Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST

[Nowitzki Way]

Very low. 

Giannis/Adebayo is an interesting pairing, but there's nowhere close to enough offensive creation on that team.

I think he's going to be a Warrior. That's the team most likely to benefit on court from adding him, and also the team most likely to age out in time for the draft capital heading back to Milwaukee to become significant. I'm not sure I'd even do the trade if I was running GS, but if they go for it I'd jump at the chance in Milwaukee's shoes.

Golden State makes the most sense. it works for both teams. Warriors get Giannis and give Steph his star running buddy for the last few years of his career. 

Bucks get a ton of picks which have the chance to be high picks when Steph is gone/Giannis older.  They get a chance to look at Kuminga before deciding on that contract option. Pods is a decent little role player.

I assume the Bucks completely tear it down if they trade Giannis before the deadline. Ports, Kuzma, Turner, etc will be shipped out. It'll be a fire sale in Milwaukee.