06-20-2026, 01:35 PM
(06-20-2026, 01:24 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: I think most of us would agree that 1) there is a group of nine players who are more likely to succeed in the L than all of the other players. 2) In spite of that, there will be a handful of players below that who will end up being just as good who would end up lumped in interspersed with those top 9 in a redraft. It’s just that there’s no consensus on who those guys are, and that it would take a very wise and astute basketball man to identify who those guys are now based on something other than really fortunate guesswork.
Guess who two of the, say, top five guys in the league right now at correctly picking who the diamonds in the rough are. That’s right. While I am firmly in the Don’t Get Cute camp, I could see a very persuasive trade down for two top 20 picks argument on that solitary basis.
I would be far more comfortable- *extremely* comfortable, based on the argument I just made - with them staying put at 9 to choose between their favorites (if there’s more than one) left there, *and* using #30 + another one of our trade assets to obtain another top 25 (preferably top 20) pick. Best of both worlds.
Don't think the consensus is all that important for decision makers in the league. That's why I don't really buy into the five guards in the same tier narrative. Wouldn't be suprised if the Mavs (or any other team) are completly out on one of the guards. Potentially have multiple guys from the consensus 10-20 range above them.
Obviously I have my own favorites but I won't lose my mind if the Mavs don't pick one of the guards or trade down.