09-05-2023, 10:30 AM
(09-05-2023, 09:40 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Age rarely, if ever, makes a meaningful impact in salary negotiations. It's the actual talent that drives up the numbers. Age amplifies the talent, but there has to be talent there.
As many have said, Green has shown to be a great role player. He's inconsistent, but that's why he's a role player. He has barely shown enough to warrant a 4/60 deal, let alone a 4/80 deal.
If anything Green is around the same level as Hart was when he got his first big deal from NOP after averaging 8/4/1 on 43/36/70 in 24mpg. That deal was worth 3 years/38 mil, but only 24 mil guaranteed. Green is more efficient and a bit younger when Hart signed his deal...
That deal at the time was worth about 11% of the overall cap YoY. Translating that into today, thats starting at 14.9 mil (almost right at his qualifying over). A similar deal would be 4/66 with 8% raises and only 52 mil guaranteed.
Sorry, I didn't explain the age thing. At 22yo, it's implied that J.Green will continue to progress and get better.
Great analysis in kicking Hart's deal into todays numbers. Ya, I'd say that's fair, with 4/80 being the ceiling.
What are your thoughts if J.Green wants >=$20m/per?