10-22-2024, 12:03 PM
(10-22-2024, 10:18 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: I was on the Jalen Johnson train before it had wheels, but the facts that he regressed from Year 1 to Year 2 as Forrest likes to point out, though the sample size for either player is ridiculously small anyway. It´s much easier (at age 22) to turn from a $6M into a $30M player with opportunity than a negative trade value. Hardy will get his opportunity this season.
Interestingly basketball reference has a 2024/2025 projection tool.
For Hardy assuming 24 MPG (which is slightly less than THJ) he comes out at 13.3 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.6 APG shooting 43/38/80. I´d say that is pretty fair considering his production so far and the fact that his minutes should increase.
This is not a Javale McGee situation.
I think you are underestimating how rare it is for 22 year old second round pick to turn into 30M player. My guess is 6M players are more likely to flame out than hit that mark.
I'm not sure why we are assuming 24 MPG for Hardy? Timmy's primary replacement is going to be Klay. Even with Exum out minutes are going to be tight, and there will be a premium on defense coming off the bench, which does not play in his favor.
Not surprising you use an extreme example (straw man) to make your point. I hated that signing (like everyone else) while liking this one. Does not mean this one is guaranteed to pan out.