03-13-2026, 10:39 AM
(03-13-2026, 12:14 AM)F Gump Wrote: Thanks for this.
I'm with you on 1-4. Like you (it appears), I'm less and less enamored of Peterson, the more we see of him. He's a top talent in a lot of ways, but the production keeps falling WAYYYYYY short of the hype that says he's a dominant player.
But that top 4 stands out because I'm wary on everyone past 4. All those guys in the 5-10 range have huge bust potential imo.
Flemings gets high ratings by mock draft guys, but has lots of meh games. Acuff is by far the most productive and consistent offensively (he gives me Brunson vibes), but size and defense are not good, and he's not the guy leading his team to win after win like Brunson did.
I think a large part of the attraction on these 5-10 guys is the measurables, not the production. They are in the top 10 because they are a 6-5 or 6-6 PG and will therefore be superior. Except, when they step on the floor, not nearly s superior. I get it, but it bothers me and makes me wary.
There is definitely a drop from the top 4 to the rest. Kind of weird how that lines up with the lottery odds.
On the Acuff vs Brunson comparison, Brunson scored less than 10 points a game with 2.5 assists in his freshman year. Even in his third year his numbers were not as good as Acuff. I think at least part of the reason he led his team to more wins is because he had a better team around him.
Those 4 guards are scoring roughly 20 points a game with 6 assists. Flemings, Acuff and Wagler are doing it with high efficiency. They have BPMs in the 10-12 range. That is elite for a 19 year old freshman. I think those three guys have floors of rotational players at worst, but I could see Acuff being the next Brunson, Flemings being another Jrue Holiday and Wagler being a Tyrese Haliburton. If I have a chance to draft one of them, I pull the trigger instead of trading down.