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[F Gump]

But, how many posts have we seen that took the time to even think about what this does down the road. 

[...]

The upside is really high here.  It doesn't take a leap.  It just takes him doing what he does when he gets PT. 

Some of us think about down the road, and just disagree with your assumptions on Green. The priority value needs to be in this contract, or not at all.

I applaud the Green contract, and it landed right about where I kept talking about -- at the MLE or somewhat lower.

I don't buy your thesis that the QUALITY of Green's game flourishes or not depending on his minutes. Instead, I think the quality of his game impacts how many minutes he gets, that is I think the cause and effect is reversed. Which is correct? It takes more games than the tiny sample sizes we have so far to answer that.

I do agree that it's possible for him to improve, but believe that you need to be wary of paying for a player commensurate of an imagined, hopeful level of play rather than an actual one.

I also don't buy the idea that you might want to pay him a wrong (too big) number now, in order to try to create a better negotiation for a contract later. There are way too many variables between now and that next negotiation when he will be a UFA. UFA's change teams, get better, get worse, may want to spread their wings elsewhere, feel a better fit here or wish they were elsewhere, and etc etc, and it's way more than you can micromanage. In addition, the value of the player in 3 years depends on his play AND the surrounding cast. 

The only thing you get is this contract and its value over the next few years, and imo you are much wiser to keep your focus on that, and ignore the rest.