MavsBoard
2020-2021 AROUND the NBA: Archived - Printable Version

+- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com)
+-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1)
+--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2)
+--- Thread: 2020-2021 AROUND the NBA: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=622)



RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - VintagePejav2 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 12:53 PM)ClutchDirk Wrote: https://twitter.com/BleacherReport/status/1412101936262922245

So, the Jazz want him back, and that’s without question, sources say. The question is, does Conley want to come back to Utah? His on-the-record comment after Utah’s loss to Los Angeles was basically we’ll see. He’s going to have multiple suitors on the open market. And he’s going to have teams willing to pay him.
What will help Utah is that it won’t be a repeater tax team this coming season. What also will help is that the Jazz have Conley’s Bird Rights, which gives them the chance to beat out other offers. It appears at the very least that’s what Utah’s going to have to do. There won’t be a hometown discount. It stands to reason that Conley can safely command anywhere from $15-20 million for his next contract.
Conley wants to win a championship, so the question he has to answer is whether there’s another team that can reasonably secure him that can put him in a better spot to win a title than the one he’s currently in. The Jazz with Conley and Mitchell and Gobert will have every chance to compete at the highest level next season. So, is there a situation that gives Conley an even better chance than that? It would need to be a spot that would make him a prohibitive favorite for a title, and not just a place where he can reasonably compete for a title.”

I would prefer to ride with Luka over Mitchell/Gobert.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 01:31 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Serious question, not intended with any snark, whatsoever: 

If KP is not a star, which by definition means that he is not great at creating offense for himself or others, and he has massive "defensive issues," then what makes you so confident he's a "great starter?"

It's not even that I disagree with this take. In order to disagree I'd have to understand where this take is coming from. I just can't see it at all, and I'm starting to feel like I'm crazy or something.

Well put it this way... There are 150 starters in the NBA. Where do you rank KP overall as a player? 

He's still a top 50 player IMO even with defensive issues. That doesn't factor in any value with his contract. 

I keep bring up the stat that only 20 guys in the league put up KP's ppg and shooting #s in the NBA this year. And 18 of them are all stars. 
KP definitely has defensive issues but he's a fantastic offensive player even with the issues he has. Also his defense wasn't as nearly as bad as made out to be. It was at the beginning of the year for sure and it was pretty bad in the playoffs. But it has since been shown that alot of those defensive issues in the playoffs wasn't because he was playing bad defensively and more of what the Clips were doing. Frankly he never looked as bad as Gobert did in game 6. Gobert looked like a horrible defender against LAC most of the series too. I'm optimistic tho against most teams KP has a decent chance to at least be an ok defender again. 

All that being said the issue with the KP trade now is not the value that was sent during the trade but the inability to accumulate assets since then or add a legit star to the team. Doesn't matter if the rest of the starters are all pretty good if you don't have a true #2. KP is clearly not that and no reason to think he will suddenly get a ton better to become that guy.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 01:46 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: 1. How do you know they are crappy? Have the Knicks selected somebody yet?
2. You also ignore the fact that DSJ + two first round picks could have yielded a different player in a different trade. I believe the Cavs paid a protected 1st and a 2nd for Jarrett Allen and Taurean Prince. So I´d argue that Allen, Prince, a retained 2023 Mavs 1st round pick, full future pick trade flexibility and $15M in  additional capspace could be considered a better position already.

You may be right but it's all hypothetical and you could have traded KP for a better haul the summer he signed his extension IMO. We've since cratered his value since. Some of that is on him and some on the Mavs. 

The Mavs have not cared to even try to grab additional 1st and there have been some available since. They haven't cared about accumulating assets. We'd be in a lot better position if we had tried to do that after making the trade. 

Also the picks are both likely to be in the 20s. Thats what I mean by crappy 1sts. Those are fairly low value picks. We see multiple of them moved every single year. Now we may have been able to get a legit player with that pick.... But the odds of that are so hit and miss for any team. And next to 0% for the Mavs. Unless you hear that the Mavs really wanted to try and trade back into the 1st for a guy they really like and that guy turns out to be a star, you'll just be cherry picking guys that the Mavs should of had a few years into the future because you have the benefit of hindsight.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - KillerLeft - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 04:35 PM)cjeter24 Wrote: He's still a top 50 player IMO even with defensive issues. That doesn't factor in any value with his contract. 


I respect and now understand that you have the opinion above, and it helps answer my question, thanks. 

I think KP still has use (even in the most pessimistic view of his remaining potential) as a stretch-5, but not on his current contract. And, it absolutely shocks me that anyone would have him in their top-50 right now. But, opinions vary.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 04:43 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: I respect and now understand that you have the opinion above, and it helps answer my question, thanks. 

I think KP still has use (even in the most pessimistic view of his remaining potential) as a stretch-5, but not on his current contract. And, it absolutely shocks me that anyone would have him in their top-50 right now. But, opinions vary.

Well we aren't talking about value based on his contract. That's a completely different argument. 

KP is 20ppg efficient scorer. That's a very solid offensive player. Again it's not a common thing to do and because of his stretch ability as a center it makes that even more valuable. I mean how many centers are able to stretch the floor like that?


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - KillerLeft - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 04:50 PM)cjeter24 Wrote: KP is 20ppg efficient scorer. That's a very solid offensive player. Again it's not a common thing to do and because of his stretch ability as a center it makes that even more valuable. I mean how many centers are able to stretch the floor like that?

1) Valuable, and rarely so, as a stretch center? YES, though that value is offset more than somewhat by his suddenly becoming one of the least playable "starting" centers in the league on defense.

*Due to point #1, I feel it's irresponsible and fairly pointless to remove contract value from the conversation, because his contract takes the option of making him a 3rd big (or 2nd - whichever is the team's first big off the bench), which is probably where he'd be best used, completely off of the table. 

2) "efficient scorer"...not buying that, sorry. The numbers might show that he's an efficient finisher of plays that other people create for him, and that's great, but it's not who the Mavs traded for, extended, and maybe more importantly, it's not how the player sees himself. We've seen what happens when the Mavs try to run the offense through him - it dies. We've seen what happens when a team (NY) commits to that as a plan - they lose.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 05:03 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: 1) Valuable, and rarely so, as a stretch center? YES, though that value is offset more than somewhat by his suddenly becoming one of the least playable "starting" centers in the league on defense.

*Due to point #1, I feel it's irresponsible and fairly pointless to remove contract value from the conversation, because his contract takes the option of making him a 3rd big (or 2nd - whichever is the team's first big off the bench), which is probably where he'd be best used, completely off of the table. 

2) "efficient scorer"...not buying that, sorry. The numbers might show that he's an efficient finisher of plays that other people create for him, and that's great, but it's not who the Mavs traded for, extended, and maybe more importantly, it's not how the player sees himself. We've seen what happens when the Mavs try to run the offense through him - it dies. We've seen what happens when a team (NY) commits to that as a plan - they lose.

I mean his defense was not good but he still had a net positive rating on the floor by .7. 
As bad his defense was in the playoffs and it was very bad.... The mavs were so much worse with him off the floor offensively, they had to live with it. With KP on the floor they had an offensive rating of 118.2. Without 99.5. Defensively 112.2 without and 121 rating with. 

Those #s actually are in line with what he was in the bubble against the clippers albeit in only 2.5 games. Point being even when healthy in the bubble, the Clips exploited him defensively. His regular season ratings were much better tho last year. 

On point 2... I didn't say he was a guy creating offense for himself. I said he was an efficient scorer. You can slice down his game any way you want. But 20 ppg on 47% 37% 3pt and 54% EFG is efficient scoring. Only 20 guys did it last year. Bottom line he scored 20ppg well no matter if he didn't create his own shot or not. Poke holes in his overall game all you want but you can't call that anything but efficient. I'm not saying he's not been a disappointment but that's a DAMN good starter. We need a 2nd star. If that means KP has to go, so be it. But y'all are seriously hating on him waaaaaaaaay too much. 

And we can just end the conversation here... I'm not interested in debating his contract value. I made a statement about the quality of player he is overall without any value attached. Feel free to have that conversation without me tho. It's an interesting one. It's just not what the point I made was about and not what I want to discuss.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - KillerLeft - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 06:46 PM)cjeter24 Wrote: I made a statement about the quality of player he is overall without any value attached.


Cool, so even taking contract out of it, I disagree. I don't think he's a "damn good starter"...at all. I respect your opinion and all, and I can tell you're bringing a considered judgement to the conversation. If you want to end the conversation, that's fine.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - mvossman - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 07:30 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Cool, so even taking contract out of it, I disagree. I don't think he's a "damn good starter"...at all. I respect your opinion and all, and I can tell you're bringing a considered judgement to the conversation. If you want to end the conversation, that's fine.

I think the truth lies somewhere between you two.  If the defensive drop off is a one year thing due to coming back from injury mid season and he gets back to his old defensive self, then I think he is easily top 50.  A quality rim protector that can give you 20 and 10 efficiently while potentially pulling centers out of the paint is very rare and valuable.  If the defensive drop off is permanent, then he is still a quality starter due to his offense (maybe top 100 player) but nowhere near that contract and somebody that needs to be moved if at all possible.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - Kammrath - 07-05-2021

https://twitter.com/ShamsCharania/status/1412232071175491584


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 07:30 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Cool, so even taking contract out of it, I disagree. I don't think he's a "damn good starter"...at all. I respect your opinion and all, and I can tell you're bringing a considered judgement to the conversation. If you want to end the conversation, that's fine.

I'm fine with continuing the conversation, I just didn't want to debate the contract and value aspect of KP. It's been discussed ad nauseam this offseason. I didn't mean to be rude either. The conversation always goes to that aspect for KP lol. 

I am curious to hear more about why you don't think he's a good starter with the contract status removed. He was bad on defense this year for sure but he was good offensively except when he had to initiate his own offense. That's a super common thing. He's certainly not alone on this team in that regard. 

Do you think any stretch big is going to put up the #s he did this year if they played with Luka? I think Luka definitely helped him for sure. But that's kind of Luka's job as the pg...


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - cjeter24 - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 08:43 PM)mvossman Wrote: I think the truth lies somewhere between you two.  If the defensive drop off is a one year thing due to coming back from injury mid season and he gets back to his old defensive self, then I think he is easily top 50.  A quality rim protector that can give you 20 and 10 efficiently while potentially pulling centers out of the paint is very rare and valuable.  If the defensive drop off is permanent, then he is still a quality starter due to his offense (maybe top 100 player) but nowhere near that contract and somebody that needs to be moved if at all possible.

I'm fine with moving him regardless of what he does. I wasn't making the point of that he should stay. 
Bottom line is we got to get Luka a legit 2nd star. KP isn't going to be that guy unless he stars making huge strides.  I'm optimistic but that's way too much to expect. 

Anyone is expendable in the path to that star. I'd prefer KP stick around as the 3rd guy but Im not hesitating to moving him if that helps us get a 2nd star.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - Kammrath - 07-05-2021

https://twitter.com/FlexFromJersey/status/1412221416896860160


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | PHX vs MIL in Finals - ThisIStheYear - 07-05-2021

(07-05-2021, 04:50 PM)cjeter24 Wrote: Well we aren't talking about value based on his contract. That's a completely different argument. 

KP is 20ppg efficient scorer. That's a very solid offensive player. Again it's not a common thing to do and because of his stretch ability as a center it makes that even more valuable. I mean how many centers are able to stretch the floor like that?

If KP can rebound and protect the paint, in other words, perform like a bona fide center, then that stretch capability is indeed valuable.  If not, like last year, then he’s really just a specialist, that is, a role player, which is indeed how he was used when the games really counted.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - SleepingHero - 07-06-2021

(07-05-2021, 08:28 AM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Really? Both teams man handled us during the year.
 

Regular season=/= playoff basketball.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - SleepingHero - 07-06-2021

(07-05-2021, 08:44 AM)HoosierDaddyKid Wrote: Are we totally dismissing Utah who they would have played next?  Then Phoenix.


A hobbled Utah with Conley out and Mitchell on a bum ankle? A series where KP could actually prove useful in bringing Gobert out the paint? Yeah I think the Mavs would have had a great shot against them with Luka playing the way he was playing dropping 40 seemingly every game on 50/50/50 shooting. 

PHX had Paul out the first 2 games. That's a BIG deal. I wouldn't automatically just assume they'd beat them though, given how PHX is playing. 

But PHX right now wasn't as good as a fully healthy LAC team. Transitive property tells us that the Mavs could have given the Suns a serious run in the WCF and could have had a probable finals birth.

But it doesn't matter. No use in arguing hypotheticals. My argument was mainly to highlight the level at which Luka was playing at, and that he alone could've single handedly propelled this team to the finals.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - SleepingHero - 07-06-2021

(07-05-2021, 01:57 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: So, the Jazz want him back, and that’s without question, sources say. The question is, does Conley want to come back to Utah? His on-the-record comment after Utah’s loss to Los Angeles was basically we’ll see. He’s going to have multiple suitors on the open market. And he’s going to have teams willing to pay him.
What will help Utah is that it won’t be a repeater tax team this coming season. What also will help is that the Jazz have Conley’s Bird Rights, which gives them the chance to beat out other offers. It appears at the very least that’s what Utah’s going to have to do. There won’t be a hometown discount. It stands to reason that Conley can safely command anywhere from $15-20 million for his next contract.
Conley wants to win a championship, so the question he has to answer is whether there’s another team that can reasonably secure him that can put him in a better spot to win a title than the one he’s currently in. The Jazz with Conley and Mitchell and Gobert will have every chance to compete at the highest level next season. So, is there a situation that gives Conley an even better chance than that? It would need to be a spot that would make him a prohibitive favorite for a title, and not just a place where he can reasonably compete for a title.”



John Hollinger, who was the former GM of the Grizzlies while Conley was still there had a very interesting comment regarding Conley and his upcoming free agency. 
"Dallas is a team to watch" regarding Conley's free agency. Given that Utah is going to go into HEAVY tax (they're team salary is at 130mm before Conley's next contract), I think Conley is prime for plucking.

Perhaps Utah finds THJ an interesting replacement. Or maybe a package of Kleber+THJ for Clarkson+Conley?  We do know the Jazz are pining for a defensive guard (at least there are rumblings about it). Will they have any interest in an opted in Josh Richardson? Especially given his moderate salary? 

Lots of interesting possibilities with Utah. Conley would be a great get.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - Aussiebballer - 07-06-2021

Ingles would be a decent second play maker off the bench, probably pair well with Brunson as well.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - F Gump - 07-06-2021

(07-06-2021, 12:48 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: John Hollinger, who was the former GM of the Grizzlies while Conley was still there had a very interesting comment regarding Conley and his upcoming free agency. 

"Dallas is a team to watch" regarding Conley's free agency. Given that Utah is going to go into HEAVY tax (they're team salary is at 130mm before Conley's next contract), I think Conley is prime for plucking.

Perhaps Utah finds THJ an interesting replacement. Or maybe a package of Kleber+THJ for Clarkson+Conley?   

You're not following Hollinger's point. He's saying the Jazz don't have the financial will to pay another big chunk (to Conley) on top of what you cite they are already committed (130M). Replacing "Conley" with "THJ" on a 20M salary doesn't solve that for Utah. (And they can't take a sign-and-trade player if their payroll exceeds about 142M, another barrier to any interest in THJ).

If you want Conley, and he wants you, it's a cap room deal, almost certainly.


RE: AROUND the NBA: McCollum trade "probable" | Giannis doubtful for Gm1 - SleepingHero - 07-06-2021

(07-06-2021, 01:22 AM)F Gump Wrote: You're not following Hollinger's point. He's saying the Jazz don't have the financial will to pay another big chunk (to Conley) on top of what you cite they are already committed (130M). Replacing "Conley" with "THJ" on a 20M salary doesn't solve that for Utah. (And they can't take a sign-and-trade player if their payroll exceeds about 142M, another barrier to any interest in THJ).

If you want Conley, and he wants you, it's a cap room deal, almost certainly.


I understood Hollinger's point, I was more approaching it as the Mavs offer Utah a slight downgrade and take on bad contracts and in return they getr Conley+Clarkson. 

Favors+Clarkson+Conley (20mm)= 40mm

Jrich+Kleber= 20mm 

20 mil of savings can be a monstrous difference maker, especially if the guys they're getting back are only a slight downgrade. It could be an appealing option if the Jazz are trying their hardest to not cross over into the repeater tax. 

Now if the Jazz aren't really interested in what the Mavs have to offer and Conley still wants to come of course sign the dude outright and figure out where to trade THJ for a modest return.