Poll: How many threes do the Mavs make this game? O/U 14.5
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GAME 2: UTA (1-1) vs. DAL (1-1)| 104-110 WIN!!!!!
(04-18-2022, 09:33 PM)mvossman Wrote: Your infatuation with small sample +/- is mind boggling.


(04-19-2022, 12:51 PM)fifteenth Wrote: Totally off topic here, but I've never gotten myself to the place where I could like baked plus minus stats very much. I've read the papers put out by the creators of many of the metrics and just don't come away convinced by the math or by the results. 

So far, imo, the search for the Grand Theory of Basketball has produced iffy results. Which makes sense to me considering that we're having a really hard time marrying big physics and little physics even though we've been trying for centuries. 

I'd love to hear an expert in probability and statistics weigh in on whether these regression and other exercises have produced anything valuable. 

@"Hogmelon", I can't remember, did you study math, or are you mostly trained via gambling?




Still the same answer as last June ...

(06-22-2021, 12:37 AM)Hogmelon Wrote: B.S. in electrical engineering from Texas A&M; M.S.E.E. from MIT (specializing in optimal control theory, which is all math)

Worked for Bell Labs, then General Dynamics (still in control theory, still all math).

Developed optimal card-counting strategies for blackjack, which proved extremely successful (both individually and as part of a team) until I was barred by every casino that mattered.

Then ...

Law school in Austin (t.u.), followed by a litigation practice that morphed into a mediation practice.

Then ...

Poker.  Full-time until recently.

Now ...

Just playing with my grandkids and chillin' ....

Also, mixed in with all of the above, a shitload of adventures in the wonderful worlds of art and music.


Fifteenth, I have plenty of opinions about all the math-related posts on this message board (and I'm a hardcore grammar Nazi too, but that's another story), but I mostly try to keep my mouth [keyboard] shut, because it seems like I rub the majority of the people here the wrong way.

Nevertheless ...

I will go out on a limb one more time by stating this:

1.  Kammrath, I love ya, man, but ...

2.  I agree sooooooooooooooooooooo much  with mvossman's "mind boggling" statement (see above).
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RE: GAME 2: UTA (1-1) vs. DAL (1-1)| 104-110 WIN!!!!! - by Hogmelon - 04-19-2022, 01:19 PM

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