11-16-2020, 11:29 PM
(11-16-2020, 04:38 PM)Kammrath Wrote: https://twitter.com/David_Lord_2020/stat...3895104515
As a non-Bird FA, Willie can
Sign for 120% of last year or $2.6mm
Opt in to his current contract or $2.28mm
Opt out and sign for part of the MLE
Leave
I raised another option a few weeks back which was opt out and sign for the minimum. It is good cap manipulation, but probably not the most likely outcome as Willie would have to take a $400,000 cut to do it. The benefit is Dallas would have a minimum hold on him in 21 rather than a $2.9mm hold. Dallas could easily make up the extra $400,000 and them some as he will be EB next summer and can sign for up to about $10mm.
The 1 + 1 doesn't erase the concern over leaving money on the table, but it provides injury protection. So, if you did the minimum on a 1+1, Willie is guaranteed to make up the money he missed by agreeing to the minimum should his career end. It still isn't the most likely outcome, but David's idea makes a minimum deal more palatable. My prediction is a 1+1 valued at $5.3 over two years and he stays in Dallas.