01-15-2026, 09:10 PM
(01-15-2026, 07:20 PM)Dirknows Wrote: I get everyone wants draft capital, but what are the chances a pick in the 20’s becomes as good as Mathurin? I don’t love him but we just dumped our last pick in the 20’s in OMax.
Different drafts and different guy making the picks.
If you look at Mavs last 5 guys drafted out of the lottery or early second round they have Omax, Hardy, Terry, Green and Brunson. Not much from the first 4 but Brunson was a massive home run. I would take a 20% chance to get an elite creator.
Just looking at the Josh Green draft, most folks around here wanted to draft Bey, Bane or Maxy (I don't remember anybody being interested in Green). Not a good sign when random bloggers do a better than the FO. Hopefully whoever is running this next draft will have some idea of what they are doing.
The thing with draft picks that a lot are busts, especially non lottery picks. But sometimes you hit, and sometimes big. Its an odds game (although good FOs have much better odds). The best way to play the odds is to take as many shots as you can.