10-22-2024, 02:01 AM
(10-22-2024, 12:26 AM)F Gump Wrote: This is not a bargain, based on Hardy's track record to date. He's still a 3rd stringer. He was mediocre as a rookie and his shooting numbers regressed last year (he also was used fewer mpg in yr 2 than as a rookie, which is informative). He is allergic to playing defense. He has a few good moments that are offset by a whole lot of mediocre ones.
Those are the sort of things that get you somewhere between minimum and twice that amount.
The contract tells the truth. Both sides saw it as a bit of an overpay, which the Mavs were willing to offer in exchange for an agreement by Hardy to have a TO (because an overpay to some degree is how a TO gets done). But it also tells us that neither the Mavs nor JH must see some sort of breakout about to happen, and if that's the case, why are they wasting 5.5-6M a year on a player who isn't good enough to get into the rotation?.
It´s amazing how great you are with the CBA, but how poorly you can translate it to the value of players and forward projections.
Here is a fun fact for you.
Year 2:
14 MPG
5.6 PPG
4.0 RPG
1.2 APG
49/29/63 shooting
Signed a 150/5 extension after year 3.
Hardy just completed year 2. He´s clearly the 4th guard with Exum out, maybe even the 3rd guard in the rotation given how awful Dinwiddie has looked and will see minutes accordingly. Furthermore we all know Luka and Kyrie will miss games. More minutes will likely translate to THJ numbers for Hardy. THJ earned 17M a year, which he signed against a much lower salary cap. 6M is a massive steal. It´s impossible for Hardy to underperform it, but in two months it could easily be one of the biggest value contracts in the league. It´s a great trade chip, too.