10-14-2020, 06:48 AM
(10-13-2020, 11:15 PM)Kammrath Wrote:(10-13-2020, 08:54 PM)DanSchwartzman Wrote: This is the silly season where draft picks are wildly overvalued. The 18th pick is a lottery ticket...nothing more. We have the 15th pick in what was considered a much better draft on our bench and we can’t wait to get rid of him. But, the 18th pick in this draft is going to be a baller...I just know it. C’mon Man.
Sorry man. Here's some data from a USA Today article last draft: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nb...713822002/
"If you look at the numbers, a singular truth emerges: Every NBA Draft will more or less give us a couple future All-Stars, a handful of other starting-level players, a handful more who become role guys and a whole bunch who are never heard from again. There’s some slight variance from year to year, of course, but that’s the template and it really doesn’t change much.
Over a 25-year period from 1990 to 2014, 80 percent of the players drafted No. 1, 2 and 3 have averaged at least 10 points in the NBA. From picks 4-7, it drops to 61 percent. From picks 8-11, you’re down to less than a coin flip chance (42 percent) of finding a double-figure scorer. And then from picks 12-15, it dips all the way to 29 percent."