltex Wrote: I have a question for the board experts on 3pt shots. We use the NCAA 3pt % as a reference for how some of these guys will do in the NBA, and for some reason a little voice in my mind says "be careful with that comparison".
Currently, the NCAA 3pt distance is 22 feet, 1¾ inches, or about what the corner NBA distance is, so that should translate well, but the top NBA distance is 23 feet, 9 inches above the top of the key. Does this extra 21 inches make a difference? Is this why some of the college shooters have problems adjusting? Does it make a de-value the NCAA performance as a factor?
It also makes the step back shots made by Luka and others (e.g., Harden) even more remarkable.
For whatever reason, FT% has historically been the best indicator of 3pt catch and shoot success in the NBA, even above college 3pt percentage. No idea why...maybe it has to do with the ability to consistently reproduce the same process/motion?
Wow, the same post, typed at the same time!
Most likely. It´s ultimately a similar situation. With the 3pt shot it´s the pressure of the defender´s movement in your face and with the FT it´s the pressure of being alone at the line and expected to make an easy shot, while you also need to block out all the fans behind the basket waving and shouting. How well can you execute technically under pressure.
Most guys can train themselves mechanically to shoot college threes, but if the whole motion is not technically sound the extra foot and the added pressure and length of the NBA and its defense will collapse the whole system.
That´s why I said it´s useless to let a guy take 80 3pt shots in an empty gym. That´s what they all prepared for. Ask them to make a a few trick shots to see whether they have any real feel for the basketball. That´s how I knew Luka was special. When you can tell whether a full court heave goes in or not, when you release it, that´s god given touch. Justin Anderson wouldn´t know whether the will go in or he´s about to murder a fan in the 18th row.