The Most Unplayable Maverick of the Week

[mvossman]

I think Mavs give up way too little for Kuzma (I understand some of the pieces are going to GSW and some to Washington). I don't agree Kuzma and THJ are similar value. Kuzma is scoring more than THJ while also being a decent rebounder and passer. I think he is also a better defender. He got a 100 mil deal, but it is declining and in a league where everyone needs wings, especially ones that can shoot, he will always be a positive asset. Holmes is a negative contract of at least 2 SRP. 

Washington receives two (very) bad contracts and just one FRP. I think their asking price in this kind of package would be (at least) 2 FRP.

Washington is in no hurry to sell Kuzma. His value will only increase with time. They are bottom three worse teams as it is, so no need for them to get even worse. I think minimum to get us in conversation for Kuzma is 2027 first and then a combination of remaining assets.

I think you are probably right on Kuz perceived value.  That deal probably requires a first+ from Mavs.  What a disaster that would be.  Kuz scores a little more than Timmy (1 more point per 36 for career) but with lower efficiency.  He has more ways to score but is significantly worse from 3.  He can distribute some but also turns it over a lot.  He does more things on the court than Timmy, but he doesn't do them particularly well.  He is a better rebounder.  The advanced stats actually like Timmy better on offense and consider them equally bad on defense.  We will be forced to play him in the starting lineup where he will be taking shots away from the much more efficient Luka/Kyrie, and his lack of defense will be more exposed.  Given how much this board hammers Tim, I predict it will turn on Kuz quickly, especially given the assets we would have to give up to get him.