10-23-2023, 08:52 AM
(10-22-2023, 11:31 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: This thought process to me makes no sense and is a bit inane.
The biggest and most relevant difference between Green and Brunsons situations is that Green is an RFA. No matter what, Green will be a Maverick if the Mavs want to retain him. They did not have the luxury of that with Brunson.
No way Green forfeits a long term deal and takes the qualifying offer (which still means he's back here next year). Green will be a Mav and any pussyfooting regarding an extension is in line with the Mavericks FINALLY using their leverage as a team to get the best deal on the books as they can.
If a team comes along and and the market agrees that Green is worth a massive deal, then Mavs have all the leverage in the world here whether it be enforcing a SnT for any Green deal or just matching to retain the asset. For all of these reasons, he's not going to be getting a Keldon Johnson type of deal unless some up and coming team offers it and dares the Mavs to match. Which they will. Because the alternative doesn't make a lick of sense.
It is a pretty interesting situation. I wonder where each party is willing to pay/accept, and how much gap there is between the two. There is a very real chance Green can be in a much better spot next offseason. But then again, he could be in a worse spot. What happens if he gets injured? What happens if his play plateaus from last season. There is also a real chance Green plays well but gets stuck in the same thing as Grant Williams or PJ Washington where teams are afraid to offer because they think their team would match.
On the other hand, the Mavs have proven not to be very good at bluffing. See Brunson, Jalen and we can pay the most. I am not cap literate but this could get tricky if lets say the Mavs make a trade this year for a guy making 20 plus million.
I just hope the Mavs have been proactive and have been in touch with Green for a while (even if it was his decision to wait until after the summer). There should be strong reasons for both sides wanting to get something done. Green to get generational security while maybe taking a little less than a year from now and for the Mavs to commit to a guy who fits their timeline. We have seen for multiple reasons the Mavs are not typically good at this part.