Trade & Free Agency 2026/2027

[mvossman]

According to Pelton's chart 10 for 12 & 24 valued at 420 for 375 & 200 which is roughly 73% return for the team trading up.
This year a trade of 9 for 12 & 17 is 445 for 375 + 285 which is just over 67% return for the trade up which seems to be short... (BTW 48 splits that difference to just over 71%) That said, Joe for 37 and the aforementioned 6 + 48/12+17 feels about as good a deal anyone could hope for dealing with Presti.

9 for 13 & 21 is 445 for 355 & 235 and returns 75.4% for the trade up 

The question regarding the return on 9 comes down to where someone believes the drop-offs occur.

I have a top 3; 4-5; 6-10; 11-15; 16-22 as tiers. Not close to expert level in this estimation admittedly, but dropping from 9 should be an expensive process this year because of that tiering.

These charts are a lot less accurate in the NBA than they are in the NFL (which has a much smoother talent curve and much less variability from year to year).  I think it will simply come down to who is there at 9 and how badly another team wants them.  

If I understand your Joe for 37 you are suggesting OKC sends out 37 for Mavs to absorb that contract?  Given that they just got two seconds for Wiggins, my guess is they will get assets for Joe, not pay to get off him.