10-20-2020, 02:30 PM
(10-20-2020, 02:18 PM)omahen Wrote:(10-20-2020, 02:05 PM)Kammrath Wrote: NOTE: My guess on the 5% chance that Dipo 1) fits next to Luka, 2) gets 100% back to his old health, and 3) does not bail on the Mavs after one year, could be wrong. But there are three moving parts in that which all seem to be risky from my seat. But this is my logic and if my guess is close, I think my position makes a lot of sense.
Can we sign a piece treaty with me explaining my evaluation of this and agree we disagree? I can totally agree about your evaluation above, only the part that I just don't value #3 a lot, because I am satisfied with the 2020/2021 improvement we would get. Anything afterwards is a bonus (but we have plenty of other options). I believe there is like 80 % chance Oladipo is at least a decent two way player, let's say something like he was in OKC and a decent fit with Mavs. Remaining 15 % is he will be a bust (due to injury, bad fit or combination). Based on all this I am strongly convinced Dipo brings a much higher chance of an improvement for the Mavs than the #18 pick.
Sorry for strong words, I got too much drawn in a heated discussion of obviously very different opinions.
Does it do more to attract a free agent to have two rentals (THJ and Dipo) who helped you win in 2020-21 whom you know are going to be gone when you come to the Mavs, or a solid role player at 18 who will still be there the next three years?
To answer my own question, I think there is indeed some value to showing that Luka (and hopefully KP, pending consistent health) can win with good players around them, letting Mr. Free Agent know that they'll do even better with another *great* player next to them.