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PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC (4-3) vs #5 DAL (3-4)

Poll: What will be the series result?
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LAC wins 4-0
0%
 0 0%
LAC wins 4-1
1.79%
 1 1.79%
LAC wins 4-2
16.07%
 9 16.07%
LAC wins 4-3
7.14%
 4 7.14%
DAL wins 4-3
30.36%
 17 30.36%
DAL wins 4-2
35.71%
 20 35.71%
DAL wins 4-1
1.79%
 1 1.79%
DAL wins 4-0
7.14%
 4 7.14%
Total 56 vote(s) 100%
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PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC (4-3) vs #5 DAL (3-4)
Hogmelon Offline
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Likes Received: 135 in 83 posts
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#58
05-17-2021, 08:15 PM (This post was last modified: 05-17-2021, 08:16 PM by Hogmelon.)
(05-17-2021, 09:59 AM)Kammrath Wrote: I would give the Mavs maybe a 20% chance to win the series at best ....

If the probability that the Clippers will win the series is greater than 78.261%, then [Clippers at -360] is a good bet (i.e., +EV).

If the probability that the Clippers will win the series is less than 78.261%, then [Clippers at -360] is a bad bet (i.e., -EV).

78.261% is the break-even point for a bet on the Clippers at -360.


If the probability that the Mavs will win the series is greater than 27.027%, then [Mavs at +270] is a good bet (i.e., +EV).

If the probability that the Mavs will win the series is less than 27.027%, then [Mavs at +270] is a bad bet (i.e., -EV).

27.027% is the break-even point for a bet on the Mavs at +270.


[Image: playoff-odds.jpg]
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Messages In This Thread
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by DrMav - 05-16-2021, 10:31 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by Tyler - 05-16-2021, 10:31 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by mtrot - 05-16-2021, 10:51 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by Hogmelon - 05-17-2021, 08:15 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by mtrot - 05-17-2021, 11:13 AM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by mtrot - 05-17-2021, 07:51 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by MFFL - 05-23-2021, 09:49 AM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by DrMav - 05-23-2021, 09:53 AM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by MFFL - 05-23-2021, 09:59 AM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by DrMav - 05-23-2021, 02:26 PM
RE: PLAYOFFS ROUND 1: #4 LAC vs #5 DAL - by DrMav - 05-22-2021, 08:28 PM

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