03-03-2021, 12:30 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-03-2021, 12:32 AM by dirkfansince1998.)
(03-02-2021, 11:50 PM)Kammrath Wrote: So what makes you so much more confident in Hinton's 3 than Green? In limited sample size Hinton is shooting 36% and Green 30% in GLeague, and then 20% for Hinton and 16% for Green at the NBA level. Both shot 36% for their careers in college.
Mostly the volume and willingness to take 3s. Sample size is to small to make any definite calls on their shooting ability but after todays game Green is 3/13 (23%). Hinton is 14/38 (37%). Green obviously only played 5 g-league games but he is not looking like a willing shooter. Hinton on the other takes nearly 50% of his FGA from 3-point range. He is not passing up open 3s. Even taking some semi contested ones.
College numbers are telling the same story. Green obviously only played one shortened college season but he never was a high volume 3-point shooter. More of a "leave him wide open and he will take the shot" kind of guy. Hinton always embraced his role as a 3&D/hustle role player. He also improved his 3-point percentage in his 2nd college season.
I am not saying that Green will be a bad shooter in the future but right now Hinton looks more NBA ready (more doesn´t mean that he is actually good enough to play meaningful minutes). Green is younger and has more upside.
Also don´t think that the Mavs really care. Terry and Green might be projects but they are on guaranteed deals. That creates a hierarchy. Green will make more than 10m in the next 3 years. Hinton could be waived at any given moment without any consequences. Hinton and Bey would need to do something special to change the hierarchy. Right now they are playing slightly better. That´s not enough.
As long as everyone stays healthy they won´t get any NBA minutes any way so they might as well focus on the guys that will be on the payroll for the next 3-4 years.