PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC (4-3) vs #5 DAL (3-4)

[Hogmelon]

If one assumes that all remaining games in the Mavs/Clippers series will be decided by a coin flip, using either a "fair" coin or a coin that has been precisely "weighted" in the Clippers' favor by a specific amount, then the following probabilities would apply:

P(g) = probability that Clippers win the game

P(S) = probability that Clippers win the series

P(g)               P(S)
0.5               18.75%
0.55             25.62%
0.6               33.70%
0.65             42.84%
0.68619        50.00%
0.7               52.82%
0.71534      56.00%
0.75             63.28%
0.8               73.73%

Obviously, this series will be decided on the basketball court rather than by coin flips [and P(g) is surely not constant from game to game], but this exercise should at least prove how much a fish needs a bicycle.

OK, guys ...

I was just kidding about the coin flips.  These are the real probabilities that really apply to the real-world  situation involving the Dallas Mavericks and the Los Angeles Clippers.

[See above FFS!!!]


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