(03-13-2020, 09:19 AM)luka_skywalker_77 Wrote: It's not 1% of the world's population. It's 1% percent of cases from around the world. Certain areas have rates that vary, largely due to the circumstances that already exist there--ie general health of the patients, healthcare system, cultural habits, environment, age, cleanliness, etc. Nursing homes that have been affected have higher rates than non nursing home populations. Zip codes are markedly different as well depending on certain environmental factors. Countries are also remarkably different when it comes to this.
What you're doing is taking a number and irresponsibly misusing it to feed into paranoia and anxiety by treating every location the same. Aside from that you have no idea exactly how many people were exposed and have recovered. For all we know, 1% could be a maximum. What we do know is that it is stronger than the flu and it spreads just as easily. But to say it's capable of killing 1% of the world's population is foolish.
What we know is that Italy is highly developed country, very comparble to the states in terms of living standard and heath care, especially Northern Italy and they are collapsing due to this problem. People cant get treatment in hospitals as so many are sick same time, the healthcare system is collapsing. So its a proven fact and the same will happen everywhere else if the response is the same. Its not something made up. Mortality rate is more like 6% among the confirmed cases when the hospitals were overloaded, however that figure must be wrong as many cases go undetected. 1% is assuming that there are more cases non detected, its estimated number. The 1% also stems from Singapore where they tested a much larger population then anywhere else, the mild cases etc. Then the figure is around 1% an not 3-5%. This is probably the most accurate as that is base on a very wide test.
The normal seasonal flu does not cause hospitals to break down in well developed countries few weeks after first cases arrise. So no, nobody is over panicking. Its a real and proven threath of a great magnitude.
its first time since WW2 that countries are closing in europe and rationing on food are starting to be implemented. Wake up!
(03-13-2020, 09:19 AM)luka_skywalker_77 Wrote: It's not 1% of the world's population. It's 1% percent of cases from around the world. Certain areas have rates that vary, largely due to the circumstances that already exist there--ie general health of the patients, healthcare system, cultural habits, environment, age, cleanliness, etc. Nursing homes that have been affected have higher rates than non nursing home populations. Zip codes are markedly different as well depending on certain environmental factors. Countries are also remarkably different when it comes to this.
What you're doing is taking a number and irresponsibly misusing it to feed into paranoia and anxiety by treating every location the same. Aside from that you have no idea exactly how many people were exposed and have recovered. For all we know, 1% could be a maximum. What we do know is that it is stronger than the flu and it spreads just as easily. But to say it's capable of killing 1% of the world's population is foolish.
Most people have immunity against the seasonal flu. Thus only few get infected each year and the total mortality numbers are low.
This thing however, nobody has immunity and most of us will get sick with this if not containment is in place. This is what Spanish Flu was also and why most of the world got it, as nobody was immune. It collapsed every health care system on the planet.
The mortality rate is not the most important thing. The immunity and lack of it is also very important. Nobody has immunity so it spreads like crazy. In few weeks Italy went from first case to Hospitals where there are no more beds and people lying in the corridors and outside Hospitals.
Dont downplay this at all please.