09-02-2023, 07:01 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-02-2023, 07:01 PM by KillerLeft.)
(09-02-2023, 06:47 PM)F Gump Wrote: Last year's MLE was under 52 for 4 years, and NBA current projection next year for MLE would be 4/54. I think that is the MOST he would be offered if he was a RFA, and don't see the wisdom in going way higher. It's bidding against yourself IMO.
Frankly, I wouldn't even start there. I think he is worth less than MLE, which this year was 4 yrs/51.8. Thybulle was offered 3 yrs/33M. With that as a baseline, I'd think I'd present him a choice of 3 yrs/33M or 4 yrs/48M as a reasonable deal based on comps. If you want those adjusted for cap inflation, then 3/34.5 or 4/50. But the Hard Cap World did not end last month, and if Green is a 11-12M player, you just can't be weak in negotiating and pay him 15.
I agree with the above. And, while I think he looks like an MLE guy, I don't think he'd have gotten a ton of offers at that level had he been free this summer, because the one thing nobody can claim is that he has ever been a rotation player for a full season. We assume that's about to be the case, but then again, the Thybulle offer argues for a different preferred outcome from the Mavs' perspective.
I think he's going to be good this year, but wouldn't want to make an offer north of MLE money right now, before we've seen him play the role we've all got him penciled into for at least one, full season.