DRAFT: #18 [Green] & #31 [Terry] & trade for #36 [Tyler Bey]

[DanSchwartzgan]

He's easily one of the best 1v1/perimeter defender in this class

When I watched film I actually was not impressed by his D (even though I expected him to be great due to reputation)....then I saw his 39th percentile, 0.83 PPP one-on-one D stat.

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Kamm’s data point doesn’t provide context.  Who was he guarding.  If Green always took the tough cover, then the stat he used isn’t so bad.  If he covers some average Joe each time down the court, then the data point does matter.

I always take context into account when interpreting the data (all data must be interpreted). 

For instance, Maxey has an insane 0.26 PPP (97th percentile) one-on-one D stat...Quickley has a more modest but still great 0.48 PPP, 84th percentile one-on-one D stat. You would think Maxey is the better defender. But watching the film you realize that Quickley guards the better, go-to guys (especially by the end of the year). The film reveals that Quickley is probably the better defender and even though Maxey's numbers are sick, he is probably closer to average as a defender (at least to my eyes). 

Josh Green usually guarded the best guy for Zona, BUT he didn't even get honorable mention on the PAC-12 all defensive team (whereas Tyler Bey was the defensive player of the year allowing only 0.48 PPP in one-on-one perimeter situations). AND my eyes tell me from the tape that he is not that good of a defender at this point. 

I could be wrong on Green as a defender in the NBA, but I am not impressed by what he did in college.

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But he tends to find one he likes in a particular area and ignores others.

This is only the way it seems. Behind my posts I am looking at WAY more than I put in a post. I just do not have the time nor the energy to share everything I find. I share the highlights, it is all I have time for.

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Thanks for the window into the work that goes into your posts.