03-21-2026, 04:03 PM
Some ChatGPT observations:
Drafting is the most measurable GM task. Success is often defined by a player reaching an "All-Star" or "All-NBA" level:
Top Picks (1–5): GMs hit on these approximately 28% to 53% of the time for All-NBA talent. Specifically, about 70% of #1 overall picks become All-Stars.
Lottery Picks (1–14): The success rate for finding an All-Star drops to roughly 25.7% to 28.3%.
Non-Lottery 1st Round (15–30): Success rates for All-Star talent plummet to approximately 8%.
Second Round (31–60): Finding a high-level contributor is rare, with only a 2.6% chance of drafting an All-Star.
https://www.hoopshype.com/story/sports/n...730095007/
Drafting is the most measurable GM task. Success is often defined by a player reaching an "All-Star" or "All-NBA" level:
Top Picks (1–5): GMs hit on these approximately 28% to 53% of the time for All-NBA talent. Specifically, about 70% of #1 overall picks become All-Stars.
Lottery Picks (1–14): The success rate for finding an All-Star drops to roughly 25.7% to 28.3%.
Non-Lottery 1st Round (15–30): Success rates for All-Star talent plummet to approximately 8%.
Second Round (31–60): Finding a high-level contributor is rare, with only a 2.6% chance of drafting an All-Star.
https://www.hoopshype.com/story/sports/n...730095007/