11-02-2021, 02:22 PM
(11-02-2021, 02:15 PM)Kammrath Wrote: It does have bearing. The Mavs have been winning (4-2) while shooting 31.2% from three and the odds of them shooting better than 31.2% are very high this game. Not because they have shot poorly before this game, but because the odds of them shooting 31.2% any given game are low given the track record of their players. They aren't "due" but their players are much better than 31.2% three point shooters, especially when you consider they have had MORE open looks per game this year than last year.
They are 4-2 because they have played 4 crappy teams. They have done a good job of taking care of business. They have looked completely out matched against the two good teams the have played. In both cases shooting their normal 3% or even a little better would not have affected the outcome of the game. They are about to play another good team, and if Bam is playing will be totally outmatched at numerous positions. It will take more than them hitting their expected rate to win this game unless Miami totally shits the bed.