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[mvossman]

Just as an exercise, I went back and looked at the 2021 UFA class to see how good/bad Timmy's contract looks in comparison. For a metric, I used EPM estimated win value across the last two years since the contracts signed compared to the average yearly salary. Tim had a total win value of roughly 8 and a yearly salary of roughly 19 mil. Here are the other UFAs:

Kawhi. 44 mil, 11 wins. He has played 53 games in two years. The metric says he is lower value, but I'm guessing we would all take him over Tim
Paul. 30 mil, 19 wins. More valuable by the metric, but not sure that will apply to last 2 years of his contract
Lowry. 28 mil, 12 wins. Draw
Derozan. 28 mil, 22 wins. Better. I preferred this to Timmy at the time, but who knows how that would have worked with Luka
Conley. 23 mil, 17. Better
Founier. 18 mil, 4 wins. Worse
Norman. 18 mil, 4 wins. Worse
Din. 18 mil, 14 wins. Better
Rose. 15 mil, 2 wins. Worse
Doug. 14 mil, 0 wins. Worse
Oubre. 13 mil, 7 wins. Better
Olynk. 12 mil, 7 wins. Better
Holmes. 12 mil, 2 wins. worse
Jackson. 11 mil, 6 wins. Better
Burks. 10 mil, 10 wins. Better
Bullock. 10 mil, 2 wins. Worse
Green. 10 mil, 1 win. Worse
Caruso. 10 mil, 8 wins. Better
Noel. 9 mil, 0 wins. Worse
Kemba. 9 mil, 0 wins. Worse
Theis. 9 mil, 1 win. Worse

Tim is middle of the pack, and this sample includes his only major injury he has had in his career. The point of this is to point out how expensive UFA players are. If you are not one of the top destination markets, this is a really strong argument to put a lot of focus on the draft, because its where most value is going to come from. It is also a strong argument to hold on to the good players you draft because the alternative free agent cost is big.