06-13-2026, 04:33 PM
(06-13-2026, 03:54 PM)RoyTarpleysGhost Wrote: One guy can change your fortunes for a decade.
I personally dont know enough about these guys to know who will be good but that's what Schmitz was hired for. If he believes in one of these dudes over the others, you absolutely must trade up and get that guy.
So when people on forums talk about all these guys are in the same tier so trade down and get more "value," I am strongly against that kind of thinking. Unless of course the talent evaluators you are paying millions of dollars to draft these players don't know any better than we do.
It depends on how much he believes that. We have watched guys getting paid millions of dollars missing all the time. Even the good ones miss. There are too many variables to get this right every time. The risk of trading up is big, because its possible you were better off staying where you were and you took an asset hit. The risk of trading down is that you don't know how things will play out. That's actually another risk of trading up. You don't know who would have fallen to you if you stayed where you were at.
So if there is a guy in that second tier that they think is significantly better than the others, and they either don't think he will fall to them or they like him so much they can't risk it, then you pull the trigger. I'm sure these guys have different evaluations on their board than the rest of us, but it does not mean they like one enough (over the others) to take that risk.