12-27-2023, 10:06 AM
(12-26-2023, 02:35 PM)omahen Wrote: I think the answer for three is more complex. THJ is too expensive to play just those minutes Luka or Kyrie will not. But his defense is not good enough next to Luka and Kyrie. He is a good player and has an excellent offensive season. Cash in while we can. I realize it might be difficult to do that at TDL, so lets hope he can stay as productive and doesn't get injured for whole season. But, if Mavs want to be a contender, they need a better defender in his minutes while not sacrificing much of the offense he brings. But, offense has never been Mavs problem.
true, impact wise Tim is still pretty questionable. 7th best defense without Tim on the floor, and 30th best with Tim does that. On offense Tim is a victim of diminishing returns. The offense will still be good with a Tim replacement in 8 out of 10 cases because Luka and/or Kyrie is around. There is a ""maximum limit"" how good an offense can improve.
Exum should still totally get 30 min+ even if Kyrie is back, and Tim has to lose minutes. Its not even a question. Then you have Green coming back at some point too. Kidd better not screw this up, and take away Exum minutes in favor of Tim. Going to be interesting what happens if everyone is healthy.
Tim is basically killing the 3 pt defense the most. Luka does it as welll, but he is Luka. And Luka does well helping with size hence the positive impact on 2 pt defense.
- Tim is all red
- Grant is all red apart from the mins early on with Green. He deserved to be benched.
- DJJ seems to need Luka the most, else he is sinking the offense. DJJ lineups without Luka: 97.03 Ortg and -25 net (113 min)
Luka and Tim are basically the worst players on the roster by on/off 3 pt defense. Hence a complicated fit, if they can't fix the perimeter mess with Tim.
opp 3 pt shooting
Luka on: 37.8 %
Luka off: 33.4 % (4 %)
Tim on: 37.9 %
Tim off: 34.9 % (3 %)
Kyrie on: 35.0 %
Kyrie off: 37.5 %
Luka + Kyrie: opp 3 pt shooting 33.74%
Luka + Tim: opp 3 pt shooting 38.69%
Tim is 2nd worst in terms of 3 pt defense, and worst in terms of 2 pt defense.
The defense around Luka/Kyrie is not that far off from contender worthy (top 10 range) if you exclude Tim. At least if you look at the defense of specific lineups.